weatherwiz Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 That's what I said up to LEB and MVL. Not that it stops at ORH...just draw a line NNW from there. I wasn't clear yesterday about that. Was a very solid call by you yesterday. Pretty much thought the exact same you did. When I looked at the 18z NAM and GFS yesterday and saw how similar both were in terms of s/w track I thought it was pretty apparent where the best convection would occur. The setup also screamed SE MA special. Setup was also forecasted pretty well too I believe...BOX had mention of the potential. I was a little shocked SPC didn't have 5% contour but these aren't setups that the SPC specializes in so can't really knock them at all. Typically these smaller events are handled more by local WFO's as opposed to the SPC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Was a very solid call by you yesterday. Pretty much thought the exact same you did. When I looked at the 18z NAM and GFS yesterday and saw how similar both were in terms of s/w track I thought it was pretty apparent where the best convection would occur. The setup also screamed SE MA special. Setup was also forecasted pretty well too I believe...BOX had mention of the potential. I was a little shocked SPC didn't have 5% contour but these aren't setups that the SPC specializes in so can't really knock them at all. Typically these smaller events are handled more by local WFO's as opposed to the SPC. I'm sorry I didn't tell you, but you had a great disco. Excellent analysis yesterday. I meant to tell you that. Good stuff Paul. I had to talk about tstm potential today for work so I took added attention than normal lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 The setup today really caught John Q Public off guard I think. Beautiful start to the day, no humidity Lurking to the NW however... Love cold pools Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 I'm sorry I didn't tell you, but you had a great disco. Excellent analysis yesterday. I meant to tell you that. Good stuff Paul. I had to talk about tstm potential today for work so I took added attention than normal lol. No need to apologize! Great setup to be extra focused on for work! I really love these setups...when they produce they can really go wild and it's crazy to think in these setups we almost always see at least one golf ball report...it's not easy to get golf ball hail lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Our 00z sounding tonight had -18c at 500mb and calm winds right around 300mb. Good stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Our 00z sounding tonight had -18c at 500mb and calm winds right around 300mb. Good stuff! What does this help with? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 What does this help with? Well I think it just shows you that the ULL was sitting over our face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Well I think it just shows you that the ULL was sitting over our face. Ahh makes sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Well I think it just shows you that the ULL was sitting over our face. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Some good images. 1st pic is parent CB dropping hail to my SE.4 min after last pic, SVRd and dropping dimes on Sboswx in South Weymouth. This thing was just TCU 15 min earlier.Boiling tower to anvilSame cell kdxken saw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Great pics Scooter, love the hail shaft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 One of the more picturesque days of this summer. Lie PF said, low dews cold ULL, summer sun equal win everytime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Today was a day of structure and watching sh*t just blow up in front of my face. A pretty rare occurrence to see around here. Impressive despite missing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 I got a pic of the storms over Stafford Springs area...was able to get a great view of the structure from the Reservoir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Euro has a really interesting setup next Tues/Wed. ULL tracks to our NW..long, strong SSE flow at the surface..pumping in moisture, dews, and presumably lots of shear. I'd keep an eye on that. Esp Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 The GFS is good for a nice NYC outbreak..lol. I actually did a presentation on the revere tornado, and morning time is a common theme in some of these setups. Ekster actually pointed this out to me...makes sense when we a re just coming off of peak nighttime LLJ enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 The GFS has pretty weak mid level winds...usually you still want a good 35-40kts up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andrewmac Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Long time anon, first time poster... Just thought I heard a car crash, looked outside and saw a beautiful storm bubbling with lightning bolts. As a private pilot it's a bit un nerving watching several planes fly way to close before diverting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Long time anon, first time poster... Just thought I heard a car crash, looked outside and saw a beautiful storm bubbling with lightning bolts. As a private pilot it's a bit un nerving watching several planes fly way to close before diverting.nice, welcome to the non anon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Will take this in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 We no toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 562 with +6 850 is insanely low for mid August, we bang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Long time anon, first time poster... Just thought I heard a car crash, looked outside and saw a beautiful storm bubbling with lightning bolts. As a private pilot it's a bit un nerving watching several planes fly way to close before diverting. Very strange. Just walked out to POURING rain while it was sunny in Portsmouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 8, 2014 Share Posted August 8, 2014 Among the nicest days of the summer today in the Boston area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Too many bugs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Airplane pilot reports waterspout NW of Martha's Vineyard in Rhode Island Sound at 5:48pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 9, 2014 Author Share Posted August 9, 2014 Best severe day since june 2010 macroburst in Belmont. Sick clouds, great storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Best severe day since june 2010 macroburst in Belmont. Sick clouds, great storms.I prefer June 1 2011, as there were two rounds of strikingly well-structured storms with tons of beautiful lightning to boot. Plus a tornado (that I did not see, mind.). Thursday was indeed gorgeous though, I took some great pictures from Ayer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Wednesday looks pretty meh from my view. Marginal instability, passable vorticity, plenty of junk already in the air. If anything happens, it'll be a rain wrapped spinner, no good for SVR enjoyment, more effective at causing tragedies. Headed out to OU to get myself on the track to a degree, thank you all for being a great community where you learn something new with every post! I'll keep up with the threads, and I'll pray for big snow dec-jan. Once again, thanks guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Wednesday looks pretty meh from my view. Marginal instability, passable vorticity, plenty of junk already in the air. If anything happens, it'll be a rain wrapped spinner, no good for SVR enjoyment, more effective at causing tragedies. Headed out to OU to get myself on the track to a degree, thank you all for being a great community where you learn something new with every post! I'll keep up with the threads, and I'll pray for big snow dec-jan. Once again, thanks guys! That's pretty much what a high shear low CAPE deal looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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