earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 102 hours the phase is still a few hours off..but it's trying to recover quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Very impressive signal with the northern stream shortwave into the Plains at 108. It remains to be seen if this run will catch up but this seems like a jump towards last nights ECMWF with the slower shortwave and the further south surface low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 low over west central ala.at 108 06 had it in NE tenn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 low over west central ala.at 108 06 had it in NE tenn. Yeah, its definitely a cave toward the Euro so far..not sure its gonna be as wrapped up as the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 looks like the phase happens later than the EURO so more suppressed OTS solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Light snow for the M/A at 120 hours..trying to turn the corner but H5 is more disorganized than the CMC and ECMWF last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Won't be as good as the Euro - definitely not digging. Might be a light/moderate event here from the GFS for the Mid-Atlantic and coastal areas further N and E. That's my guess here on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 The H5 trough digs to the Gulf Coast at 126 hours..wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 The H5 trough digs to the Gulf Coast at 126 hours..wow. GFS just took a HUGE step towards the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 132 hours and it's 996 just northeast of OBX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 The H5 trough digs to the Gulf Coast at 126 hours..wow. Just noticed that. It's as if the GFS peeked over at the nerdy Euro's paper and started correcting some of its answers at the last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 GFS just took a HUGE step towards the Euro Agreed. It's slower, farther south, and phases more with the northern stream than past GFS runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Yeah big step to the euro. That northern energy really digs the trough post hr 126. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 Although the GFS doesn't show it, it's definitely a nod toward the Euro, especially with the trof like it is at 126 or so. I would give it until 0z tonight to start showing a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 It's coming up the coast at 135 hours..but so far just a bit too far east to affect the I-95 corridor. We haven't seen the CCB development yet, either. Ominous trend towards the Euro. I still think this run hooks back to hit portions of NJ/NYC/LI/SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 And I gotta think there would be more precip than show on the GFS? Mets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Yup..141 hours and 984mb east of NJ. NYC/NJ/LI and SNE about to get blitzed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyS Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Very impressive height rises along the Rockie Mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 geez. this thing could be HUGE. and i kinda like going back to the GFS being less wrapped up than the EURO cuz of its colder SE bias, does it still have one?, comes into play. then of course at 18z its gonna overphase the crap out of it and have the Sfc Low in Pitt, PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 QPF is very meager on the GFS, but that doesnt mattter at this point. All major features trended towards the Euro in a big way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 980 directly over the 40/70 benchmark at 144 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 It's coming up the coast at 135 hours..but so far just a bit too far east to affect the I-95 corridor. We haven't seen the CCB development yet, either. Ominous trend towards the Euro. I still think this run hooks back to hit portions of NJ/NYC/LI/SNE. Yep - looks like it's a little late to get everyone here, but it's definitely a step in the right direction. Interesting evolution on this one...different from the Euro. Looking forward to the Ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 CCB develops pretty much from NJ on Northeast..big snows there. A huge step towards the ECMWF aloft and at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Visual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Yup..141 hours and 984mb east of NJ. NYC/NJ/LI and SNE about to get blitzed. This is quickly becoming a Boxing day storm rather than a Christmas storm. Euro leading the way with the slower system. Great play by play guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Just noticed that. It's as if the GFS peeked over at the nerdy Euro's paper and started correcting some of its answers at the last minute. a hair furhter west at hr 144. coastal sections getting snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Didnt the euro last week show a big storm for this past weekend? Then lost it as it just went ots? Is there anything in the telecommunications that this could happen all over again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 A solid 2-4" for DC and it won't interfere with my trip to Grandmas.. win-win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 And I gotta think there would be more precip than show on the GFS? Mets? Euro had a more favorable lower-to-mid-level look for heavy QPF (GoM involvement) than the GFS, since it tracked the system further south, but as long as the H5 digs and you get that difluent flow sitting over us, you'll have plenty of dynamics to support any moisture around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 It's coming up the coast at 135 hours..but so far just a bit too far east to affect the I-95 corridor. We haven't seen the CCB development yet, either. Ominous trend towards the Euro. I still think this run hooks back to hit portions of NJ/NYC/LI/SNE. Please educate me as to what "CCB development" is. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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