St. Paddy's Day east coast snow storm 2014-or maybe the St Paddys' hangover storm?

[CoastalWx]

Was waiting for that, is there a teleconnection reason that the EURO & other models have been absolutely bombing this low as it dives SE-ward? Is it mainly the PNA ridge? 

 

Yes, the energy dives south on the east side of the ridge and really carves out a strong s/w. My concern this time around is progressiveness as it looks like the ridge out west flattens too. Perhaps the one saving grace is that this time of year is more prone to cutoffs even in a shorter wavelength pattern.

[cja1987]

Absolute last chance for SNE, fighting climo too dang much already and once you get past the equinox, anything of importance really starts to approach April 1, 1997 odds.

[HoarfrostHubb]

May 1977 says "Remember... "

[codfishsnowman]

im still in for a good march event here, weve been fooked over in the few that were big for most of the area since 2001, hfd to spfd is long overdue

[CoastalWx]

We had a good event 3/18 last year. It occurred at night, but had a nice high to keep a lot of us snow.

[SouthCoastMA]

We had a good event 3/18 last year. It occurred at night, but had a nice high to keep a lot of us snow.

Was that the inverted trough that gave us 7" down here?

I think some areas got 10-11" just to my south and along 195.

[CoastalWx]

Was that the inverted trough that gave us 7" down here?

I think some areas got 10-11" just to my south and along 195.

No this was more to your north actually. I had almost 10".

 

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/pnsevents/wxeventsCalendar.php?month=3&year=2013

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

This wasn't the inverted trough deal? That's the only one I can remember after the big storm

[CoastalWx]

This wasn't the inverted trough deal? That's the only one I can remember after the big storm

 

This was more a SWFE. I remember the inv trough one, but I thought that was earlier in the season.

[Heisy]

GFS looks better at 111, more separation with the wave diving down from Canada & the PV...Lets see if it spins something up. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

We had a good event 3/18 last year. It occurred at night, but had a nice high to keep a lot of us snow.

Better than the Feb Blizzard for me

[SouthCoastMA]

This was more a SWFE. I remember the inv trough one, but I thought that was earlier in the season.

OT: you are right..but I'm surprised its not documented on that BOX calendar. If I recall it was mid to late march..i need to find the PNS. I'll post in the other thread if I do

[weathafella]

One day closer.

[CoastalWx]

OT: you are right..but I'm surprised its not documented on that BOX calendar. If I recall it was mid to late march..i need to find the PNS. I'll post in the other thread if I do

 

I remember that storm. I think Messenger had like 10-11" as well. This was the few months following my son being born so my memory isn't the best.

[SouthCoastMA]

I remember that storm. I think Messenger had like 10-11" as well. This was the few months following my son being born so my memory isn't the best.

Yeah here's the thread..pretty hilarious to read through the last few pages.

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39764-march-21-invertednorlun-trough/page-20

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

This was more a SWFE. I remember the inv trough one, but I thought that was earlier in the season.

Ahhh I remember now. The inverted trough deal was odd. Some spots got over a foot in far southeast ma, and it was pretty much vaporized the next morning

[CoastalWx]

Yeah here's the thread..pretty hilarious to read through the last few pages.

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39764-march-21-invertednorlun-trough/page-20

 

LOL at them leaving that out. I remember it now.

[HoarfrostHubb]

I remember that storm. I think Messenger had like 10-11" as well. This was the few months following my son being born so my memory isn't the best.

I told you that would happen. Lol

[CoastalWx]

I told you that would happen. Lol

 

As long as I remember the big Feb and Mar storms..lol.

[Heisy]

Some of the GFS ensembles members are amazing

[codfishsnowman]

well at least the thread lives on here

[Randy4Confluence]

One day closer.

But always 7 days away

[New Englander]

Hopefully this long far off dream produces something...Looks like our best chance,,, as this week looks bad sans NNE.

[Heisy]

GFS another baby step towards a EURO solution. Starting to get a feeling this one is for real. 

[Heisy]

It buried the shortwave too far south, so it kind of cut itself off from the flow, but its still actually where I want to see it at this point. In most big events the GFS is always suppressed at this point. 

[CoastalWx]

GFS is pretty progressive still, I think being progressive is the one thing that could mess it up, but it's still very early.

[Heisy]

GFS is pretty progressive still, I think being progressive is the one thing that could mess it up, but it's still very early.

 

I agree, it could go both ways, progressive, or I could see the storm too strong and cutting itself off from the flow.

 

I think at this range it is just good to see the GFS have the main players on the field and be suppressed. I'm actually more happy it shows this then some northern branch Lakes low or something. I know it is cliche, but all the big ones are usually looking weak and south on the GFS at this range FWIW.

[cja1987]

00Z EC has lost the storm, this has been a trend lately, 00Z looses it and 12Z brings it back.

[Bostonseminole]

00Z EC has lost the storm, this has been a trend lately, 00Z looses it and 12Z brings it back.

. How about the ensembles anything?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[cja1987]

. How about the ensembles anything?

Sent from my iPhone

 

I can only see the mean but it thows it right out to sea and weakens it as well.