April 2013 forecast contest -- temperatures

[uncle W]

DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH

-0.6......-1.0......-1.1.....................-0.5.......0.0.......+0.5

[Roger Smith]

We have now entered "late penalty time" at a rate of 1% per hour into month of April (EDT) ... these are the 30 on-time entries received, listed in order of DCA forecast anomaly. Later entries (so far, 6 total now 36) will be edited into this post and consensus may change as a result. (edit -- consensus will be changed when we pass the cut-off time).

 

 

Table of entries for April forecast contest

________________________________________

 

 

_________________________ DCA __ NYC __ BOS _________ ORD ___ ATL ___ IAH _______penalty

 

69 A Porcupine ................... +7.0 ... +11.0 ... +5.5 ... ... ... ... ... +4.5 ... +4.5 ... +1.5 ... ... ... ... 1%

 

Derek.Z ................................. +3.1 ... +2.3 ... +2.5 ... ... ... ... ... +3.4... +1.3 ... +0.7

 

Frivolous.z21 ........................ +2.7 ... +2.1 ... +1.6 ... ... ... ... ...  --1.8 ... +2.9 ... +1.5

 

CT Blizz ................................ +2.5 ... +1.7 ... +0.6 ... ... ... ... ... +0.9 ... +3.0 ... +4.0 ... ... ... ... 7%

 

H20town_WX ......................... +2.3 ... +1.9 ... +2.4 ... ... ... ... ... +3.8 ... +0.9 ... +2.0

 

Isotherm ................................ +2.3 ... +1.6 ... +2.0 ... ... ... ... ... +1.9 ... +3.4 ... +1.4

 

goobagooba ......................... +2.1 ... +1.8 ... +1.6 ... ... ... ... ... +0.5 ... +1.5 ... +0.4

 

Chicago Storm ..................... +2.0 ... +1.0 ... +0.5 ... ... ... ... ... +1.5 ... +2.5 ... +1.5 ... ... ... ... 1%

 

RodneyS .............................. +1.9 ... +0.9 ... +1.1 ... ... ... ... ... --0.4 ... +1.3 ... --0.2 

 

B.Irving ................................. +1.8 ... +1.5 ... +1.0 ... ... ... ... ... --0.5 ... +1.4 ... +1.5

 

bkviking ................................. +1.7 ... +1.8 ... +1.9 ... ... ... ... ... +0.3 ... +1.6 ... +1.0

 

Litchfieldlibations .................. +1.5 ... +2.1 ... +3.1 ... ... ... ... ... +4.1 .... 0.0 ... +1.1

 

Midlo Snow Maker ................ +1.5 ... +1.9 ... +2.0  ... ... ... ... ... --0.7 ... +0.8 ... --1.1

 

Roger Smith .......................... +1.5 ... +1.5 .... +1.7 ... ... ... ... ... +0.9 ... +1.3 ... +3.4

 

Mallow ................................... +1.5 ... +1.5 ...+1.5 ... ... ... ... ... +1.5 ...+1.5 ...+1.5

 

SD ......................................... +1.5 ... +1.1 ... +0.7 ... ... ... ... ...  --1.0 ... +1.7 ... +2.3

 

skierinvermont ...................... +1.5 ... +1.0 .... +0.5 ... ... ... ... ... +0.5 ... +2.5 ... +2.5

 

blazes556 ............................. +1.4 ... +1.6 ... +1.3 ... ... ... ... ... +0.6 ... +1.6 ... +2.3

 

i.need.snow ........................... +1.4 ... --0.5 ... --1.3 ... ... ... ... ... +0.1 ... +1.9 ... +3.1 ... ... ... ... 16%

 

 

Consensus ............................ +1.4 ... +1.2 ... +1.0 ... ... ... ... ... +0.5 ... +1.5 ... +1.4

 

 

Inudaw .................................. +1.4 ... +1.3 ... +0.9 ... ... ... ... ... +1.8 ...+2.2 ... +2.1

 

Ellinwood ............................... +1.3 ... +1.5 ... +1.2 ... ... ... ... ... +0.5 ... +1.5 ... +2.2

 

Pottercountywx ..................... +1.3  .. +1.8 ... +2.2 ... ... ... ... ... +0.3 ... +2.5 ... +3.0 ... ... ... 2%

 

donsutherland.1 .................... +1.1 ... +1.1 ... +0.9 ... ... ... ... ... +0.5 ... +0.3 ... +0.5

 

hudsonvalley21 ..................... +1.1 ... +0.8 ... --0.1 ... ... ... ... ... +0.5 ... +1.3 ... +1.4

 

ChicagoWx ............................ +1.0 ... +1.2 ... +1.2 ... ... ... ... ... +0.8 ... +1.4 ... +2.4

 

wxdude64 .............................. +1.0 ... +0.8 ... +0.8 ... ... ... ... ... --1.5 ... +1.9 ... +1.4

 

Stebo ..................................... +0.9 ... +0.3 ... --0.4 ... ... ... ... ...  +1.3 ... +1.7 ... +1.1

 

andyhb ................................... +0.7 ... +0.4 ... --0.3 ... ... ... ... ... +0.9 ... +1.1 ... +1.3   

 

metalicwx366 ......................... +0.5 ... +1.0 ... --0.5 ... ... ... ... ...  --0.8 ... +2.0 ... +1.3 ... ... ... ... 1%         

 

SACRUS ................................ +0.5 ... +0.2 ... +0.8 ... ... ... ... ...  --2.5 ... +1.2 ... +0.4

 

Brian5671 ............................... +0.5 ... --0.2 ... --0.8 ... ... ... ... ... +1.2 ... +1.5 ... +1.2

 

Srain ....................................... +0.4  ... +1.2 ... +0.9  ... ... ... ... ... --0.2 ... +1.6 …+0.9

 

MN_Transplant ........................ +0.1 ... +0.3 ... +0.5 ... ... ... ... ...  --0.4... --0.3 ... +0.7

 

 

Normal ....................................... 0.0 .... 0.0 .... 0.0 ... ... ... ... ... ... 0.0 .... 0.0 .... 0.0

 

 

Tom ........................................ --0.2 ... --0.4 ... --0.5 ... ... ... ... ... --0.6 ... +0.6 ... +0.7

 

unclew ..................................... -0.6 ... --1.0 ... --1.1 ... ... ... ... ... --0.5 .... 0.0 ... +0.5

 

Nzucker ...................................--0.7 .... 0.0 ... +0.3 ... ... ... ... ... +0.7 ... --0.8 ... +1.7

_____________________________________________________________

 

Apr 2 -- 36 entries, consensus mean of 18th and 19th and confirmed at same values (should hold with any more entries as there are multiple entries on consensus values).

[Chicago Storm]

DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH

+2.0 ... +1.0 ... +0.5 ... ... +1.5 ... +2.5 ... +1.5

[BeastFromTheEast]

DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH

+7.0 ... +11.0 ... +5.5 ... ... +4.5 ... +4.5 ... +1.5

[metalicwx366]

DCA... NYC... BOS.. ORD.. ATL .. IAH

+0.5.. +1.0.. -0.5. -0.8. +2.0.. +1.3

[PottercountyWXobserver]

DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH

+1.3 ... +1.8 ... +2.2 ... ... ... +0.3 ... +2.5 ... +3.0

 

 

ugggh sorry, it is just before midnight here but i will prob get docked points.

[Damage In Tolland]

DCA +2.5

NYC +1.7

BOS +0.6

ORD +0.9

ATL +3.0

IAH +4.0

[ineedsnow]

DCA +1.4

NYC-.5

BOS -1.3

ORD +0.1

ATL +1.9

IAH+ 3.1

[Roger Smith]

Table of entries (updated with late entries) is back at post #32.

[Roger Smith]

Here's the start, no big surprises as I would imagine warmer forecasts are counting on a warm period now to second half.

 

Averages to 6th with estimate after today in brackets:

 

DCA: ... --5.2 (--3.8)

 

NYC: ... --4.5 (--4.0)

 

BOS: ... --1.2 (--0.5)

 

ORD ... --4.6 (--3.2)

 

ATL ... --4.2 (--3.5)

 

IAH ... --5.5 (--4.0)

[Roger Smith]

Anomalies after 10 days (DCA yesterday +22) with projections to 17th in brackets (based on NWS state forecasts blended with 11th reported mins):

 

DCA ... +2.4 (settling into 3-4 range and may be near +3 by 17th)

 

NYC ... +1.2 (may drop close to zero then rise to about +2 by 17th)

 

BOS ... +1.6 (similar to NYC)

 

ORD ... --2.4 (will remain near this value)

 

ATL ... +0.3 (should drift upward towards +2)

 

IAH ... --2.0 (will fall to about -4 then recover to near -2)

 

 

 

 

[skierinvermont]

thru 14th, with today and NWS thru 21st in paranths

 

DCA: +3.9 (4.3)

 

NYC: +.1 (+1.3)

 

BOS: +.3

 

 

ORD: -2.8

 

IAH: -3.0

 

ATL: +.8

[wxdude64]

A bit past the half-way point....

 

DCA:  +4.1

NYC:  +0.1

BOS:  +0.2

ORD:  -2.1

IAH:   -2.3

ATL:  +1.3

[Roger Smith]

Just a heads up for anyone comparing those last two posts to the table of forecasts, IAH and ATL are reversed (the figures are correct but the order in the table is ATL then IAH). Most stations except DCA should pick up a few tenths today, DCA will maintain near +4.

[Roger Smith]

After 20 days and a record low on the 20th (39 F) at IAH, these are the anomalies ...

 

DCA .. +4.8

NYC .. +0.9

BOS .. +1.8

 

ORD .. --3.1

ATL .. +1.3

IAH .. --2.8

 

The source of cold air is not hard to find, Minot ND has an anomaly so far of --16.8 deg.

 

 

[wxdude64]

After 20 days and a record low on the 20th (39 F) at IAH, these are the anomalies ...

 

DCA .. +4.8

NYC .. +0.9

BOS .. +1.8

 

ORD .. --3.1

ATL .. +1.3

IAH .. --2.8

 

The source of cold air is not hard to find, Minot ND has an anomaly so far of --16.8 deg.

 sorta hope they (ND, SD, western MN) stay in the cold range for a while longer, that snowpack melting all at once would NOT be pretty!

[Roger Smith]

True, there is concern about this flood potential in Manitoba also, the Red River often runs into ice jams on the Canadian side of the border and while the city of Winnipeg is protected by floodways around the city, all the towns and flat farmlands south of there are pretty much at the mercy of the river and its tributaries. Whenever you see Grand Forks ND in a flood situation, that usually takes about 2-4 more days to get into Manitoba. Also the Souris River which flows through Minot ND ends up joining the Assiniboine River in western Manitoba and those can also cause major floods with the ice jams between Portage and Winnipeg where the Assiniboine meets the Red. There is basically no height of land between that river and Lake Manitoba, the large one west of Lake Winnipeg.

 

I would say the melt will be gradual enough at first and the real problems could be 2-3 weeks away yet, possibly even four weeks. For the Missouri River drainage, however, isn't this snow cover actually a good thing, I thought the Missouri River was running low downstream?

[Roger Smith]

Here's the story after 22 days with a projection to end of month based on posted NWS forecasts relative to daily normals, and a projection for 30th from models.

 

DCA ... +3.4 (will drift down to +2 and stabilize to finish near +1.5)

 

NYC ...  0.0 (will settle into -0.5 to -1.0 range and finish near --0.7)

 

BOS ... +1.0 (will struggle to remain positive and finish near +0.3)

 

ORD ... --3.2 (will edge up towards end to finish near -2.4)

 

ATL ... +0.6 (will lose a bit of this positive then regain it to finish near +0.5)

 

IAH ... --3.2 (will drop to about --4 then recover to finish near --3.5)

 

Around Thursday I will update actual values, revise those end of month estimates, open the May forecast thread, and post a provisional scoring estimate here which will then be fine tuned to the bitter end.  The NWS could be a bit conservative on highs during the warm end of month spell, so assume these estimates to be more likely to rise than fall.

 

Unless my projections are way off, the leaders are going to widen their lead, I would say Midlosnowmaker is favorite to win the month picking up many points at IAH on the field, but RodneyS will do better than most (better than most) (time of year appropriate golf joke) and normal will once again kick the sorry ass of consensus. Our group idea of warmth for Houston was not entirely misplaced, I think half the month has been above normal but the cold parts have really blown away the warm parts thanks to the frequency of mid-day cold front passages. Chicago has probably done about what most expected but the strength of the nearby cold pool has distorted the pattern maybe more than expected, however there definitely is a warm bubble over the mid-Atlantic, albeit a rapidly deflating one at this point. Consensus forecasts for DCA and BOS were better than most (better than most).

 

 

 

 

[Roger Smith]

(final edit)

 

Verified scoring for April forecast contest

________________________________________

 

 

_________________________ DCA __ NYC __ BOS _________ ORD ___ ATL ___ IAH _______

 

Confirmed final values ............ +2.1 ... 0.0 ... +0.8 ... ....... ... --2.0 ... +0.1 ... --2.9

 

 

SACRUS ................................ 68 ... 96 .. 100 ... 264 ... ... ... 90 ... 78 ... 34 ... 202 ... ... 466

 

RodneyS .............................. 96 ... 82 ... 94 ... 272 ... ... ... 68 ... 76 ... 46 ... 190 ... ... 462

 

Midlo Snow Maker ................. 88 ... 62 ... 76 ... 226 ... ... ... 74 ... 86 ... 64 ... 224 ... ... 450

 

 

Normal ................................ 58 .... 100 .. 84 ... 242 ... ... ... 60 ...98 ... 42 ... 200 ... ... 442

 

 

MN_Transplant ....................... 60 ... 94 ... 94 ... 248 ... ... ... 68... 92 ... 28 ... 188 ... ... 436

 

donsutherland.1 ..................... 80 ... 78 ... 98 ... 256 ... ... ... 50 ... 96 ... 32 ... 178 ... ... 434

 

wxdude64 .............................. 78 ... 84 .. 100 ... 262 ... ... ... 90 ... 64 ... 14 ... 168 ... ... 430

 

B.Irving .................................. 94 ... 70 ... 96 ... 260 ... ... ... 70 ... 74 ... 12 ... 156 ... ... 416

 

SD ......................................... 88 ... 78 ... 98 ... 264 ... ... ... 80 ... 68 ... 00 ... 148 ... ... 412

 

Tom ....................................... 54 ... 92 ... 74 ... 220 ... ... ... 72 ... 90 ... 28 ... 190 ... ... 410

 

goobagooba ...........................100 ... 64 ... 84 ... 248 ... ... ...50 ... 72 ... 34 ... 156 ... ... 404

 

Srain ....................................... 66 ... 76 ... 98 ... 240 ... ... ... 64 ... 70 …24 ... 158 ... ... 398

 

 

Consensus ............................ 86 ... 76 ... 96 ... 258 ... ... ... 50 ... 72 ... 14 ... 136 ... ... 394

 

 

unclew ................................... 46 ... 80 ... 62 ... 188 ... ... ... 70 ... 98 ... 32 ... 200 ... ... 388

 

hudsonvalley21 ...................... 80 ... 84 ... 82 ... 246 ... ... ... 50 ... 76 ... 14 ... 140 ... ... 386

 

Frivolous.z21 ......................... 88 ... 58 ... 84 ... 230 ... ... ... 96 ... 44 ... 12 ... 152 ... ... 382

 

bkviking ................................. 92 ... 64 ... 78 ... 234 ... ... ... 54 ... 70 ... 22 ... 146 ... ... 380

 

andyhb ................................... 72 ... 92 ... 78 ... 242 ... ... ... 42 ... 80 ... 16 ... 138 ... ... 380

 

metalicwx366 ......................... 68 ... 80 ... 74 ... 222 ... ... ... 76 ... 62 ... 16 ...154 ... 376

................ (-1%) .................... 67 ... 79 ... 73 ... 219 ... ... ... 75 ... 61 ... 16 ... 152 ... ... 371

 

Nzucker ..................................44 ... 100 ... 90 ... 234 ... ... ... 46 ... 82 ... 08 ... 136 ... ... 370

 

Ellinwood ............................... 84 ... 70 ... 92 ... 246 ... ... ... 50 ... 72 ... 00 ... 122 ... ... 368

 

Stebo ..................................... 76 ... 94 ... 76 ... 246 ... ... ... 34 ... 68 ... 20 ... 122 ... ... 368

 

ChicagoWx ............................ 78 ... 76 ... 92 ... 246 ... ... ... 44 ... 74 ... 00 ... 118 ... ... 364

 

skierinvermont ...................... 88 ... 80 .... 94 ...262 ... ... ... 50 ... 52 ... 00 ... 102 ... ... 364

 

blazes556 .............................. 86 ... 68 ... 90 ... 244 ... ... ... 48 ... 70 ... 00 ... 118 ... ... 362

 

Chicago Storm ...................... 98 ... 80 ... 94 ... 272 ... ... ... 30 ... 52 ... 12 ...094 ... 366

................ (-1%) .................... 97 ... 79 ... 93 ... 269 ... ... ... 30 ... 51 ... 12 ... 093 ... ... 362

 

Roger Smith .......................... 88 ... 70 .... 82 ... 240 ... ... ... 42 ... 76 ... 00 ... 118 ... ... 358

 

Mallow ................................... 88 ... 70 ...86 ... 244 ... ... ... 30 ...72 ... 12 ... 114 ... ... 358

 

Brian5671 ............................... 68 ... 96 ... 68 ... 232 ... ... ... 36 ... 72 ... 18 ... 126 ... ... 358

 

Inudaw .................................. 86 ... 74 ... 98 ...258 ... ... ... 24 ... 58 ... 00 ... 082 ... ... 340

 

i.need.snow ........................... 86 ... 90 ... 58 ... 234 ... ... ... 58 ... 64 ... 00 ... 122 ... 356

............. (--8%) ................... 79 ... 83 ... 53 ... 215 ... ... ... 54 ... 59 ... 00 ... 113 ... ... 328

 

CT Blizz ................................ 92 ... 66 ... 96 ... 254 ... ... ... 42 ... 42 ... 00 ... 084 ... 338

.................. (-4%) ................ 89 ... 63 ... 92 ... 244 ... ... ... 40 ... 40 ... 00 ... 080 ... ... 324

 

Pottercountywx ..................... 84 ... 64 ... 72 ... 220 ... ... ... 54 ... 52 ... 00 ... 106 ... 326

................... (-1%) ................ 83 ... 63 ... 71 ... 217 ... ... ... 53 ... 51 ... 00 ... 104 ... ... 321

 

Litchfieldlibations ................... 88 ... 58 ... 54 ... 200 ... ... ... 00 ... 98 ... 20 ... 118 ... ... 318

 

H20town_WX ......................... 96 ... 62 ... 68 ... 226 ... ... ... 00 ... 84 ... 02 ... 086 ... ... 312

 

Isotherm ................................ 96 ... 68 ... 76 ... 240 ... ... ... 22 ... 34 ... 14 ... 070 ... ... 310

 

Derek.Z ................................. 80 ... 54 ... 66 ... 200 ... ... ... 00... 76 ... 28 ... 104 ... ... 308

 

69 A Porcupine ..................... 02 ... 00 ... 06 ... 008 ... ... ... 00 ... 12 ... 12 ... 024 ... ... 032

 

_____________________________________________________________

 

(table edited July 17th to show revised penalties)

[Roger Smith]

Reposted May 1 from 0300h to ??

 

Final data for month replaces yesterday's estimates. This is ongoing, check back later for complete results.

 

The previous post will contain an edited and eventually final version of the April scoring with changes being made as official data are posted. Chicago (ORD) had a +19 anomaly on the 30th which ironically helped the entire field with perhaps one exception to score ten more points. As of 1015h the list is updated and the table should be finished by 1045h (EDT).

 

DCA ... +2.1

 

NYC ... --0.0 (indicates second decimal gives negative, same as 0.0 for our purposes)

 

BOS ... +0.8

 

ORD ... --2.0

 

ATL ... +0.1

 

IAH ... --2.9

[Inudaw]

Welp... I need to invest more time for the new cities in general.         I'm really failing too hard there despite my somewhat consistent east coast city scores.. :-/

[Roger Smith]

__________________________________________________________________

 

Annual Scoring Table -- January to April

__________________________________________________________________

 

 

This is the sum of all forecast scores for all categories.

 

The number of * beside forecaster name gives a count of months missed.

 

Under "best scores" the column keeps track of monthly best scores, in that list, CL means the classic division and EX means the three new stations. When a forecaster has more than one monthly win for a station, the + sign is added each time (e.g., H20townWx has two wins for Boston). Ties are awarded to all who match top score. Numbers indicate months won (e.g., 4 means April). New this month, no column appears for "table leaders" -- that is now shown within the scoring numbers by bold and underlined entries. This indicates who is leading in each category at this stage.

 

 

 

________________________________ "Classic" _______________ "Expanded" _____________

 

 

Forecaster ............ ........... DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... (.C.) ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH ... (.E.) .... Total Score
________________________________________________________________________________

....Annual (cum) values ......... +0.7 .. --0.3 .. +0.6 ........ ... --1.5 .. +0.3 .. +0.0 ................ Best score awards

 

__________________________________________________________________________________(for months)

 

01 RODNEY S ......................306 ..288 .. 342 ..... 936 .... .... 253 .. 200 ... 272 ..... 725 ..... 1661 ___ CL+ ORD

02 MIDLO SNOW MAKER ..... 288 .. 258 .. 298 ..... 844 .... .... 227 .. 218 .. 298 ..... 743 ..... 1587 ___BOS,NYC,IAH,EX

03 WXDUDE64 .................... 268 .. 296 .. 308 ..... 872 .... .... 257 .. 160 .. 226 ..... 643 ...... 1515 _____ CL,NYC,3

04 DONSUTHERLAND1 ....... 228 .. 248 .. 318 ..... 794 .... .... 213 .. 202 .. 258 ..... 673 ...... 1467 _____ BOS,IAH

05 MN TRANSPLANT .......... 234 .. 318 .. 320 ..... 872 .... .... 163 .. 183 .. 214 ..... 560 ..... 1432

 

(06) Normal ...................... 198 .. 274 .. 310 ..... 782 .... .... 172 .. 186 .. 224 ..... 582 ..... 1364 ______ ATL+ NYC

 

06 BLAZESS556 ................. 232 .. 240 .. 302 ..... 774 .... ... 181 .. 170 .. 234 ..... 585 ..... 1359

07 SD ................................ 206 .. 256 .. 306 ..... 768 .... .... 211 .. 162 .. 198 ..... 571 .... 1339 ______ ORD

08 STEBO .......................... 198 .. 266 .. 302 ..... 766 .... .... 184 .. 156 .. 216 ..... 556 ..... 1322

09 SACRUS ........................ 234 .. 260 .. 284 ..... 778 .... .... 148 .. 169 .. 224 ..... 541 ..... 1319 ____ BOS, 4

10 SKIERINVERMONT ......... 257 .. 275 .. 312 .... 844 .... .... 177 .. 156 .. 139 ..... 472 ..... 1316 ______ IAH

 

11 H2OTOWN_WX .............. 262 .. 254 .. 308 ..... 824 .... .... 74 .. 185 .. 218 ..... 477 ...... 1301 ______ CL, BOS+ ATL

12 MALLOW ....................... 250 .. 240 .. 282 ..... 772 .... .... 120 .. 154 .. 244 ..... 518 ..... 1290 _____ IAH, 1

 

(10) Consensus ................... 224 .. 242 .. 316 .... 782 .... ..... 133 .. 139 ... 236 ..... 508 ..... 1290

 

13 SRAIN ............................ 200 .. 264 .. 320 ..... 784 .... .... 129 .. 156 .. 212 ..... 497 ..... 1281

14 NZUCKER ....................... 191 .. 257 .. 241 ..... 689 .... ... 184 .. 193 .. 201 ..... 578 ..... 1267 _____ NYC

15 INUDAW ......................... 240 .. 256 .. 322 ..... 818 .... .... 159 ... 79 .. 192 ..... 430 ..... 1248 _____ BOS

 

16 BKVIKING ....................... 182 .. 214 .. 304 ..... 700 .... .... 170 .. 138 .. 238 ..... 546 ...... 1246

17 UNCLE W ........................ 160 .. 242 .. 258 ..... 660 .... ... 151 .. 168 .. 240 ..... 559 ..... 1219 ______ ATL

18 TOM .............................. 152 .. 222 .. 272 ..... 646 .... .... 183 .. 136 .. 232 ..... 551 ..... 1197

19 LITCHFIELDLIBATIONS .... 242 .. 228 .. 250 ..... 720 .... .... 129 .. 149 .. 188 ..... 466 ..... 1186 _____ BOS, ATL

20 CHICAGO_WX ................ 184 .. 210 .. 282 ..... 676 .... .... 127 .. 125 .. 218 ..... 470 ..... 1146

 

21 ELLINWOOD ................... 192 .. 204 .. 266 ..... 662 .... ... 113 .. 135 .. 194 ...... 442 ..... 1104

22 GOOBAGOOBA ............... 184 .. 178 .. 226 ..... 588 .... ... 138 .. 113 .. 212 ..... 463 ..... 1051 ______ DCA

23 CTBLIZZ ......................... 183 .. 169 .. 180 ..... 532 .... ... 170 .. 113 .. 214 ..... 497 ...... 1029 ___IAH,EX,DCA,ORD

24 ISOTHERM ..................... 198 .. 198 .. 224 ..... 620 ..... ..... 38 .. 103 .. 240 ..... 381 ...... 1001

25 POTTERCOUNTYWXOBS.. 213 .. 193 .. 265 ..... 671 .... .... 67 ... 87 .. 144 ...... 298 ..... 969

 

26 FRIVOLOUSZ21* ........... 195 .. 187 .. 218 ..... 600 .... ... 155 ... 76 .. 135 ...... 366 ...... 966 _____ NYC, ORD

27 DEREK Z ........................ 184 .. 136 .. 192 ..... 512 .... .... 40 .. 164 .. 236 ..... 440 ...... 952 ______ EX,ATL

28 ROGER SMITH ................ 164 .. 152 .. 226 ..... 542 .... .... 89 .. 128 .. 150 ..... 367 ...... 909 ______ BOS,IAH

29 CHICAGO STORM ........... 151 .. 185 .. 259 ..... 595 .... .... 58 ... 59 .. 148 ..... 265 ...... 860

30 HUDSONVALLEY21* ...... 158 .. 174 .. 164 ..... 496 .... .... 84 .. 130 .. 136 ..... 350 ....... 846

 

31 I.NEED.SNOW** ............. 171 .. 173 .. 133 ..... 477 .... ... 138 .. 141 ... 84 .... 363 ...... 840 _____ CL,EX,DCA,ATL,2

32 WEATHERDUDE*.............. 101 .. 134 .. 183 .... 418 .... .... 74 ... 98 .. 132 ..... 304 ...... 722

33 CPICK79**........................ 126 ... 78 .. 158 .... 362 .... .... 99 .. 104 .. 86 ..... 289 ....... 651

34 SKISHEEP**...................... 66 ... 98 .. 150 .... 314 .... ..... 79 ... 86 .. 138 ...... 303 ..... 617

35 BRAD1551**..................... 74 .. 118 ..100 ..... 292 .... ..... 64 ... 68 ...162 ..... 294 ...... 586 ______ NYC

 

36 QVECTORMAN** ............. 150 ... 60 ... 82 .... 292 .... .... 52 ... 68 ... 12 ..... 132 ...... 424 _____ DCA

37 B.IRVING***...................... 94 ... 70 ... 96 ..... 260 .... .... 70 ... 74 ... 12 ..... 156 ...... 416

38 ABSOLUTE HUMIDITY***... 80 ... 78 ... 82 ..... 240 .... .... 25 ... 50 ... 86 ...... 161 ...... 401

39 WESTWIND** ................... 44 ... 80 .. 116 .... 240 .... .... 30 ... 11 .. 112 ...... 153 ...... 393

40 ANDY HB*** ..................... 72 ... 92 ... 78 ..... 242 .... .... 42 ... 80 ... 16 ...... 138 ...... 380

40 LONGISLANDWX***........... 56 ... 52 ... 82 ..... 190 .... .... 72 ... 28 ... 90 ...... 190 ....... 380

 

42 METALICWX366*** ........... 67 ... 79 ... 73 ..... 219 .... .... 75 ... 61 ... 16 ..... 152 ...... 371

43 BRIAN 5671*** ................. 68 ... 96 ... 68 ..... 232 .... .... 36 ... 72 ... 18 ..... 126 ...... 358

44 HOCKEYINC*** ................. 64 ... 38 ... 68 ..... 170 .... .... 88 ... 44 ... 28 ..... 160 ...... 330

45 NYCSUBURBS*** .............. 58 ... 84 ... 72 ..... 214 .... .... 14 ... 32 ... 62 ..... 108 ...... 322

46 STORMITECTURE*** ......... 29 ... 55 ... 94 ..... 178 .... .... 02 ... 00 ... 74 ..... 076 ..... 254

47 SHADES*** ....................... 32 ... 60 ... 46 ..... 138 .... .... 00 ... 18 ... 82 ..... 100 ...... 238

48 TSTEEL*** ........................ 20 ... 40 ... 40 ..... 100 .... .... 54 ... 13 ... 42 ..... 109 ...... 209

49 WHITEOUTMD*** ............. 24 ... 30 ... 40 ..... 094 .... .... 26 ... 02 ... 72 ..... 100 ...... 194

50 CANDYMANCOLUMBUSGA*** 30 .. 28 .. 32 ..... 090 .... .... 40 ... 00 ... 60 ..... 100 ...... 190

51 69APORCUPINE*** ............. 02 ... 00 ... 06 ..... 008 .... .... 00 ... 12 ... 12 ..... 024 ...... 032

52 OKIE333*** ....................... 00 ... 00 ... 10 ..... 010 .... .... 00 ... 00 ... 00 ..... 000 ...... 010

 

_____________________________________________________________________________________

 

 

* asterisks show how many months a forecaster has missed ... no asterisk, has been in every month

 

"Best score" awards are listed first by cumulative best scores from this table, and then by all best scores for stations and groups every month entered.

 

Monthly winners so far are Mallow (Jan) I.need.snow (Feb) wxdude64 (Mar) and Sacrus (Apr). This is coded into the table by number of the month (in the monthly column).

 

The annual temp is the running average without weighting for different length of the months.

 

 

(edited July 17th to show revised penalty scores)

[MN Transplant]

Mid-Atlantic representing! (#1,2,3,5)

[Midlo Snow Maker]

Mid-Atlantic representing! (#1,2,3,5)

Lol I need a mod met tag

[Mallow]

You have my overall total right, but my "expanded" total is wrong. You have 417, should be 517.

[Roger Smith]

Okay, fixed that, checked those subtotals in general, and found a couple of others (Don S total missed by one digit despite excel backup, I.need.snow eastern sub-total), in case the nicer looking table gets posted, check those. Minor changes not affecting the order of finish.

[RodneyS]

Okay, fixed that, checked those subtotals in general, and found a couple of others (Don S total missed by one digit despite excel backup, I.need.snow eastern sub-total), in case the nicer looking table gets posted, check those. Minor changes not affecting the order of finish.

I appreciate all the effort you have been in to running the contest, Roger.  The only extremely minor remaining error that I see in the table is the "Classic" total for Tom (# 17) is listed at 648, but the numbers add to only 646.

[Roger Smith]

My excel file does  did not have columns for the subtotals, or at least it didn't until about five minutes ago. So we shouldn't have these errors creeping in next month. I will check them all anyway and change any that are still in error without making a note here as I've already checked the totals which were in the file.