JC-CT Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 nice solid snow sounding for you, squeeze out a couple on that product Since it was the latest hold-out for almost nothing, it is nice to see it come west like every other piece of guidance has today. I am still looking for those first flakes in the air, and I am feeling decent for that at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Lollis to 3"? I think those are reserved for areas North of ORH..but NW of Foxboro.. You'll need to be 500 feet or higher I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 NAM is starting to come around. Hmmm, I didn't think we were inside hr 24 yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Hmmm, I didn't think we were inside hr 24 yet Not done trending! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Not done trending! lol Just late to the party as always if it even shows up at times.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Like they wouldn't do that down there.... :lol: If a car topper is your thing then by all means proceed. You would think that living up in Northern New England that an inch or two wouldn't even be noteworthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 If a car topper is your thing then by all means proceed. You would think that living up in Northern New England that an inch or two wouldn't even be noteworthy. Pretty much in Nov when the avg is 4.3", Nickels and dimes right now, 1st snow threat for some on this board, Not for me but others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 12, 2014 Author Share Posted November 12, 2014 If a car topper is your thing then by all means proceed. You would think that living up in Northern New England that an inch or two wouldn't even be noteworthy. First accumulating snow of the season is always noteworthy...some already had it on 11/2 but not everywhere. Our November thread is general discussion and has gotten quite cluttered, so I split this discussion into a new thread. If this upsets you, I am giving you permission to leave this subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 First accumulating snow of the season is always noteworthy...some already had it on 11/2 but not everywhere. Our November thread is general discussion and has gotten quite cluttered, so I split this discussion into a new thread. If this upsets you, I am giving you permission to leave this subforum. If I'm coming off as a troll it's not my intention. I just don't see any model support for accumulating snow anywhere around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 If I'm coming off as a troll it's not my intention. I just don't see any model support for accumulating snow anywhere around here. Here in SNE? I'd say the odds increased today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 If I'm coming off as a troll it's not my intention. I just don't see any model support for accumulating snow anywhere around here. Define here. For you, I agree, but you're location isn't in this sub forum, so it's not really relevant to the discussion here(And there's a reason why there isn't a thread for this in NYC because it isn't a big deal there). For most of the posters here though, all modeling supports at least a coating with some supporting something more interesting than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Since this isn't a stemwinder of a storm..the RPM is probably ok to look at around now. It likes the interior higher elevation SE MA idea (well a lot of ern MA to be honest) and near ORH on north. It's reasonable I suppose. Still in the FWIW stage of that model..but thought I would throw it out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Since this isn't a stemwinder of a storm..the RPM is probably ok to look at around now. It likes the interior higher elevation SE MA idea (well a lot of ern MA to be honest) and near ORH on north. It's reasonable I suppose. Still in the FWIW stage of that model..but thought I would throw it out there. Can you post it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 If I'm coming off as a troll it's not my intention. I just don't see any model support for accumulating snow anywhere around here. Well you don't live around"here" ..so not sure why you're making any assumptions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 When I say around "here" I was referring to New England. On most of the modeling that supports snow, the surface lags behind. I think it could just end up as a bit of white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 When I say around "here" I was referring to New England. On most of the modeling that supports snow, the surface lags behind. I think it could just end up as a bit of white rain. thats an option Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Well very often model temps will not be forecasted well in these events. Look no further to 11/2 when I got to 33 and models had me at 36. Look at 925 and 950 to get a better idea. Usually in a set up such as this, what happens is that you flash over to a 33f snow and then higher spots maybe tickle 32 or something like that. Low levels are plenty cold to support snow. If it's cold above 500' in elevation, it won't melt. Now of course intensity matters. If it's like 15DBZ then yeah, it won't do much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 If this upsets you, I am giving you permission to leave this subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 First accumulating snow of the season is always noteworthy...some already had it on 11/2 but not everywhere. Our November thread is general discussion and has gotten quite cluttered, so I split this discussion into a new thread. If this upsets you, I am giving you permission to leave this subforum. The NYC forum is tired of his malarkey, so he's decided to bring it here. Sorry, NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Happy hour GFS little more robust with qpf for friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 18z GFS still looks good for a few wet flakes. The surface freezing line lags behind the QPF, otherwise it would have been a good setup for a low end advisory event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Trend is looking good for the possibility of a quick inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Instead of leaf blowing methinks I'm shovelling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 The NYC forum is tired of his malarkey, so he's decided to bring it here. Sorry, NE. Hardly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Trend is looking good for the possibility of a quick inch. Yup, About all you can ask this early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Instead of leaf blowing methinks I'm shovelling Lol. I would never shovel an inch, or even two, in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Lol. I would never shovel an inch, or even two, in November.Well you're all about treble no bass.I'm all about bass , no treble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 18z GFS still looks good for a few wet flakes. The surface freezing line lags behind the QPF, otherwise it would have been a good setup for a low end advisory event. As people have already explained, the position of the surface freezing line, for the most part, is irrelevant. Much more concerned about what the column as a whole looks like vs. if it's 34 or 31 at 2m. We can and will have accumulating snow when it's above 32 at the surface, so long as the rest of the profile looks good(and here it does), and it being at night only helps that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 12, 2014 Author Share Posted November 12, 2014 18z GFS is pretty good...don't pay attention to the sfc temps on it. It's pretty cold at 900-950mb...easily snow even to the lower elevations except maybe right on the southeast coast. That would probably be a widespread coating to 2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Lol. I would never shovel an inch, or even two, in November. I would if temps stayed below freezing and no snow, my driveway slopes side to side, slippery as hell with a compacted inch. Temps in the mid 30s and sun so probably won't although dews in the low 20s probably wont promote much melting but Mondays wash will take care of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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