Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Phil still likes to talk about the wx CapeCodWeather.Net @capecodweather5m Shorts back in the closet, sunscreen put away, beach towels folded back up. The Party is over. http://www.capecodweather.net/technical-discussion/premium-discussion/the-partys-over/ … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 It happened in 1994...like 3 days apart. This would have longevity in the overall cold (surrounding the core of it) and probably a good pattern for a reload. I have been stating in this thread for a while that the pattern looked ripe for multiple arctic outbreaks..and still does of course. The arctic cold signal has been pretty overwhelming on the ensemble data (you can't just look at the mean 850 temps...you want to look at 5H heights). It was textbook pattern for major arctic outbreak. yea seeing 484 heights in New England is sort of a red flag, the Euro depiction at day ten borders on insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 34F wet flakes. Turning the corner back to sensible winter wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 WSI energy rocking February http://www.wsi.com/blog/energy/sub-seasonal-u-s-temperature-outlook-for-february/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Knock knock who is there? PV PV who? PV2 Knock Knock who is there now? Death Death who? Deathtex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 WSI energy rocking February http://www.wsi.com/blog/energy/sub-seasonal-u-s-temperature-outlook-for-february/ Like what I am seeing....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 please everyone breathe a sigh of relief the whine sessions from NNE are over.. Bridge jumpers saved, electrical grids turned back on, only one confirmed suicide but he was an import from the deep south. (now punting for the Cowboys as he attempted to punt January but missed) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 I think the 18th event is coming westward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Eric Fisher just punted the next ten days, said wasted cold, man rip and reads are going to have a tough time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Eric Fisher just punted the next ten days, said wasted cold, man rip and reads are going to have a tough time. I haven't been impressed at all from what i've seen from him. he doesn't understand New england climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 I haven't been impressed at all from what i've seen from him. he doesn't understand New england climo Kev he grew up in Western Mass, he knows the climo just saw the GFS/GEFS and punted . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Kev he grew up in Western Mass, he knows the climo just saw the GFS/GEFS and punted . Entirely possible we skunk the next 10 days (aside from the incoming chill). That said, as Scooter has mentioned so many times recently, models will have a tough time with this pattern, so model huggers should not go into deep depression if a storm isn't modeled to hit every few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 I agree pattern is becoming main stay progressive, GFS does best in this pattern as its bias is progressive. However that doesn't mean we don't have to watch every single disturbance closely as one could blow up into a big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Eric is good actually. I've been impressed. Tough pattern and we could stay dry but I bet we snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 I agree pattern is becoming main stay progressive, GFS does best in this pattern as its bias is progressive. However that doesn't mean we don't have to watch every single disturbance closely as one could blow up into a big one. Yes. We have the cold coming. Could be quiet but sometimes there is a pleasant surprise in this kind of pattern......Honestly I would be happy with a few inches of snow and cold. But I will always accept more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Eric is good actually. I've been impressed. Tough pattern and we could stay dry but I bet we snow. GEFS are very very bullish about Sat night sunday, almost every member has a big INVT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Models are not 100% so we need to watch these disturbances closely, I would love another Jan 25 2000 storm, not a complete replica just something similar where the models are clueless until 12 hours out then they catch on and we get the monster, lol won't happen nowadays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Eric is good actually. I've been impressed. Tough pattern and we could stay dry but I bet we snow. Aside from the possible inverted trough this weekend, I don't really feel the next seven days have much of a shot at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Models are not 100% so we need to watch these disturbances closely, I would love another Jan 25 2000 storm, not a complete replica just something similar where the models are clueless until 12 hours out then they catch on and we get the monster, lol won't happen nowadays. its gotten better but its still far from, and will never be, a perfect science. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 That is so true, not gonna be a perfect science. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 if it becomes perfect then mets will be extinct.... and anyone with the ability to turn on a computer could predict the future. kill me please if that ever happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 WSI energy rocking February http://www.wsi.com/blog/energy/sub-seasonal-u-s-temperature-outlook-for-february/ A very nice read. Thanks for sharing the link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 A very nice read. Thanks for sharing the link. And your reads have been very informative also so thank you Nam wants to develop a burst of precip tonight, bL is warm but quick hitting Omega, could be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Aside from the possible inverted trough this weekend, I don't really feel the next seven days have much of a shot at the moment. Dreamers gonna dream. I agree with Eric and with you. As it stands TODAY...and that can change in future model runs the next week or so looks mainly dry. Hopefully late January it turns back on. Yawn in the meantime. Heavy, heavy fog right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Right now any clipper can turn into a monster with the right ingredients, this is an exciting pattern given the potential upside with one of these clippers. Also NAM at 45 hours as a major storm developing, SREFs are down to near 1000mb, while at 84 hours the SREFs are at 992mb over New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Right now any clipper can turn into a monster with the right ingredients, this is an exciting pattern given the potential upside with one of these clippers. Also NAM at 45 hours as a major storm developing, SREFs are down to near 1000mb, while at 84 hours the SREFs are at 992mb over New England. where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Out to sea, right now Brian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 the trough axis as modeled on the gefs is a bit too E. some members do show the 22nd and 25th event. still way too early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Out to sea, right now Brian. you can certainly be scraped with a few of the disturbances though, esp the 22nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 There are so many loves coming down that good luck with any accuracy beyond d3-4. First lets get it good and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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