Vol4Life Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Thanks WxJordan! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Hello all! I've been lurking for awhile and have recently just joined. Been spending most of my time over in the TN Valley forum due to my location. However, I'm just hoping that someone in the Southeast gets a good snow during this cold spell that we've been in. With all that being said, referring to a couple of the previous posts, if the storm does phase with the northern stream, will that mean a significant shift to the NW? That would allow more inland areas in SC, GA, and NC to get in the heavier precip correct? Thanks in advance for the help in understanding. I've loved weather, especially winter weather, since I was a kid. I'm a model newbie and just trying to gain understanding. Welcome. Phasing gets mentioned a lot, but more than anything, the northern stream wave has to track farther to the southwest than shown on the GFS, through OK/TX, and the 500mb flow along the east coast has to back from westerly to more southwesterly, and sooner, in order to get the precip farther inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 at 108, GGEM has snow from TX to NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 24, 2014 Author Share Posted January 24, 2014 KMYR looks like snow while KCHS looks to be ZR for a bit. Interesting run and closer to previous coastal special runs it's had. Until the EPS really relaxes on interior totals; I'm still all in. Due to the further west run of the 12Z GFS and warmer 850's, it has a sig. ZR/IP for Waycross (AYS), SAV, and CHS for late Tue-Wed. 91/28 to 1/29) as 850's largely remain just above 0C but the sfc is below 32 even at the warmest on Wed. QPF is ~0.50" for this corridor. If this were all IP, it would be as much as~2" of accumulation as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 at 120, GGEM is a major snow storm for most of central/south GA, and the eastern 2/3 of SC/NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 at 120, GGEM is a major snow storm for parts of GA, SC and NClooks like the euro from yesterday. Man, the timing on this as slowed considerable over the past 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 at 120, GGEM is a major snow storm for parts of GA, SC and NC Hmm, I wonder what the canadian is showing that the GFS is not? Probably a pure Miller A system with the PV further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Where do you guys get the Canadian out this fast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 at 120, GGEM is a major snow storm for parts of GA, SC and NC Any pics or comparisons to the 0z run on the precip shield or track of the low. Sounds like it is further west. Here's the 0z; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Where do you guys get the Canadian out this fast?environment Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 at 120, GGEM is a major snow storm for most of central/south GA, and the eastern 2/3 of SC/NC I'm only out to 48 on the CMC but you can see how it's further west with the trough. Good news indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Where do you guys get the Canadian out this fast? Straight from the horse's mouth http://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Kabong Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Hey Kabong, I'm with ya on the idea of the novelty of a big storm south of us. Fun to think of the empty bread shelves in every Dollar General south of the Gnat Line. (if ya don't know what it is, be thankful). Last nights CMC gives us in south Georgia, the panhandle, L.A., something to ponder, and with what seems to be a favorable look for the coast shown on the Euro, a genuine threat for a lot of folks that mostly live vicariously through the more northern posters. And yes, "where's Chris (Delta)"? Shack, It's not very often that we're too far north, but this could be one of those times. Nevertheless, as the saying goes, there are "ducks on the pond" so we'll have to wait and see which way they fly! The latest GFS still has the storm so hope remains. This afternoon's EURO should be interesting as many are pulling for a westward trend. It's been so long since we've had a storm to track, I forgot how much fun it is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Where do you guys get the Canadian out this fast? http://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 That's pretty significant considering the Canadian had no storm or way right a few runs ago. The west trend has commenced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Any pics or comparisons to the 0z run on the precip shield or track of the low. Sounds like it is further west. Here's the 0z; It looks comparable to that. Maybe a little west and perhaps a littler warmer along the immediate coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 That's pretty significant considering the Canadian had no storm or way right a few runs ago. The west trend has commenced. I dont know if I'd go that far. I need to see the euro further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Straight from the horse's mouth http://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html I don't see the CMC showing precip at all on land? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Thanks on the Canadian links. It's definitely dropping a lot of energy into the digging trough. The trough axis is still through Texas at hr120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 hmph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 It looks comparable to that. Maybe a little west and perhaps a littler warmer along the immediate coast. Thanks. From my staring at the black and white maps it looks like the low is pretty close to Cape Hatteras. Should make the precip shield further inland. The MA and NE folks haven't given up and thinks that they still have a chance. I guess they do if the NW trend continues or they get a phase bomb. It would be pretty remarkable to have such a major storm that would effect so many costal areas from Texas to Maine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 That would appear to be close to half inch totals in the Charlotte area, more around Wadesboro and Lancaster(15MM) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I dont know if I'd go that far. I need to see the euro further west. It's certainly a better run for us inland folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 It looks comparable to that. Maybe a little west and perhaps a littler warmer along the immediate coast. Am I missing something? That link you gave looks nothing like the 00z run. Keeps everything coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Must be a caching issue on my machine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 I don't see the CMC showing precip at all on land? Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe the black and white maps come out first and the color ones with the precip you are looking at is yesterday's run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 It's certainly a better run for us inland folks Sweet! I didnt look at the 108 frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Am I missing something? That link you gave looks nothing like the 00z run. Keeps everything coastal. I've only looked at the black and white maps, but I have double and triple checked the time stamps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 Canadian is massive snowstorm verbatim, clown map is going to be nasty, run to run continuity, even if the solution is so extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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