Jrad08 Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 I agree. With that said points just east may receive slightly higher amounts due to the cover of darkness negating the extreme sun angle this time of year. If thunderstorms get going on the southern end of the system, watch for moisture enhancement riding north as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 and the laf boys said their snowstorm chances were done a month ago lol Can't speak for Tim but I remember saying that it transitions into hoping for a fluke. To put in perspective how rare this is, Chad Evans came up with a list of late season snowstorms for LAF since 1821 (the early years are from newspaper/diary accounts). There have only been 4 storms to drop 6+ inches after March 20 (3/23/1836, 3/26/1913, 4/18/1926, 3/25-26/2002). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Can't speak for Tim but I remember saying that it transitions into hoping for a fluke. To put in perspective how rare this is, Chad Evans came up with a list of late season snowstorms for LAF since 1821 (the early years are from newspaper/diary accounts). There have only been 4 storms to drop 6+ inches after March 20 (3/23/1836, 3/26/1913, 4/18/1926, 3/25-26/2002). Late march 2012 was wild at purdue with back to back moderate snowfalls. That was my senior year. It really did nothing that entire winter until then. Very strange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Late march 2012 was wild at purdue with back to back moderate snowfalls. That was my senior year. It really did nothing that entire winter until then. Very strange. Late march 2002...oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Can't speak for Tim but I remember saying that it transitions into hoping for a fluke. To put in perspective how rare this is, Chad Evans came up with a list of late season snowstorms for LAF since 1821 (the early years are from newspaper/diary accounts). There have only been 4 storms to drop 6+ inches after March 20 (3/23/1836, 3/26/1913, 4/18/1926, 3/25-26/2002). Wow crazy that they looked back to 1821. Did a quick glance (I have a list of every 6"+ storm since 1910), and since 1910 Detroit has seen 12 storms drop 6"+ after March 20th (I used 1910 even though records started in 1880 because I am missing a little data before that. You can certainly add several to the list from 1881-1909). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbotc Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 This may make up for the craptastic winter. I was not expecting winter averages to be met with a storm almost into April! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Wow crazy that they looked back to 1821. Did a quick glance (I have a list of every 6"+ storm since 1910), and since 1910 Detroit has seen 12 storms drop 6"+ after March 20th (I used 1910 even though records started in 1880 because I am missing a little data before that. You can certainly add several to the list from 1881-1909). Chad has some missing years too so it's possible that the list from above could be understating things a bit but the bottom line is that it's pretty darn uncommon. Climo certainly favors areas farther north but this regime of late is anything but typical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 NWS Wilmington issued Winter Storm Watch for 5-10 inches in the Dayton area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Looks like I may end up just north of the heaviest band. Looks like HPC is favoring I70 at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerbs Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Last time I remember a significant snow in March (long ago) there was thunder snow. Is there any chance of that with this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 IWX going to go with a special weather statement...going 4-6 inches south of a Peru to Decatur to Ottawa line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Last time I remember a significant snow in March (long ago) there was thunder snow. Is there any chance of that with this storm? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Last time I remember a significant snow in March (long ago) there was thunder snow. Is there any chance of that with this storm? There is severe storms forcasted to the south, so if some of that moisture can ride up over the cold air thundersnow is a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerbs Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Thanks, Looking forward to the possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 How far north does the snow swath make it in Ohio? Better than previous runs for CLE: MON 06Z 25-MAR 0.0 -4.7 1002 78 100 0.03 537 535 MON 12Z 25-MAR -0.6 -5.8 1001 92 98 0.25 533 531 MON 18Z 25-MAR 1.2 -5.9 1005 83 98 0.10 534 530 TUE 00Z 26-MAR 0.1 -6.0 1010 93 98 0.04 537 529 TUE 06Z 26-MAR -2.4 -6.2 1013 93 93 0.02 538 528 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Hahaha. NAM going wayyyy south. Geez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Who cares about the NAM. You can see the errors it makes by 24hrs. Considering that the system is going to split in half, less potential anyway you go about it. Finding the defo band is probably will the best accums will be. The models won't know where it sets up to Sunday. the nam is a joke even though it would be a solid hit here. I swear this thing seems more like a double barreled low that splits with the front one racing away. It's like the coastal transfer never really finishes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 A pretty sweet early spring snowstorm for the 70 corridor. Enjoy shoveling the cement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Updated ILN Graphic. Low pressure will travel through Kentucky into Ohio from Sunday into Monday. Significant snowfall will occur for parts of the region. Warm air will be pulled into the area from the south and bring rain to southern Ohio and most of Kentucky, limiting snow totals here. The low will exit the Ohio Valley early Monday, but cold air will wrap around and stream in on northerly winds. Any precipitation that occurs on Monday will be snow for the entire region and additional lighter accumulations are likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 LOT appears to have moved the likelihood of significant snowfall farther south. No change in the snowfall graphic for the entire CWA, but there is a WInter Storm Watch for S. of I-80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 LOT appears to have moved the likelihood of significant snowfall farther south. No change in the snowfall graphic for the entire CWA, but there is a WInter Storm Watch for S. of I-80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 LOT was banging the lake enhancement drum pretty hard before, however that map doesn't really seem to show it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Chad's snowcast map has 5.7" for LAF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Anyone got a 18Z NAM snowfall map for ****s and giggles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 LOT appears to have moved the likelihood of significant snowfall farther south. No change in the snowfall graphic for the entire CWA, but there is a WInter Storm Watch for S. of I-80 Hmm.. perhaps I might see an inch or two.... That's all I am willing to deal with, this late in the season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Anyone got a 18Z NAM snowfall map for ****s and giggles? As long as you have been on here, do you seriously not know how to find this stuff yourself yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 22, 2013 Author Share Posted March 22, 2013 18z RGEM pretty far south as well. Looks like a brief hit with the weakening initial wave of light snows for northern IL, and then the second wave misses southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Chad's snowcast map has 5.7" for LAF Over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Over I'm surprised you're not in pessimist mode. Maybe it's still too early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 A pretty sweet early spring snowstorm for the 70 corridor. Enjoy shoveling the cement. Figures, I'm in Florida working for 2 weeks . Hoping for some good storms to chase in the Panhandle tomorrow to make up for what I'm missin' ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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