adk Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Just had the best sunrise by far of the season... sun pillar over the Worcester Range, while Mansfield turned neon pink in alpenglow. Of course I'll post a photo or two this evening DAMN MEETINGS! Had a dawn patrol all lined up. Bollocks. Feeling a 3-6 event for wave one (Sun-Monday) across the greens and ADK. with the higher amts falling above 2500ft. Sleet, FRZ rain mixing in. Good base building stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 It's mornings like this that make me so happy I sold my business in Boston and moved to Central NH at a location of 1100 feet. Real winters up here why the poor guys on the coastal plain pull there hair out! Happy day everyone! Gene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 It's mornings like this that make me so happy I sold my business in Boston and moved to Central NH at a location of 1100 feet. Real winters up here why the poor guys on the coastal plain pull there hair out! Happy day everyone! Gene i will be up there someday, i'm sick of needing to route for 4 teleconnectors to look favorable for the CP of mass to cash in. lol actually i'll be up there on mon-wed of this week in n conway, hope that the low elevations in town still do well. will be staying somewhere that is like 550' so hope it's cold enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 12z Nam lays down a nice 6-10" swath of snow here............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 12z Nam lays down a nice 6-10" swath of snow here............... Good sledding, Jeff! If you don't mind, and have time, could you give me an idea what the 12z NAM shows here on the midcoast/Bath? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrueBlue Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 12z Nam lays down a nice 6-10" swath of snow here............... When? Sleds are rock and roll ready to go. Even juniors lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slknight Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 From Gray's discussion: THIS PLACES SNFL OVER MOST OF THE CWFA...WITH A RAIN MIX ALONG THE COAST AND SOME PL MIXING FOR THE SRN AND WRN MOST ZONES. If Coastal York County gets screwed again, I am giving up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 GFS....3-6" on Sunday night for a good part of the area but there's a pretty tight gradient of where precip makes it to the north. Looks like it rains for most of the area on Monday night-Tuesday. Maine does well on Tuesday but NH/VT looks like mostly rain I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Good sledding, Jeff! If you don't mind, and have time, could you give me an idea what the 12z NAM shows here on the midcoast/Bath? Thanks! About 6" John When? Sleds are rock and roll ready to go. Even juniors lol Sunday night to Monday night as of right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 About 6" John Sunday night to Monday night as of right now Thank you, Jeff! Enjoy!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 GFS....3-6" on Sunday night for a good part of the area but there's a pretty tight gradient of where precip makes it to the north. Looks like it rains for most of the area on Monday night-Tuesday. Maine does well on Tuesday but NH/VT looks like mostly rain I think. Wouldn't put much stock in 1 GFS run 96 hours out lol. On the cell, how do the ens look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Wouldn't put much stock in 1 GFS run 96 hours out lol. On the cell, how do the ens look? It looks better with wave 2 has the low along the maine coast instead of inland like the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 It looks better with wave 2 has the low along the maine coast instead of inland like the op Thank god. Snow here? The OP GFS just looked horrible lol. Are the ens any juicier with round 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Seems like the GFS is on its own with #1 ... I'll heed the Rev's advice and toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Thank god. Snow here? The OP GFS just looked horrible lol. Are the ens any juicier with round 1? Looks about like .75" but there is not much lag between the 1st 2 waves, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 lol, GEFS days and days of snow from sun-sat, 3.0" qpf here 2.5" NH and 2.0" VT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 lol, GEFS days and days of snow from sun-sat, 3.0" qpf here 2.5" NH and 2.0" VT Thanks. Toss the OP and ride the winning NAM/GEFS combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 lol, GEFS days and days of snow from sun-sat, 3.0" qpf here 2.5" NH and 2.0" VT LOL. love it. Looks like ill have to stay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 LOL. love it. Looks like ill have to stay Oh that's right home is CT.................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 lol, GEFS days and days of snow from sun-sat, 3.0" qpf here 2.5" NH and 2.0" VT Days and days ... feet upon feet.... gonna be fun in the mountains next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Days and days ... feet upon feet.... gonna be fun in the mountains next weekend. lol, Going to def need the snowshoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Oh that's right home is CT.................. That's hurts man, that hurts.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 From Gray's discussion: THIS PLACES SNFL OVER MOST OF THE CWFA...WITH A RAIN MIX ALONG THE COAST AND SOME PL MIXING FOR THE SRN AND WRN MOST ZONES. If Coastal York County gets screwed again, I am giving up. I'm in coastal Cumberland, just over the line from York County, and have yet to experience a true white Christmas since moving here 8 years ago (I'm not counting the year that we had about an inch of rapidly melting remnant slop as we torched). Seems like we've had a few years like this one, where there's all sorts of chatter about snow chance after snow chance leading up to the holidays, and each of them finds a way to fail. Looks like we may get a couple inches Sunday night into Monday morning, to be followed by a wet mess. It's tough this time of year along the coast; everything has to be lined up just right, and right now the cold is so marginal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 That's hurts man, that hurts.....lol Probably will be tough going from white to brown possibly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 I plan on doing a write up after 12z guidance comes out. Already had my VTrans meeting today and we are keying in on at least a 2-4" snowfall Sunday into Monday for most of northern VT. Probably 3-6" farther eastward into northern NH and ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Euro is rolling out now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Euro is 2-4" with wave 1 for VT/NH 3-6" in ME. Wave 2 is all rain from RUT-LEB-PLY and changes everyone over to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Euro is 2-4" with wave 1 for VT/NH 3-6" in ME. Wave 2 is all rain from RUT-LEB-PLY and changes everyone over to rain. Basically between the Nam, GFS and Euro we have a range of .50"-1.00" qpf for wave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Basically between the Nam, GFS and Euro we have a range of .50"-1.00" qpf for wave 1 I think the NAM is too juicy, as it usually is at this time frame.... as of now, I think a compromise between the GFS and Euro is the way to go in terms of QPF. Probably 0.3"ish here and 0.5"ish over your way. As of now, going to 2-4" for northern VT (closer to 2-3" out PF's way, 3-4" in the NEK). Probably 4-6" for you. Hopefully we can get that secondary to pop a little sooner. As for wave 2, its a crap shoot on the operational guidance. Ensembles are better, but I think it may still end up being a messy mix for a lot of NNE, less northern Maine and maybe northern NH (like BML north). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 Just got a look at the individual GEFS members, and its not good for snow lovers in NNE...if you notice, there are a few members that don't develop a storm...these definitely skewed the mean to look great for NNE. There are 3-4 members with a full blown snowstorm though so, just stay tuned. Consensus = probably a few inches of slop to rain for everyone except northern ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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