Wmsptwx Posted August 15, 2013 Share Posted August 15, 2013 I miss exciting weather!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted August 15, 2013 Share Posted August 15, 2013 as I continue to slowly build my Harrisburg climo database... been seeing an interesting trend as i get deeper and deeper into data each of the past few months... a lot of the "climate change" or "global warming" talk is based on the average temperatures... not sure many have actually looked at trends in average highs and average lows... average highs have barely budged but average lows have climbed 3-4 degrees F each month... wonder how much increased development around locations of where the data is recorded (mostly airport) is leading to more of an urban heat island effect in vicinity of the weather stations to keep overnight temperatures a little warmer than they used to be?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted August 15, 2013 Share Posted August 15, 2013 That's an interesting hypothesis., I wonder if it's been looked at in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 By this time next Saturday, I will be back in true Central, or at least getting there. Fun times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 This weather is lame... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I agree eastern this was quite a boring summer....no doubt about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Bring on Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Rain and a high of 71 on Aug 18. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Does the world still exist? Someone pinch me cause I feel nothing. lol. Haven't see a thunderstorm in forever, tropics are dead, winter looks meh... Someone tell mother nature to wake up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Does the world still exist? Someone pinch me cause I feel nothing. lol. Haven't see a thunderstorm in forever, tropics are dead, winter looks meh... Someone tell mother nature to wake up. Maybe we'll have a vicious winter. The whole "quiet before the storm" thing, you know? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Yesterday was the 10th day in the last 11 without measurable rain. Still at 0.80" for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 21, 2013 Share Posted August 21, 2013 Maybe we'll have a vicious winter. The whole "quiet before the storm" thing, you know? I am not hearing or seeing any good news about this winter. But, who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted August 22, 2013 Share Posted August 22, 2013 best thunderstorm of the year but unfortunately at 4am when I was trying to sleep... 2.52" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 22, 2013 Share Posted August 22, 2013 best thunderstorm of the year but unfortunately at 4am when I was trying to sleep... 2.52"That woke me up, was not expecting it at all. Nice lightning display. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 24, 2013 Share Posted August 24, 2013 On my way to PSU now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 How's this for 84hr NAM fantasy: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Can you translate that to English? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Can you translate that to English? The 00z NAM was (likely) over-amplified with a deepening low pressure system over Pennsylvania. The result was very impressive directional and speed shear, which would have indicated an elevated risk of tornadoes. The latest 12z NAM and GFS are not as impressive, although the severe setup still bears watching from the Great Lakes into the mid-Atlantic region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Guys, just remember this heading into winter. "In EURO we trust, in NAM we bust." Perfect example, was March 5th - 7th of 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 Wow still looks ok for severe!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 25, 2013 Share Posted August 25, 2013 The 00z NAM was (likely) over-amplified with a deepening low pressure system over Pennsylvania. The result was very impressive directional and speed shear, which would have indicated an elevated risk of tornadoes. The latest 12z NAM and GFS are not as impressive, although the severe setup still bears watching from the Great Lakes into the mid-Atlantic region. Thank you! Guys, just remember this heading into winter. "In EURO we trust, in NAM we bust." Perfect example, was March 5th - 7th of 2013. Winter? What's that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 26, 2013 Share Posted August 26, 2013 Guys, just remember this heading into winter. "In EURO we trust, in NAM we bust." Perfect example, was March 5th - 7th of 2013. Euro...psssh farmers almanac.. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted August 26, 2013 Share Posted August 26, 2013 Euro...psssh farmers almanac.. lol. sign me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 26, 2013 Share Posted August 26, 2013 Summer missing for most of the year...comes back in time for the first day/week of classes. Got to love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 26, 2013 Share Posted August 26, 2013 Euro...psssh farmers almanac.. lol. Farmers' Almanac fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 26, 2013 Share Posted August 26, 2013 I'm getting a bad case of the winter shakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted August 27, 2013 Share Posted August 27, 2013 Farmers' Almanac fail. No kidding. That's crazy. Hope we get some rain this week here in central PA. Been very dry lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted August 27, 2013 Share Posted August 27, 2013 That it has Jamie. Boring also! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 27, 2013 Share Posted August 27, 2013 Possible MCS tonight/tomorrow morning. THE NEXT BEST FORCING MECH AND TRIGGERDOES NOT SEEM TO COME AROUND UNTIL LATER THIS EVENING. UPSTREAMMCV OVER MI IS FCST TO DEVELOP/RE-INTENSIFY AS NIGHT FALLS. GFSSEEMS TO BE FURTHER TO THE EAST THAN NAM WITH THE TRACK OF THECONVECTION AND ASSOCD PRECIP SHIELD. SREF SOLUTIONS ARE GENERALLYTO THE WEST. AS WITH ALL THESE MESOSCALE SYSTEMS...THETIMING AND DEVELOPMENT ARE VERY TENUOUS AND TYPICALLY POORLY FCSTBY THE MDLS...EVEN BY THE SUB-20KM GRID MDLS...DUE TO THE MANYSOURCES OF ERROR AND DIFFERENT CONV PARAM SCHEMES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted August 27, 2013 Share Posted August 27, 2013 cool are odd okay of that happening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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