Typhoon Tip Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 yeah we eek out a gem tomorrow, then draw the shades until ...jesus maybe Saturday? lord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Euro qpf ranges from 1.5 in CT to 1.25 for most of MA and 2-4 for the northern 2/3 of Maine. It ain't hay iow. Catskill region of New York with 1.75-2.5 for a little mini southern jack.What's it got in VT out of curiosity...looks like it's long winded with precip here and NNY even out at 120-126 hours.I'm getting tempted to start up the wx bell subscription again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 So Nobody is getting the 10-15 inches of Rain that was mentioned by Dammage In Tolland? Ya, that sounded like a LOT, even if this thing was what it looked like it could be a few days ago. An inch and a Half isn't to bad for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 What's it got in VT out of curiosity...looks like it's long winded with precip here and NNY even out at 120-126 hours. I'm getting tempted to start up the wx bell subscription again. About an inch in most of VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 About an inch in most of VT. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 18z GFS went apesh*t over VT...good Champlain Valley northerly low level flow enhancement under the easterly mid-level flow. Brings back some respectable totals for NNE as a whole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 18z GFS went apesh*t over VT...good Champlain Valley northerly low level flow enhancement under the easterly mid-level flow. Brings back some respectable totals for NNE as a whole. gfs_namer_138_precip_ptot.gif It definitely looks like a good soaking. I hope we get some snow setups with this kind of QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 It definitely looks like a good soaking. I hope we get some snow setups with this kind of QPF It's sort of against our climo to do well in these types of set ups with long easterly fetch just in that often the moisture won't make it this far inland, but those mid level circulations are huge. It does happen, but it's sort if like the Catskills or northern Berks into the Greens...you need a darn good moisture stream to get back into western New England and New York with those big QPF values. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 It's sort of against our climo to do well in these types of set ups with long easterly fetch just in that often the moisture won't make it this far inland, but those mid level circulations are huge. It does happen, but it's sort if like the Catskills or northern Berks into the Greens...you need a darn good moisture stream to get back into western New England and New York with those big QPF values. Yeah that certainly makes sense. GFS is modelling a pretty ridiculous 850 mb low with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 yeah we eek out a gem tomorrow, then draw the shades until ...jesus maybe Saturday? lord Draw the shades? I'd rather this from a meteorological standpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 0z GFS is quite, quite dry south of the pike. Flooding rains continued to be modeled for the Maine mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 Overnight euro stepped things up in terms of qpf. 1.5-2" of rain in SNE. 2-2.5" northern/ne ma/e ma coast. 4-7" of rain on the maine coast! Not going to be a continuous downpour but more of an off and on thing where the rain totals come in bursts if you are not in nne. Sustained east ne winds of 30kts at the maine coast with heavy rain. Likely gusting to near 50kt. 60kt 900mb LLJ over downeast maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 20, 2014 Author Share Posted October 20, 2014 Pretty massive ASOUT Certainly gonna be some 10+ amounts in orographically favored areas up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 Pretty massive ASOUT Certainly gonna be some 10+ amounts in orographically favored areas up there Bank it up against the foothills, Don't think there will be quite that much but would not rule out 5-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 20, 2014 Author Share Posted October 20, 2014 Models have BOS gusting up to 45-50 mph for like 36 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 Models have BOS gusting up to 45-50 mph for like 36 hourslink? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 link? Weeniemodels.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 GFS maintains 1.5-3.0+ over all of VT...going to be wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 20, 2014 Author Share Posted October 20, 2014 link?Euro wind probs and Nam. Have a look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 I see nothing of the sort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 Euro wind probs and Nam. Have a look Where can I get EURO wind probabilities? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 It looks like NAM cut back on qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 Where can I get EURO wind probabilities? Weeniemodels.com Click on BS and it's under fauxwindprobs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 20, 2014 Author Share Posted October 20, 2014 Where can I get EURO wind probabilities?Noyes also showed a graphic with Logan gusting to 43 mph from tomorrow pm into late Wed in addition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 It looks like NAM cut back on qpf lol, What from the 15" it may of had? It is of no use no matter what it says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 Noyes also showed a graphic with Logan gusting to 43 mph from tomorrow pm into late Wed in addition Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 lol, What from the 15" it may of had? It is of no use no matter what it says I am just trying to get back into map reading and posting form...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 They'll be a period when winds get gusty, but 36 hrs of 40-50? Don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 20, 2014 Author Share Posted October 20, 2014 LolHere you go@MattNoyesNECN: Prolonged, multi-day nor'easter still expected for New England this week. Rain,wind,wave details: http://t.co/SegTXkb8sM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 Time to stop worrying about this model cutting back on QPF and so and so forth. The rain is going to come in waves and the exact location is going to be very difficult for the models to have a handle on. The NAM has been all over the place with a different JP zone each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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