Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 you guys are a riot. Keeping expectations low is fine, but no need to be bitter. We've got at least two snow events coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Not bitter, just realistic. You know you wish you'd be in that mega banding tmrw lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 There will be none here unless you have a hummer.The issue is by 8 or so accumulation won't be huge so I can see many companies choose to not cancel work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Tomorrow will be interesting fir work commute choices , indeed. My mind is already made up. Snow day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 My mind is already made up. Snow day [/quoted Definitely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I think it was looking like a 6-9" storm. Yeah, I think that's what we were expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Seems to be good model consensus for 6-8" at LNS and surrounding area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Not bitter, just realistic. You know you wish you'd be in that mega banding tmrw lol. Of course, but I'm not going to be upset when we're not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 you guys are a riot. Keeping expectations low is fine, but no need to be bitter. We've got at least two snow events coming. Find it hard to believe we don't see a sleetfest after 2-4" Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Final Call:IPT: Less that half inch UNV: 1 to 2 MDT: 3 to 5 LNS: 8 to 10 THV: 7 to 9 AOO: 3 to 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Find it hard to believe we don't see a sleetfest after 2-4" Wednesday. so I assume Wednesday isn't looking good for us either? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Find it hard to believe we don't see a sleetfest after 2-4" Wednesday. I don't agree, but I guess we'll see. PennMan and I discussed it earlier, and we agree that 5-8" of snow and 1/2"-1" of sleet is what we're thinking for Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Warm nose works in on most models, and they lightened up on precip hence 2 to 3 inches of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 so I assume Wednesday isn't looking good for us either? Wednesday is looking fine. I'm not sure what they're looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Not sure why the north folks are crying? 2 more chances for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 The issue is by 8 or so accumulation won't be huge so I can see many companies choose to not cancel work. Certainly not an expert , but it looks to be ripping mid-morningish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Wednesday is looking fine. I'm not sure what they're looking at. WAA is always underforecast on models. Plus,I've learned enough from reading jm1220's experiences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 HRRR looking good. Down to 37F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 WAA is always underforecast on models. Plus,I've learned enough from reading jm1220's experiences. CAD is always underforecast on models... Ugh, not gonna argue right now. Seahawks just won the Super Bowl and we have two snow events in the next three days. I'm gonna enjoy my night. And I hope everyone else enjoys theirs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 WAA is always underforecast on models. Plus,I've learned enough from reading jm1220's experiences. Wise words....best to expect it half way through the event. Better than ice though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Wednesday is looking fine. I'm not sure what they're looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 CAD is always underforecast on models... Ugh, not gonna argue right now. Seahawks just won the Super Bowl and we have two snow events in the next three days. I'm gonna enjoy my night. And I hope everyone else enjoys theirs. We'll see what happens, it works both ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Point and click 100% chance of freezing rain Tuesday night 3/4 to 1 inch of precip expected. That's no good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Point and click 100% chance of freezing rain Tuesday night 3/4 to 1 inch of precip expected. That's no good. No that doesn't, even cut that in half and it still equals bad news Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I always put my money on CAD. If the south gets a nice dump that is only going to strengthen the CAD. Wed looks fine here at UNV. I feel 6 inches is a good shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Down to 36F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Just for one last shot of model porn - 4km NAM has the .75 line nearing UNV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Voyager, dont buy into the NAM yet, RGEM shifted south 20 miles or so with the northern edge. The difference between the NAM and RGEM for our specific location is drastic... 2-3" vs 7-8" and until I see evidence the NAM isnt smoking something I would hedge my bets towards the lower end. I have bought into these north trends in the last 24 hours all winter only to watch as the heavy banding sets up just south of us over and over and over. Maybe this time is different but until I see overwhelming evidence I am skeptical that the 5"+ snows get north of Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Just for one last shot of model porn - 4km NAM has the .75 line nearing UNV. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42674-central-pa-and-the-fringes-february-2014/?p=2719107 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I always put my money on CAD. If the south gets a nice dump that is only going to strengthen the CAD. Wed looks fine here at UNV. I feel 6 inches is a good shot. Snow pack too, Tuesday's highs are going to underperform, the thermal mass of 3-10" of wet dense snow is just incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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