bluewave Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Don't buy the NAM, it does this every storm...do not fall for it The NAM usually does better the day of the storm. Several runs with the blizzard had the heaviest precip too far NW until it came further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 how much qpf accumulates through 54 on central li? im on nassau suffolk border so i think ill be alright About 1.50" of QPF through hr 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Still snowing at 60. Looks like most of the other models... Wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Hour 60 the snow continues to pile on. It's a 's dream and a nightmare for the general public. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Hour 60 the snow continues to pile on. It's a 's dream and a nightmare for the general public. would the precip at that point be snow or rain for western li? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Certainly the Nam moved to the Euro with the inverted trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 High res precip totals show the city in excess of 1.75" through only 42 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Yikes, imagine if the NAM verified. What a mess that would be for the public, everyone that I’ve talked to today thinks it’s just flurries/sprinkles, they are totally unaware of what could happen... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeCTWX Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Euro ensembles anybody? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 And at 63 and the heavier part of the inverted trough is inching souteastward... I wish I could believe this but I simply cannot... Any mets care to weigh in on the feasibility of this given the set up and how this evolved? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 would the precip at that point be snow or rain for western li? City changes over at hr 60 so for western LI between hr 57 and hr 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Hour 60 the snow continues to pile on. It's a 's dream and a nightmare for the general public. 850s are toasty then though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Shame it's the NAM..but hey it's 24 hours away..this is the reason NCEP runs this model to be correct at this time range,so you never know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 hahaha this actually looks BETTER than 12z at 33. WHAT IS GOING ON. WHY DO YOU DO THIS TO US MOTHER NATURE Haha, this is a pretty wild spread so close in. Something has to give, model errors/discrepancy can only be so large as we approach 0hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 LOL by hour 66 the precip has now worked it's way all the way northwest back to Lake Ontario. Light to moderate snow continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 ECM says Boston gets 2 feet and NYC almost nothing. NAM says NYC gets 2 feet and Boston almost nothing. LOL. BTW, completely disagree that this is a good run for New England. Gets much too toasty on the NAM in the mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingwill42 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Certainly the Nam moved to the Euro with the inverted trough. Now if Only the Euro can move toward the Nam for the first part of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 that inverted trough ends up giving syracuse a foot of snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 hey guys remember that time the NAM said 36 hours before that I would get 30+ inches of snow in feb? good times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 850s are toasty then though. Not NW of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeCTWX Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 ECM says Boston gets 2 feet and NYC almost nothing. NAM says NYC gets 2 feet and Boston almost nothing. LOL. BTW, completely disagree that this is a good run for New England. Gets much too toasty on the NAM in the mid levels. Certainitly not due to a lack of precip. Almsot 4" QPF in boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 hey guys remember that time the NAM said 36 hours before that I would get 30+ inches of snow in feb? good times Location, Location, Location You do remember that it corrected itself and gave LI 30" of snow and not NJ. It's all about where everything sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 ECM says Boston gets 2 feet and NYC almost nothing. NAM says NYC gets 2 feet and Boston almost nothing. LOL. BTW, completely disagree that this is a good run for New England. Gets much too toasty on the NAM in the mid levels. I'll take the Euro for $500 Alex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Winter Storm Watch now for Atlantic Cityhttp://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Atlantic+City&state=NJ&site=PHI&textField1=39.3643&textField2=-74.4237 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Nate, Euro has close to 6 inches for the City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Great eye-candy solution but it's the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Not NW of the city. Pretty far NW, not that I care, damage is done by then, NAM may be way off anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 the hi-res is out to 54 and it is shows the enhancement of precip very well. Going to have 3.0+ in qpf for parts of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Mt Holly posted watches for areas south of Trenton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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