Stebo Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I guess I'm just crazy, but I think some are really clinging to hope that many will magically receive 4-6" out of this. image.jpg Lol, that isn't an hour worth of snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Light snow starting to fall here, decent flake size. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 General reminder, please try to back up your calls with something. It's always helpful to have some reasoning especially if your call goes against most models/trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 0.8" here and at ORD so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Just greeted the first flakes of this system! Time to commence this baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 surprised me that its snowing half way decent already with all the talk of extra dry air.. figured i'd be lucky to see decent snow by 2. not sure though how radar looks as i don't torture myself anymore with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Umm. Who here said 4-6? The issue is you claiming GRR is/will be wrong with their 1-2 call. I never said they will be wrong, I'm agreeing that they are going to be more accurate with totals than most on here. I think GRR, DTX, and IWX have a good handle on accums. I sense major wish-casting with some and that's fine. Everyone on this thread is entitled to their opinion, right? After all it is a public forum and we are all meteorological enthusiasts. I'm not asking anyone to agree or disagree with me, I'm not trolling. I'm throwing my two cents out just like the rest of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 1.1" on the grass (still haven't built a board, but if the Euro hold serve through the weekend I will Sunday) and ranging from 0.6" to 1.0" on the concrete. For the moment still coming down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Been ripping like mad out there since midnight. 0.8" in 40 minutes, not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 General reminder, please try to back up your calls with something. It's always helpful to have some reasoning especially if your call goes against most models/trends. The radar and note wasn't enough of a reasoning? Are we really going to start making a big deal over a "prediction"? Looks like the lack of snow has got some of us on edge. We will see in the morning who got what... Not that its a competition or a finger pointer. I'm all for more snow too, but I don't appreciate the down talk to a newer member and his predictions. No different than anyone of your predictions at one time or another. End of story. Snow on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 pretty breezy out there so snow is really blowing Guess I was way due for one of these with the lack of wind during most events or it being a cement snow. One thing is for sure, milwaukee airport will come in with the lowest total in the area with it being windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 GRR and DTX might be spot on with this storm system. I feel 1-2" is a good forecast, but may be overdone. At this point an inch or less would seem most likely with drizzle being the main player. Hate to say it but they are probably being optimistic with 1-2". I never said they will be wrong, I'm agreeing that they are going to be more accurate with totals than most on here. I think GRR, DTX, and IWX have a good handle on accums. I sense major wish-casting with some and that's fine. Everyone on this thread is entitled to their opinion, right? After all it is a public forum and we are all meteorological enthusiasts. I'm not asking anyone to agree or disagree with me, I'm not trolling. I'm throwing my two cents out just like the rest of you. Those were your own words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 If you look at the Kankakee River, there's actually a tiny bit of backbuilding over southern Porter right now. Biggest event of the season (> 3.5") out of the question, but second-biggest (> 2.5") still in play? Probably not, but I'm hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 The radar and note wasn't enough of a reasoning? Are we really going to start making a big deal over a "prediction"? Looks like the lack of snow has got some of us on edge. We will see in the morning who got what... Not that its a competition or a finger pointer. I'm all for more snow too, but I don't appreciate the down talk to a newer member and his predictions. No different than anyone of your predictions at one time or another. End of story. Snow on. People took issue with what you had posted prior to the radar shot. Such stuff ( making baseless calls with no reasoning ) has been frowned upon here since the beginning. Usually nothing is said at first ( figure people will get a feel for how the board works first ) when that is done but continually doing the same over and over ( doesn't matter if you constantly call for a blizzard/feet of snow or flurries ) then something is said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Those were your own words. Ok, let's not be critical, Harry. This is no time for romance. A prediction is a best guess by someone which has some experience in the topic... Technically there's no such thing as a wrong answer. Yes some will be wrong and some right. I'm sure some on here have predicted 10", then a couple of hours later 8", couple hours later 6"... etc. Things change with time. I was and am on the fence with Total accumulations by morning, due to current radar trends, sleet reports, and a general weakening trend in the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 With the snow becoming more showery here I doubt we see much more than maybe another inch. Haven't measured but eyeballing it looks like about 1.5" so far. Surprised to hear about the sleet reports up there by Chicago. Didn't know sleet was gonna make it that far north. Cyclone, I can't explain why, but I can tell you I've seen it time and time again, in top down saturation cases like this the p-type will start out as sleet despite the entire column being below freezing. I'd love for someone smarter than me to explain to me how this is physically possible, but I honestly cannot count how many times I've seen it happen and I even talked with my co-workers on Sunday about that being the case for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 People took issue with what you had posted prior to the radar shot. Such stuff ( making baseless calls with no reasoning ) has been frowned upon here since the beginning. Usually nothing is said at first ( figure people will get a feel for how the board works first ) when that is done but continually doing the same over and over ( doesn't matter if you constantly call for a blizzard/feet of snow or flurries ) then something is said. I understand. Im a bit of a busy guy, up at all hours of the night and running a business during the day. Sometimes I don't have the time to write a lengthy discussion of why whats going on. This is my hobby. This isn't my first rodeo with forums, but speculations on a member with 80 posts and trolling is little ridiculous in my eyes. Doesn't matter. People don't want to read about this. They want to see snow, talk about it and enjoy it. So that's what I'm going to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 The radar and note wasn't enough of a reasoning?Are we really going to start making a big deal over a "prediction"? Looks like the lack of snow has got some of us on edge. We will see in the morning who got what... Not that its a competition or a finger pointer. I'm all for more snow too, but I don't appreciate the down talk to a newer member and his predictions. No different than anyone of your predictions at one time or another. End of story. Snow on. I hadn't seen that particular post before I made mine, but since you mentioned it, it was a good start. A lot of people would probably disagree with your interpretation but at least you tried to explain yourself. Like you said, we'll see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I hadn't seen that particular post before I made mine, but since you mentioned it, it was a good start. A lot of people would probably disagree with your interpretation but at least you tried to explain yourself. Like you said, we'll see what happens. I see. I guess I didn't realize most on here were professional meteorologists. I apologize. I won't post anymore until I go back to college for 4 more years and major in atmospheric science. I have disagreed and agreed with many on this forum, but I don't call them out on it. It's not my place. It's a public meteorological forum. To the most with snow win! Still cloudy here in Ceresco, nothing quite yet but looks like its right around the corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Lol. Anyways, radar looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 barely make out the tree line across the street. pouring and blowing out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I understand. Im a bit of a busy guy, up at all hours of the night and running a business during the day. Sometimes I don't have the time to write a lengthy discussion of why whats going on. This is my hobby. This isn't my first rodeo with forums, but speculations on a member with 80 posts and trolling is little ridiculous in my eyes. Doesn't matter. People don't want to read about this. They want to see snow, talk about it and enjoy it. So that's what I'm going to do. Have had a few who were just that. Usually post in the same style and continue to do it even after something is said/hints thrown around. I see. I guess I didn't realize most on here were professional meteorologists. I apologize. I won't post anymore until I go back to college for 4 more years and major in atmospheric science. I have disagreed and agreed with many on this forum, but I don't call them out on it. It's not my place. It's a public meteorological forum. To the most with snow win! Still cloudy here in Ceresco, nothing quite yet but looks like its right around the corner. We are all not claiming to be meteorologist. You are missing the point. ALL viewpoints are welcome. Just offer a little something to back them. I don't think that is asking too much? If not sure then ask. OBS are always welcome as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 27 with some light freezing rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 1.2" since midnight. Pretty much 1" per hour. Flakes are small, but they're are pouring down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Yeah Gino I started about with a snow/sleet mix for about 20 mins. Closing in on 2" here. Heaviest snow of the winter last hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I took around 7 grass measurements and came up with an average of ~1.6". Plenty of drifting making it difficult though. Mostly still sleet and snow grains right now though, which makes me think that it was more so overly-aggressive WAA aloft, and less so dry air that's killing us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 +SN right now for sure. 30dbz + returns. Probably over 2" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 1.4" storm total....about done now. 1.9" looking like a super sweet call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 glad I didn't nap or I would have missed most of this rip. if only we had 6 more hrs of this. still gonna be one happy dog when i let him out in 3 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 -Wow, Alek is up at 2am! Looks like a snow globe outside right now. Off to bed, hoping for something over 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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