BxEngine Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 v-day 2007 was pretty bad You think so? I thought we had a pretty good idea a few days out? Wait, was that the Larry Cosgrove inch of ice storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 No I didn't. I have no idea why multi quotes happen and that's the Gospel truth I just figured it was a nervous tic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 You think so? I thought we had a pretty good idea a few days out? Wait, was that the Larry Cosgrove inch of ice storm? It was a tough one but there was a lot of sleet and hazardous driving which is more than happened today; worse was the later March storm which was almost identical when a nose of warm air killed itfor NYC metro but other areas got a decent snow. New England had the snows those years in 07 and 08 IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 More bickering. Awesome.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I did. Not a single one has you claiming this would continue and miss us all. You said you feared it, you even mentioned rt 94 (maybe theres another one in south jersey?), but you certainly didnt make any definitive remarks that can somehow, in any way, be construed as you "telling us" this would definitely miss us. Who would make a definite statement like that at day 4? I gave a detailed post about Rt 94 which runs through Warwick probably being the northern cut off for snow. What are we even arguing about? It was all the Monmouth county folks and NYC folks grasping to GFS and Euro runs that continually declined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I just figured it was a nervous tic. I just figured it was a nervous tic. It could be my busted browser who knows but I see it happen to others too. Are you guys not telling me something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 More bickering. Awesome.... More bickering. Awesome.... Why not? There's no weather to talk about and the Oscars are boring, and I'm bored with the zombies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 It could be my busted browser who knows but I see it happen to others too. Are you guys not telling me something? Maybe lay off the youporn? It screws up browsers. Or so ive heard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 V-Day 2007 was an awesome ice storm for the area. Not sure what the forecast was regarding that storm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 christie has declared a state of emergency for new jersey. everybody run for your lives. http://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/2014/03/02/governor-christie-issues-state-of-emergency-for-new-jersey/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Who would make a definite statement like that at day 4? I gave a detailed post about Rt 94 which runs through Warwick probably being the northern cut off for snow. What are we even arguing about? It was all the Monmouth county folks and NYC folks grasping to GFS and Euro runs that continually declined. You came in here claiming you called this friday at 10:30 am. That simply isnt true. Im not arguing anything. Im pointing out the untruth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 The GFS had one blip inside of day 4 and I believe that was the 06z GFS run on Thursday or Friday morning. Other than that it continuisly shifted south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Maybe lay off the youporn? It screws up browsers. Or so ive heard. Ok ya made me laugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 You came in here claiming you called this friday at 10:30 am. That simply isnt true. Im not arguing anything. Im pointing out the untruth. By saying I told you so I'm saying that I had every right to start sounding the alarms when I did. And people like AllSnow and Snow88 were going on and on about how this run still shows a big snow storm for NYC, and I kept saying that I wouldn't be surprised if this continued to shift south on future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Ok ya made me laugh Im usually good for one or two a year. Kind of like yankfan's forecasts. JUST KIDDING DONT GET ANGRY!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Why not? There's no weather to talk about and the Oscars are boring, and I'm bored with the zombies.Because there's a banter thread for arguing over who called the south shift first and who interpreted what first? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Im usually good for one or two a year. Kind of like yankfan's forecasts. JUST KIDDING DONT GET ANGRY!!!! Lmao lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 march 2001 was way worse. i know LI and CT did fairly well but it was nothing compared to what was forecast a few days prior This is now a major bust – not relative to the 10" or more early "forecasts" 72 hours ago, but relative to the 4-8" forecasts for North Jersey/NYC/LI and the 6-10" forecasts (by the NWS and most of the major media) for Central Jersey and the Philly/South Jersey area (north of AC) as recently as 12-18 hours ago - most of these locations are going to get an inch or two to maybe 4" from Philly to Toms River and points south of there – but even those areas may not make it to 4”. It’s not quite a bust in the league of the worst bust ever – March 2001, where 1-2 feet of snow were still being forecast for the entire area right up until the storm started (and we got 1” of sleet in Edison and no real major snow until one went up to the Hudson Valley/CT), but it’s pretty bad. And the worst part is meteorology, in general, is going to take a big black eye during a season when I thought the NWS and most of the good pros did pretty well. Sucks on many levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Because there's a banter thread for arguing over who called the south shift first and who interpreted what first? Well if thats the case, delete this whole thread, since, ya know, there isnt an actual snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I don't think anyone thought we would see absolutely nothing, I just never saw anything on the modeling that showed things would improve. The PV trended stronger and further south on nearly every consecutive run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Jan 2008 was pretty bad and was prob the 2nd worse winter of my life. Number one being 11-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Latest updated maps, enjoy, think this might even be a bit overdone to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Jan 2008 was pretty bad and was prob the 2nd worse winter of my life. Number one being 11-12 You must be 10 because 98 and 02 were far worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Because there's a banter thread for arguing over who called the south shift first and who interpreted what first? well, if the argument is about the models for the storm and how they were perceived, perhaps there should be a postmortem thread. Otherwise IMO it should be here. Is there something going on now with the storm or models that we are missing right now because the thread is cluttered with banter? Do tell.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Its not a bust if you belieced the trends....4 day away model runs are not forecasts and should not be hugged...the trends kept cutting back qpf as he got closer....how is that busting.....people chose to ignore those trends and go with snowier totals and nws was afraid to jump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Its not a bust if you belieced the trends....4 day away model runs are not forecasts and should not be hugged...the trends kept cutting back qpf as he got closer....how is that busting.....people chose to ignore those trends and go with snowier totals and nws was afraid to jump Its a bust if you forecast 6-12" and got nothing whether it be 4 days out or 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 You must be 10 because 98 and 02 were far worse You must be 10 because 98 and 02 were far worse You must be 10 because 98 and 02 were far worse Oh my they were bad, and in 02 places like Atlanta had snow. 97 and 99 were also bad. I did not use the snowblower after 96 until Dec 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 You must be 10 because 98 and 02 were far worse 98 I don't remember and 02 I really didn't care to much about weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 The radar out of Nashville is intense. Friend of mine that lives in southern KY is reporting severe icing. Over 1" accretion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Exactly I'm getting tired of answering will we have school tomorrow to this second.. I'm saying yes! And they are like but the weatherbug said 4-6" this morning. I say ya 4-6 flurries.. Guess where weatherbug gets there data.. upton!! This can all be avoided with the weather service updating there forecast exactly when we all know what the forecasts is. Millions of people have weatherbug on there phones! Irresponsible NWS is a tiny fraction of the reasons for stupidity in NJ. Not fair to blame them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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