WintersGrasp Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Nick Gregory and Lee Goldberg are starting to mention this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 wow just wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Oh, no one mentioned that the GFS ensembles from 12z were all over this next system...Almost every member has the storm. BTW, this is a CLASSIC problem with the Euro...It's holding the energy in the SW...that's why it was so flat today. I suspect the next big thread tonight after 1 AM will be "Euro has repeat for LI" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 As much as i hate to say it, we need the gfs to continuously show a storm run for run. As much as we bash it, every time the other models show vastly different solutions than the gfs when it comes crunch time and the gfs still isnt on board, things tend to not go as planned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 GFS has been remarkably consistent, save a couple flat runs the past few days. It's awesome when you can shovel your driveway as you look forward to more tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 GFS also loves the 2/17-2/18 time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Where have I seen this before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Anyone else think the lack of cold air will be a problem and a high for that matter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Anyone else think the lack of cold air will be a problem and a high for that matter? Not really. This is a Pure Miller A. So a marginal airmass will be no problem here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Such a pretty storm, I'm actually surprised its not wetter given the gulf origins, I wouldn't be surprised if it trended with more QPF, track is perfect. With no blocking high to the north, it would be a fast mover. The current storm has almost a banana high draped to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 GGEM is closer but still more progressive sliding off of NC, similar to the prior ECM. http://meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/P6_GZ_D5_PN_120_0000.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Not really. This is a Pure Miller A. So a marginal airmass will be no problem here. Yea I'm also thinking the massive snow from this storm may help a degree or 2 at the low levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Hopefully this does end up as snow. We don't want to end up with a 2-3" rainstorm on top of the melting snow. Would cause catastrophic flooding in parts of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Its amazing how this month is starting to look more and more like Feb 2010.. A parade of storms followed by the monster aka snowicane... Similar to what is being advertised on both the GFS & GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What does the Euro look like for this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What does the Euro look like for this storm? Flat. Kicker in the NW messes up the trough. GFS doesn't have that kicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 It's flat, but not as flat as the 12z. Also, I don't have the deterministic Euro yet, but the 12z determ. Euro was a major hit. GFS ensembles tonight--6/12 show a major hit for the 120 hr storm. Flat. Kicker in the NW messes up the trough. GFS doesn't have that kicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Could be an insane time then coming up. This storm tonight might just be the appetizer for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 06z GFS maintained the threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 9z srefs and nam aren't horrible. In fact the NAM just might do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Frankly, if more people were to see the NAM run, this thread would become much more active. Looks MECSy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Frankly, if more people were to see the NAM run, this thread would become much more active. Looks MECSy. Need the euro to move to this solution. Baby step last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Title of the thread is incorrect. It's hitting on the 14th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Frankly, if more people were to see the NAM run, this thread would become much more active. Looks MECSy.the NAM ? I don't see any MECS on the NAM - Mondays storm is going to be rain and cause major flooding problems - ainly in the streets and highways because of blocked storm drains from the snow............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 the NAM ? I don't see any MECS on the NAM - Mondays storm is going to be rain and cause major flooding problems............... Flooding? from what half an inch of rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Flooding? from what half an inch of rain?i updated it to street and highway because of the blocked drains - good idea if the road crews get out there and unblock them - hopefully mondays is even less then 1/2 inch and we have a snow on top of snow event later next week - those are kind of rare around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 the NAM ? I don't see any MECS on the NAM - Mondays storm is going to be rain and cause major flooding problems - ainly in the streets and highways because of blocked storm drains from the snow............... Oh brother. Look at the setup at 84 hours. MECSy. Damn, people here really are in a snow coma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Oh brother. Look at the setup at 84 hours. MECSy. Damn, people here really are in a snow coma. oh ok yes the set up looks good - just need the right track up the coast - maybe we can get a good snowstorm start to finish instead of rain and slop cutting the totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 oh ok yes the set up looks good - just need the right track up the coast - maybe we can get a good snowstorm start to finish instead of rain and slop cutting the totals Yes sir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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