Sickman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I prefer to save the President's Day designations for '79 and '03. Continue discussion here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I prefer to save the President's Day designations for '79 and '03. Continue discussion here. RGEM...big run coming up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 First time I've ever seen a blowing snow forecast on the SFTOKX product. Edit: Link here for those who don't know it. It's a good link to keep on your phone. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/data/OKX/SFTOKX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Nice thundersnow sounding on the NAM especially for Suffolk county. These are the steepest mid-level lapse rates that I have ever seen the NAM forecast here during a storm. The TT's are also very high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The RGEM likes the SNE screw job too while NYC does better, the inverted trof feature is further southwest on the RGEM but I think it may lift a bit north once inside it's better range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The RGEM likes the SNE screw job too while NYC does better, the inverted trof feature is further southwest on the RGEM but I think it may lift a bit north once inside it's better range How far south is the surface low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 How far south is the surface low?Storm goes just under LI and NYC gets a pretty good burst of snow at hour 41 but at the end of it's run it looks like it's setting up a nice CCB for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Storm goes just under LI and NYC gets a pretty good burst of snow at hour 41 but at the end of it's run it looks like it's setting up a nice CCB for Boston. Yeah I should have specified I didn't mean all of SNE gets screwed but a part of it will probably western areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 What time do you guys think or someone know when snow will began to fall in Clifton NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Storm goes just under LI and NYC gets a pretty good burst of snow at hour 41 but at the end of it's run it looks like it's setting up a nice CCB for Boston.i didn't see the actual qpf on the rgem but it looks good for 3-6 inch snows area wide!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 What time do you guys think or someone know when snow will began to fall in Clifton NJ.tomorrow afternoon 3-4pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 This event will be more impactful west of nyc then the blizzard was at the end of january Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The RGEM likes the SNE screw job too while NYC does better, the inverted trof feature is further southwest on the RGEM but I think it may lift a bit north once inside it's better range My response was meant for you . I agree . The IVT is into Monmouth County . I think it is prob up over LI like the NAM and EURO think it is . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Thanks man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 It has the .3 line very close to NYC and more east, it also has about .25 NW of the city but looks a little drier than the NAM back there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 My response was meant for you . I agree . The IVT is into Monmouth County . I think it is prob up over LI like the NAM and EURO think it is .i think it sets up right over nyc? I noticed nyc always gets the heaviest precipitation, could do with pollution and urban heat effect? Don't have a scientific reason but my opinion is the inverted trough sets up right over the city and dumps at least 4 inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I posted this in the last thread (In regards to NAM)...I was just about to comment on this.... parts of the LHV and MHV do better than the majority of the SNE and Boston according to the NAM. The NAM is really beginning to hone in on the INV trough feature. Whomever gets in this band can easily pick up 6+ inches. It seems to be setting up over the Hudson Valley, Western CT and LI. We shall see. It will be interesting to see the short range models with this feature such as HRR, RAP and RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 This event will be more impactful west of nyc then the blizzard was at the end of januaryyeah looks like a nice snowstorm with high winds and temps in the teens for us. Not too crazy but at least everyone gets on it and doesn't really get shafted. If you go into Long Island and eastern ct your definitely looking at 6+ but I'll take my 3-6 and run with record low temps!Allsnow...GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The RGEM also has a stripe of 4-6 inches for a part of coastal Monmouth county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 This event will be more impactful west of nyc then the blizzard was at the end of january More than 7" of snow? That's what I got for the "blizzard." Or are you referring to the combo of snow, cold and high winds leading to poor visibility, especially when it's snowing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 My response was meant for you . I agree . The IVT is into Monmouth County . I think it is prob up over LI like the NAM and EURO think it is . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The Western Atlantic ridge is stronger through 24hrs on the 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 i think it sets up right over nyc? I noticed nyc always gets the heaviest precipitation, could do with pollution and urban heat effect? Don't have a scientific reason but my opinion is the inverted trough sets up right over the city and dumps at least 4 inches! You would be correct on this.. And into NE NJ. At least from my experience Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 2/13 12z Summary for Sat PM (2/14) - Sun AM (2/15) Storm QPF NYC (TTN - NYC) SREF: 0.15 - 0.30 NAM: 0.15 - 0.40 RGEM: 0.25 - 0.50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Starting to look like a general 3 to 6 for the area from Monmouth thru NYC with ratios. Very happy with that. Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The odd precip pattern of the RGEM is pretty close to the NAM, what a strange looking storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Starting to look like a general 3 to 6 for the area from Monmouth thru NYC with ratios. Very happy with that. Rossi And what ratio would that be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Big hit from JFK East, very little West of the East River. No Western/Southern New England screw zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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