ChescoWx Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 LOL - JB is not having his best month.... but to be fair on that map it looks like that is the most he would forecast - 4 to 8....but you always need to keep in mind his strong SE bias - no doubt that even goes for the midwest!! Bet on 2"!! lol the SLP tracks right through Chicago. No way NW Indiana sees 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Again, why are we still talking about JB in this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Man Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 LOL - JB is not having his best month.... but to be fair on that map it looks like that is the most he would forecast - 4 to 8....but you always need to keep in mind his strong SE bias - no doubt that even goes for the midwest!! Bet on 2"!! Paul - Not sure what your angle is but you probably shouldn't be posting JB's forecasts here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blinkers88 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Again, why are we still talking about JB in this thread? because some people are paid per JB post lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Again, why are we still talking about JB in this thread? either this or talk about the next torch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 FWIW, the week between Christmas and New Years does not look terrible at this point. Not ideal but that midweek storm next week has a chance as a SWFE (Canadian models it as such at this point). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 FWIW, the week between Christmas and New Years does not look terrible at this point. Not ideal but that midweek storm next week has a chance as a SWFE (Canadian models it as such at this point). To me, if the models show the banana high with that block, that storm will try and cut but redevelop somewhere south. Euro ens do this basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 This is a discussion thread so why can't we post other's thoughts here and discuss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 This is a discussion thread so why can't we post other's thoughts here and discuss? YOU DOWN with J.B.????? J.B., how can I explain it I'll take you frame by frame it To have y'all jumpin' shall we singin' it J is for Joe, B is for Bastardi scratchin' temple His forecasts...well...they're not that simple Bust it! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DAsiPlDIKqM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 ^^ Reported off topic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 This is a discussion thread so why can't we post other's thoughts here and discuss? I think the poster was alluding to the fact that there's already another JB/Weatherbell thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Uh....where else can it go - it is medium /LR discussion right?? Again, why are we still talking about JB in this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 I believe the other thread is just for tracking his incredible bust for December - which he still has not adjusted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 Uh....where else can it go - it is medium /LR discussion right?? i agree paul, if it has to deal with med/long range stuff makes sense to put it in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Thanks Tom and congrats on the new house - should be some interesting winter weather events in the not too distant future! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 from HM in sne thread Gradient patterns can come through for your area. Currently it is not and I agree that it is a bummer we don't have cold air around. Really this blocking is a joke. A legit blocking pattern in the polar fields producing those kind of h5 anomalies that are matching to "2010" on the CPC site is NOT what we are dealing with. Cold comes in just in time for the holidays with an active southern stream. Things will continue to get colder and snowier in the Plains for sure and ultimately that gradient will come way south in New England. I'm even starting to think I'll see snow down this way between Christmas and New Years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Euro ens paint a snowy picture around the 26th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Uh....where else can it go - it is medium /LR discussion right?? I just don't consider JB/AccuHM/DT/Steve D to be worthy of serious discussion. They are just banter to me. I don't mean to come off as rude or anything, but it just annoys me when I see there's been replies in this thread only to see it's one of the aforementioned names. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 I believe the other thread is just for tracking his incredible bust for December - which he still has not adjusted! Basically, everything he says/predicts is a total bust. It's so sad to witness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fwarder Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 2 good-looking Euro ensemble runs in the row. Not too shabby. Colder and farther south than the Op at 216 with better confluence over southern Canada and New England. Definitely a CAD signal as well. 240 looks quite nice. Grabbed this from the Mid Atlantic thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 BOXING DAY! Lock n Load Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 On another note, I do see the potential for small hail tomorrow afternoon from scattered showers, steep low level lapse rates expected. I've been in short term land today. Feel free to pass along any small hail reports if it does occur. Otherwise enjoy more fog with a side order of fog tonight . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Agree there is some hope for the 26'th, but we need a weaker midwest primary than the op GFS/Euro currently show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 Agree there is some hope for the 26'th, but we need a weaker midwest primary than the op GFS/Euro currently show Yea you need that midwest storm to not be as strong. Theoretically all its doing is pumping the se ridge so much its connecting the block with the ridge. I like this threat a whole heck of a lot more than these last ones. At least we have cold air, thats the first thing. No need to worry about one particular solution til we get to 7 days out. Then some solutions may have merit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby EPAWA Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 What do you guys make of this? Not much, and usually doesn't work out, but back end snow in the LV/Poconos very late Thursday night/early Friday on consecutive GFS runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 What do you guys make of this? Not much, and usually doesn't work out, but back end snow in the LV/Poconos very late Thursday night/early Friday on consecutive GFS runs... Looks like a consolation prize, but when you open the box it's empty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 What do you guys make of this? Not much, and usually doesn't work out, but back end snow in the LV/Poconos very late Thursday night/early Friday on consecutive GFS runs... its hard to say...you don't know how much of that precip falls when its cold enough for snow. I wouldn't be shocked to see it in the pocs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby EPAWA Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Looks like a consolation prize, but when you open the box it's empty. its hard to say...you don't know how much of that precip falls when its cold enough for snow. I wouldn't be shocked to see it in the pocs.. SP - great answer... haha. I think the NWS has this forecast as well as you can given the aforementioned uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 GFS does not hint at much accumulation outside of the Poconos (even there, just a couple of inches). Odds are that rain shuts off before changeover outside of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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