yoda Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'll go far out on a limb and say the gefs won't support the op this run. Call me crazy Probably... there is not even a ridge out west on the OP... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Now a dual low setup. This run is a train wreck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I wouldn't say "nothing". Nice to see the inland cutter idea fading away on this run, 50/50 low is still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I wouldn't say "nothing". Maybe a quick hitter of 1-3... but even the 850 0c line is close by Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'm inclined to toss this as a bad run...unless the Euro or hell...even the CMC backs it up. It's just such a huge change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Heck, I'll take the run with a smile. We're in man. All in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'd be ok with this solution. At least it's snow for most! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 nice....the GFS gets us there in its own weird GFS way....but we get there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 BOOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 153 and 156 This run is a big bag of WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I just want the GFS to show something close until 3 days out and hope it works things out this 5 day bulls eye stuff gives me a bad feeling every time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 nice....the GFS gets us there in its own weird GFS way....but we get there That's the funny part. It still finds a way in the end, despite the mess. Entertainment value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 We could live with this. And it's funny when people throw off on a model because it doesn't show what they want. If it shows it, it's possible. Seems like the euro was better with the last event at this range. Be interesting to see if it has consistency later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Maybe a quick hitter of 1-3... but even the 850 0c line is close by I'd say its more than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 We could live with this. And it's funny when people throw off on a model because it doesn't show what they want. If it shows it, it's possible. Seems like the euro was better with the last event at this range. Be interesting to see if it has consistency later. Not sure if this was addressed to me, but when a model does a vast change like that, yeah...I'm inclined to toss it until it has some support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 F it. Lock this one up. How can you complain even though is cosmologically impossible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 LOL, I think it's a tad more than 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'd say its more than that I didnt expect the GFS to do that... this run is... yeah.. I will just look at the CMC now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 here's looking at ya' kid http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=144ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_144_500_vort_ht.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 It does bullseye philly with 16" or so, so it could be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'd say its more than that Yeah DC still does well but it's a weird run. If the other globals trend then we need to watch this, but i'm thinking the euro/cmc have a miller a solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 It does bullseye philly with 16" or so, so it could be right. ha...just noticed that Philly is the bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 DC jackpot of 8" through 156 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Not sure if this was addressed to me, but when a model does a vast change like that, yeah...I'm inclined to toss it until it has some support. Not addressed to anyone. I don't know why it made such a change, but it does. There's a reason. If it's based on a faulty starting point or data somewhere else, of course it will be wrong. But it is possible. I agree. There must be support for any solution before it can be believed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'll hug it. How can you complain? Is this a miller Z or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 The biggest takeaway is the 50/50. It's burley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2014 Author Share Posted February 4, 2014 this model is just atroicious great run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Could the confluence be crushing the s/w that we get a solution like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2014 Author Share Posted February 4, 2014 seems like this period is going to get us snow no matter what? How do we do with Miller Cs typically? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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