CooL Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 I had a gut feeling that some posters were going to get 5-posted. That June 26 thread felt like a snowstorm thread. People' posts were getting deleted left and right too. The line was clearly weakening and whoever said anything about it got wrecked lol i was laughing at people that couldnt accept that the line wasn't anything special until it was over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 I know, but the thing is that I have a feeling the hourly SPC mesoscale analysis tool is a bit funky. I heard that the tool is based off the RUC model which isn't that accurate. So I think our severe parameters were even worse than what we thought. I couldn't believe the derecho and cravev #s the SPC pages were spitting out for NYC. I thought I was in the Plains for a second. Do you agree? Is there a better tool out there than the SPC's? I think that the tools did a good job as confirmed by the 18z and 0z soundings. It's just that the better parameters were west of us like they often are. JFK was still able to gust to 54 mph. I guess the uncertainty factor especially when dealing with convection is what makes it so interesting to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 As far as loud sustained winds go, I liked December 1992 the best. Was living in SE Monmouth during that one. Hearing the sound from that storm's winds has never been matched by any storm I've experienced since. Dec. 1992 is the best cyclone around here since at least 1970...be it mid latitude or tropical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 I said it was weakening as it approached and I got ripped apart.. There's always the people who refuse to except what's happening same people that refuse to belive that a snow storm is going to change to rain they argue till no end then like yesterday when it happens they act like they knew it all along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Dec. 1992 is the best cyclone around here since at least 1970...be it mid latitude or tropical. If you like high winds, heavy rain (3.45" at Central Park), and coastal flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Lol. I know a secret. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 I remember 92 and march 10....but irean takes the cake for me...no power for a week...unbelievable tree damag...my area really got the brunt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Lol. I know a secret. ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Lol. I know a secret. cold and snow right around the corner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Lol. I know a secret. You like Alpha? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 cold and snow right around the corner? Better than that. Scandalous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Better than that. Scandalous. Earthlight doesn't really have a perm, it's actually a wig that covers his bald head? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Better than that. Scandalous. mass bannings on the way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Earthlight doesn't really have a perm, it's actually a wig that covers his bald head? Lol. Zing!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 mass bannings on the way? Not that I know of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Not that I know of. My best guess would be that some of the more established mets are boycotting the board like you did last winter...because they couldnt stand the heat in what is by its very nature a thread for competing viewpoints. Even though for us we dont take it personally, some do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 I think that the severe bust thread might have turned off earthlight from this forum since he hasn't posted about today's heavy rain and severe threat and has not posted anything here in almost 24 hours. I kind of regret starting that thread back in early July, but I couldn't resist since of the recent semi-busts. I miss earthlight already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 yawn. winter will be here soon enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 I think that the severe bust thread might have turned off earthlight from this forum since he hasn't posted about today's heavy rain and severe threat and has not posted anything here in almost 24 hours. I kind of regret starting that thread back in early July, but I couldn't resist since of the recent semi-busts. I miss earthlight already. Here is his number. 867 5309. You can text him and get your fix.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 I think that the severe bust thread might have turned off earthlight from this forum since he hasn't posted about today's heavy rain and severe threat and has not posted anything here in almost 24 hours. I kind of regret starting that thread back in early July, but I couldn't resist since of the recent semi-busts. I miss earthlight already. Earthlight is a big boy he wouldn't run away from a forum he's been a part for so many years because of one dumb discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Here is his number. 867 5309. You can text him and get your fix.. I'm sure he'll come back eventually...hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Some people have more leeway than others on this board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Hope y'all don't mind a non-subforum regular posting. I was born in Flushing, my parents moved from Jackson Heights to Massapequa, where I experienced Belle, the Blizzard of 1978, and a poorly forecast surprise snow a couple of weeks before the 78 Blizzard that cancelled Catholic school in Amityville. My Aunt Marguerite still lives in Bay Shore. I saw Yankee home games at Shea Stadium. No, I said that right! I'd start a NYC tropical thread, but I am an outsider. Ant or someone is free to copy images and ideas. At 20 to 30 mph, a legit Cat 3 or Cat 4 only has 6 to 10 hours to weaken before landfall (see map below). And it is still July. And with Islip offshore buoy being mid 70s, even if a storm is weakening, low level airmass should be plenty unstable enough to mix down strong gusts. Not even talking if a system is just beginning extra-tropical transition, and is getting some baroclinic juicing. Katrina showed a former Cat 4 or Cat 5's storm surge dimishes slower than the storm's intensity does, and Ike showed even a Cat 2 with an expanding windfield can generate a storm surge not normally expected from a Cat 2. Storm surge to Sunrise Highway by the LIRR tracks, Merrick Road under water. That'd be the real deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 looks like the rest of the summer is cool and wet. No heat anywhere in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Hope y'all don't mind a non-subforum regular posting. I was born in Flushing, my parents moved from Jackson Heights to Massapequa, where I experienced Belle, the Blizzard of 1978, and a poorly forecast surprise snow a couple of weeks before the 78 Blizzard that cancelled Catholic school in Amityville. My Aunt Marguerite still lives in Bay Shore. I saw Yankee home games at Shea Stadium. No, I said that right! I'd start a NYC tropical thread, but I am an outsider. Ant or someone is free to copy images and ideas. At 20 to 30 mph, a legit Cat 3 or Cat 4 only has 6 to 10 hours to weaken before landfall (see map below). And it is still July. And with Islip offshore buoy being mid 70s, even if a storm is weakening, low level airmass should be plenty unstable enough to mix down strong gusts. Not even talking if a system is just beginning extra-tropical transition, and is getting some baroclinic juicing. Katrina showed a former Cat 4 or Cat 5's storm surge dimishes slower than the storm's intensity does, and Ike showed even a Cat 2 with an expanding windfield can generate a storm surge not normally expected from a Cat 2. Storm surge to Sunrise Highway by the LIRR tracks, Merrick Road under water. That'd be the real deal. You see a tropical threat coming? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 If the SPC allowed me to give them one request, I would tell them not to issue any Severe T-Storm or Tornado Watches for our area anymore. Those curse us from severe storms. The majority of the noteworthy severe storms have impacted NYC when there was no watch in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Just got done reading that thread...we were doing so well as a subforum then we go make ourselves look like cry babies....psv88 has successful turn off every met from our forum.....great hm is gone..but i have psv and nycsnowwierdo to give me info...next time stfu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Just got done reading that thread...we were doing so well as a subforum then we go make ourselves look like cry babies....psv88 has successful turn off every met from our forum.....great hm is gone..but i have psv and nycsnowwierdo to give me info...next time stfu Me? I didn't even write in that thread...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Me? I didn't even write in that thread...... Not u..sorry..suburbs wiredo...mix up name Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Not u..sorry..suburbs wiredo...mix up name Lol all good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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