IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 27/25 Mostly clear skies in Ramsey, NJ as of 7:45AM. Thinking we don't warm up nearly as much as forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 The NAM still has temperatures running up into the middle 50's to near 60 across Central NJ tomorrow. Behind the initial surge of precipitation, the surface low and surface cold front lag a bit...and there is a period of clearing and southwest flow at 10m around 18-21z. Pretty cool...a very small "warm" sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockawayRowdies Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 observe and enjoy a cup of coffee.. http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/RadarLoop/bgm_None_anim.gif http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/Loop/NatLoop.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Already in the mid 40s here in midtown after a low of 35 (in the park) and around 38 in midtown east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2013 Author Share Posted February 26, 2013 Up to 37 here with overcast skies now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irishmick9 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Anyone know what the short term models are showing for NW NJ? Any trends? Up to 42 in Vernon which is slightly higher than forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 The RGEM is pretty cool...has a decent amount of snow/sleet for NW NJ/SE NY and then 60 F temps over Central NJ in the afternoon on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Anyone know what the short term models are showing for NW NJ? Any trends? Up to 42 in Vernon which is slightly higher than forecasted. There is no way it is 42 in Vernon. All stations coming in between 36-39 for that location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 There is no way it is 42 in Vernon. All stations coming in between 36-39 for that location. why not? its 43 in sussex http://climate.rutgers.edu/njwxnet/mapviewer.php?m=temperature&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irishmick9 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Not sure why I would lie about the temp. It can be 35 on Highland/Barry Lakes and 40 in the valley where I am. I am closer to Sussex so that makes sense. Since cooled off to 39. Clouds have rolled in..going to be close ton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2013 Author Share Posted February 26, 2013 This is quickly becoming a primarily very heavy rain event for 90% of us with a slight ZR threat NW of 287. The 18z High res NAM shows 2-4" of area wide. Probably a bit overdone but the simulated radars have plenty of 35-50dbz echos passing right over the entire area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 37.5/28 here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 This is quickly becoming a primarily very heavy rain event for 90% of us with a slight ZR threat NW of 287. The 18z High res NAM shows 2-4" of area wide. Probably a bit overdone but the simulated radars have plenty of 35-50dbz echos passing right over the entire area. Yeah tomorrow morning is going to be a nasty commute regardless. Luckily all our snow is gone down this way or we'd be looking at even more flooding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2013 Author Share Posted February 26, 2013 The models are starting to converge fairly nicely now on a period of fairly heavy rain with 1-2" the growing consensus area wide. The only difference snow wise between the 18z NAM and GFS are that it's a tad snowier for Sullivan County which is well out our juristiction. The 18z GFS has basically no snow from Orange County south and eastward. By the looks of it, even the areas that start as a little bit of frozen change over just after sunrise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 This is quickly becoming a primarily very heavy rain event for 90% of us with a slight ZR threat NW of 287. The 18z High res NAM shows 2-4" of area wide. Probably a bit overdone but the simulated radars have plenty of 35-50dbz echos passing right over the entire area. This is probably a more reasonable outcome... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2013 Author Share Posted February 26, 2013 Yeah tomorrow morning is going to be a nasty commute regardless. Luckily all our snow is gone down this way or we'd be looking at even more flooding We still have snow in piles here, especially in parking lots and on lawns that don't get much sun. This could be a surprise flooding threat for parts of CT where they have a more substaintial snowpack in place and could end up with 2.0"+ of rain that will come down in a fairly short clip. I'm curious how the snowpack is holding up in Sussex and northern Passaic Counties and the higher elevations that feed the Passaic River basin. Edit: Just checked some of the local river forecasts. They are expecting 2-4' rises in most places. Could be enough to reach action stage in some places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2013 Author Share Posted February 26, 2013 This is probably a more reasonable outcome... A blend of the NAM/GFS/SREF/EURO/GGEM yield around 1.25-1.75" of rain possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 33.5 Precip on doorstep according to radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 A blend of the NAM/GFS/SREF/EURO/GGEM yield around 1.25-1.75" of rain possible. Euro only has .60" of precip for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Snow has just begun falling here. No rain or sleet. 33.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irishmick9 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Sleeting in Vernon..temp 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irishmick9 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 After a heavy burst of sleet, turned to light snow instantly...temp 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 it just started to rain mixed with sleet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Fanatic 97 Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Sleet in brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Hearing some sleet in the woodbridge area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingofQueens Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 sleet in queens. expected rain from start to finish. so i guess this is nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsh Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 sleet & snow in Greenwich. Temp 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Sleet and drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Sleet here, just started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 The storm made this month the equivalent of February 2010 for us in kansas. http://blogs.kansas.com/weather/2013/02/26/wichita-sets-record-for-snowiest-month-in-citys-history/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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