Wmsptwx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Wow I can't believe how consistent it has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Lol bellyaching in the NYC forum that god forbid this is a 6 to 10 inch storm!!! LMAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 NESIS right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 The parent company of my employer also owns Jacobsen. Need a discount? lol...who knows! If I get the job and we need NEW mowers, aerators, etc, perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 NESIS right there. Beautiful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I like the trend this week that the forecast keeps getting colder. Good chance of going below 0 tonight and not hitting 20 down here is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 lol...who knows! If I get the job and we need NEW mowers, aerators, etc, perhaps. Something tells me that I wouldn't be able to get a discount for a business, unfortunately. I'm not real familiar with their products, I take it they're excellent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 At the height of the storm on the GFS, temps are between 10 and 15 at the surface for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Something tells me that I wouldn't be able to get a discount for a business, unfortunately. I'm not real familiar with their products, I take it they're excellent? Well, Toro and Jacobsen are the two best in the golf course industry. It's kind of a Ford vs Chevy thing among superintendents. As for discounts, I knew you were joking so I just kind of went with it. I'm thinking we won't be needing to use mowers until April at the earliest anyway if the snow, and moreso, the March temperature map that Zak posted were to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Powerful squalls in western pa right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 27, 2014 Author Share Posted February 27, 2014 heavy squall here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 GGEM south of GFS brings heavier snow to southern pa and less to northern. lol. Models. Now Euro will be into Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 NESIS right there. is that map assuming 20:1 ratios? seems quite high compared to what temperature profile and qpf indicate what amounts should be... seems to me like half to 2/3rds of that is closer to reality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 GGEM south of GFS brings heavier snow to southern pa and less to northern. lol. Models. Now Euro will be into Canada. exactly....unreal. is the Ukie out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 is that map assuming 20:1 ratios? seems quite high compared to what temperature profile and qpf indicate what amounts should be... seems to me like half to 2/3rds of that is closer to reality It bases it off actual calculated ratios. GFS has it at like 5-12 degrees while snowing so seems reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Snow squalls in Toronto cause a near 100 car pile up. Opps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 So we got the ECM as a north outlier, and the GGEM as a south outlier. I'm still worried about suppression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 While the GGEM and GFS are south and NAVGEM too, UKMET decides to take the low over central pa. Got to love the models man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Why does Toronto get all the good pile-ups? Why can't there ever be one inside the Blue Mountain and Kittitany tunnels on the turnpike? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 27, 2014 Author Share Posted February 27, 2014 from DT's facebook page.. I will take this option Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 So we got the ECM as a north outlier, and the GGEM as a south outlier. I'm still worried about suppression. It's more likely to go north than south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Take a look at Cobb run from 6Z GFS. It shows ratios at MDT of only around 8:1 for the storm. Shows about 8" snow. Ran Cobb same run for KPIT, it gives them 13:1 ratios and 14" of snow. GFS is so cold during this storm. It's been quite a while since a major snowstorm began in the 20's and then dropped all the way down to lower teens near the end. I've seen it go the other way more often. Almost all the true biggies around here have had steady or slowly rising temps. But, '96 and '03 started out near 10 and only rose to the mid teens by the end. Other thing I wanted to mention was how this upcoming storm appears to be similar to Feb 2003 storm. We were on a east/west gradient with arctic air just to the north. I don't know if Monday storm resembles Feb 2003 at 500 and 850 on the charts. Can someone chime in about this?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 My bets the euro stays north. Now that it has some support from the UKMET, I start to worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Other thing I wanted to mention was how this upcoming storm appears to be similar to Feb 2003 storm. We were on a east/west gradient with arctic air just to the north. I don't know if Monday storm resembles Feb 2003 at 500 and 850 on the charts. Can someone chime in about this?? It's interesting that you posted this as it was something I was thinking about yesterday. My bets the euro stays north. Now that it has some support from the UKMET, I start to worry. I hope not. I don't want mixed precip. I'm for all snow, or...if it wants to go north, then let it go so far as to be a plain rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Wow the Ukmet used to be #2. CMC is kicking some butt right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 My bets the euro stays north. Now that it has some support from the UKMET, I start to worry. What is your worry? You were clear last night that you wanted rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 What is your worry? You were clear last night that you wanted rain. Rather have snow than a 34 degree rain. Cold rain makes it even worse for being cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Euros a straight crush job. Another south shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 850 line is in central VA. lol. Northern pa getting fringed. It is a GGEMish look but colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Euros a straight crush job. Another south shift. Yes...much better for us here in southern pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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