Zir0b Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 While everyone is focused on the ongoing storm, there's a big amount of energy diving into the southwest days 2-3 that models eject out east next week. 6z GFS had a benchmark track with marginal thermal profiles and decent precipitation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 GFS is nice http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/AVN_12z/avnloopnew.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 GFS is nice http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/AVN_12z/avnloopnew.html Yeah, looking forward to the rest of the 12z suite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 12z GFS is a widespread 6-10" from DC-BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Looks like a solid Miller A, good confluence with the 50/50 low in place makes it more likely to stay off the coast. Temperatures are marginal but cold enough for snow, no big primary to worry out west at least. Will definitely be interesting going forward as its been shown on the models for several days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 Looks like a solid Miller A, good confluence with the 50/50 low in place makes it more likely to stay off the coast. Temperatures are marginal but cold enough for snow, no big primary to worry out west at least. Will definitely be interesting going forward as its been shown on the models for several days now. yeah and this is driven by the southern stream, setup is more simple and should be less model mayhem as there's no phase timing scenarios to worry about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ukie for next week http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=144&fixhh=1&hh=120 http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=120&fixhh=1&hh=144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ukie for next week http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=144&fixhh=1&hh=120 http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=120&fixhh=1&hh=144 Would like to see the in-between panels but at first glance that looks like a classic snowstorm track for us...Euro will be interesting today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Uk, dgex, cmc, gfs look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 GGEM is well northwest of the 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Looks like warning criteria snow on the GFS... maybe it's trying to redeem itself?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 ,,,,lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Latest gfs looks like a borderline MECS. I love the setup for this, a clean cut miller A going up the coast. So much easier to forecast and less likely to screw us over. The ultimate concern will be the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 18z looks way too nice this far out for me to feel any sort of comfortable about this. Although.. there are quite a few systems that look like they have potential over the next week or two. Here's to hoping we have a nice event out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Really dependent on what that bowling ball out west does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover20 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Any further updates on this threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Here we go again on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Mecs once again on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Nice to see the GFS being consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Epic blizzard on the GFS. OMG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Widespread 0.75"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Nice setup...classic Miller A....BUT no high pressure to the north (but 50/50 initially in place). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Such a pretty storm, I'm actually surprised its not wetter given the gulf origins, I wouldn't be surprised if it trended with more QPF, track is perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Just need the Euro to show some trends tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Nice setup...classic Miller A....BUT no high pressure to the north (but 50/50 initially in place). BL issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 BL issues? Unlikely given marginal air mass, no primary low out west , and a rather intense low. It might start as light rain but would quickly turn to snow, very different compared to tonight's storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 And more potential in the 180-192 timeframe. Could be an epic period of winter weather coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What a GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 This is for the 13th-14th no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 This is for the 13th-14th no? Yeah wed into thu. Euro has been keeping this threat south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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