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Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
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Scoots , thoughts on tomorrow pm into Friday after seeing your Gfs?

 

Looks like it could be an inv trough deal perhaps. Of course good luck nailing that detail down. Still torched boundary layer, but if your elevation got underneath it..probably a couple inches of paste. We'll see what the euro says.

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Baroclinic Zone

Baroclinic Zone

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Looks like it could be an inv trough deal perhaps. Of course good luck nailing that detail down. Still torched boundary layer, but if your elevation got underneath it..probably a couple inches of paste. We'll see what the euro says.

 

Defiinitely looks more inv troughy.  All 12z guidance thus far has it.  NAM looked to be the most robust followed by the GFS,  Ukie/RGEM/GGEM all looked similar.  As you said good luck trying to pinpoint a location.

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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There was a PV batting down the heights in this region...definitely something that became visible over the last 5 days.

 

 

Yup, just in time to f the snow lovers out of a dose of their drug - hahaha.   Now...oh it'll come rollin' the block on westward, suppressing the storm track too much so that nothing can happen but colder than normal.  

 

One way or the other - the least wanted result will transpire:  it's gotta be some kind of physical law. 

 

Now, with a big fat EPO ridge showing up in the tele's and operational runs out in time, that will ensure a protracted finish to winter.   But not so fast if you think that will mean snow!  That, combined with the back ground, 30-year warming climate mode it will mean a coldish mud season of epically long duration that rides the fence between winter and warmth without actually snowing.   Could not be imaginatively worse and all imposed by the physical law.    Muah hahahhahaha

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eduggs

eduggs

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Nothing worse than seeing somebody who is a sure bet to do at least ok...cry about not getting WSW criteria....while it's down the drain here.

Well I'm guessing part of the frustration is that the good ones have trended worse in the short term... at least for the NWern part of the area.  It's much worse to limp to 6" and watch in rain away than luck out with a surprise paste bomb.

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eduggs

eduggs

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ALB sneaked 3 or 4" of slop this morning!!... 4-7" just outside of town in the higher spots.  But it was almost impossible to enjoy because rain quickly transformed the landscape into a soggy mess.  I would trade 10" of this crap to have been included in the western periphery of the blizzard... even just a few hours of heavy fluffy snow. 

 

There's a lot more to enjoying snowstorms than just the final total you end up with.  There's the anticipation, the duration, time of day, and upper ceiling potential.  This one had low marks across the board.

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HoarfrostHubb

HoarfrostHubb

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Net loss, really? I have way more even after all this rain then before the paste bomb sat-sunday, Its been a fun strech even though today wound up a bust. It would take alot more melting to get down to that prestorm level, not gonna happen even if we torch all night. We've had it good relatively speaking...

I was just bustin. Overall a plus but could have been better

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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Welp, if nothing else ... this storm hearkens to the new climate paradigm;  at least for me it does.   It seems it can't snow at our latitude any more, unless there is fresh arctic air around, almost as a limitation.   We are becoming more and more MA like in time/decades.   

 

In the 1960s... this thing would have dumped a foot of spring blue....  In circa 2013, after verified 30 years of unrelenting global temperature rise?  You don't get that.  

 

And, it is NOT a storm defined, or caused by climate illogical argument; it's just that nowadays, without the fresh cold, it's like we no longer live in default snow territory.   Probably never really fully did at any time over the last 200 or whatever years... but, it certainly was easier 50 years ago than it is now.   We have had discussions in the past where this or that above normal isn't necessarily bad for us here because we are so far N - that more than just seems less and less true.   

 

No fresh arctic air, you got deuces in your deck going into systems. I mean where it is snowing it is rotting 33 and torture, and that is true as an insult even in the north country - and it's not even March!  

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