Quincy Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Looks like BOX has 101 for BOS tomorrow. Y Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 This is nuts for BOS in June: Wednesday: Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Heat index values as high as 109. West wind between 9 and 13 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Will cloud debris cut into the 100 readings? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 This is nuts for BOS in June: Wednesday: Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Heat index values as high as 109. West wind between 9 and 13 mph. Where are these 100F+ temps coming from? I'm looking back across the Ohio Valley source region and not seeing anything near what is forecast for tomorrow (100F at a lot of the valley spots). It looks like highs from PA to MI and southwest through OH and IN were all in the general 90-95F range, with 1,500ft seeing mid to upper 80s. If this airmass gets in here, it'll certainly be hot, but they all had clear/sunny skies and I didn't see anyone top out over 95F from a quick glance around. Its not like this is "over-performing" at least out to our SW... and dews also don't look that bad with Tds generally 57-64F down to our SW. RH's this afternoon from IN/OH area were like 35-45% which isn't too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Where are these 100F+ temps coming from? I'm looking back across the Ohio Valley source region and not seeing anything near what is forecast for tomorrow (100F at a lot of the valley spots). It looks like highs from PA to MI and southwest through OH and IN were all in the general 90-95F range, with 1,500ft seeing mid to upper 80s. If this airmass gets in here, it'll certainly be hot, but they all had clear/sunny skies and I didn't see anyone top out over 95F from a quick glance around. Its not like this is "over-performing" at least out to our SW... and dews also don't look that bad with Tds generally 57-64F down to our SW. RH's this afternoon from IN/OH area were like 35-45% which isn't too bad. downsloping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Where are these 100F+ temps coming from? I'm looking back across the Ohio Valley source region and not seeing anything near what is forecast for tomorrow (100F at a lot of the valley spots). It looks like highs from PA to MI and southwest through OH and IN were all in the general 90-95F range, with 1,500ft seeing mid to upper 80s. If this airmass gets in here, it'll certainly be hot, but they all had clear/sunny skies and I didn't see anyone top out over 95F from a quick glance around. Its not like this is "over-performing" at least out to our SW... and dews also don't look that bad with Tds generally 57-64F down to our SW. RH's this afternoon from IN/OH area were like 35-45% which isn't too bad. Would it have to do with the whole compression/downsloping thing that Scooter, Ryan, Nick, and Phil were discussing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 downsloping What's that? no but seriously... downsloping is the reason a bunch of 92, 93, 94F highs in the Ohio Valley today will turn into 100F+ tomorrow for BDL, CEF, BOS, ASH, etc? I understand the compressional heating of the boundary layer... but I just didn't think gradual downsloping of around 1,000ft would add that much to the temperatures. I mean I could see if you're dropping like 3-5,000ft but I guess maybe its enough off the ORH hills into BOS or Litchfield County into BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Would it have to do with the whole compression/downsloping thing that Scooter, Ryan, Nick, and Phil were discussing? Probably has more to do with the coastal plain getting the short end of the stick Winter and Summer. Poor coastal people. (That was for you Powderfreak)lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Will cloud debris cut into the 100 readings? 18z MAV has BKN skies 21-00z tomorrow at CON yet it still spits out 98F for them...MHT 98F and ASH 99F too. So the MAV numbers continue to slowly creep up toward the MET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Did anyone notice the 12z MET has 105F for TAN on Thu? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 The 18z GFS is a scorcher for Wednesday. Full mixing at 21Z for HVN gets them about to 99. BDL 97F. That would be fairly close to 100 most valley locations. I do think dews are too high given NW flow progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 18z MAV has BKN skies 21-00z tomorrow at CON yet it still spits out 98F for them...MHT 98F and ASH 99F too. So the MAV numbers continue to slowly creep up toward the MET. 18z has me at 40 % most of Wed with highs of 92 and 93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Did anyone notice the 12z MET has 105F for TAN on Thu? LOL lol I've noticed MET/MAV do some weird things during these events. I think it was the 2010 heat wave (where Kevin expected 100s of deaths) the MAV was printing out 106 at BDL even the day of the big heat. Got to 102. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 I'd like to see more heat like powderfreak mentioned to the west... but 18z MAV did tick up again. 18Z GFS bufkit soundings are quite impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Probably has more to do with the coastal plain getting the short end of the stick Winter and Summer. Poor coastal people. (That was for you Powderfreak)lol Its just not worth rubbing in. They do have benefits... like interacting with other humans on a daily basis. I could see the attraction of the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Where is the high humidity coming from on west winds? I could see a lot of 96/55s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 I'd like to see more heat like powderfreak mentioned to the west... but 18z MAV did tick up again. 18Z GFS bufkit soundings are quite impressive. They are gradually a little higher in elevation out there aren't they? Like 500-1,000ft or so across most of the Ohio Valley? Maybe that's the extra couple degrees plus some downsloping or something. I dunno, I just expected to see a bunch of like 95-98F type highs out there and instead its more like 91-94F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 18z has me at 40 % most of Wed with highs of 92 and 93 LOL..you'll be 99-100 accept it and move on..99/70. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 I'd like to see more heat like powderfreak mentioned to the west... but 18z MAV did tick up again. 18Z GFS bufkit soundings are quite impressive. DTW with a tied record of 95F today. We can probably manage a couple degrees higher than that with downslope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 LOL..you'll be 99-100 accept it and move on..99/70. Enjoy Double up on that 12 pack of Guiness Black my dew never reaches 70? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Where is the high humidity coming from on west winds? I could see a lot of 96/55s There was some midday dews in the 50s in the Ohio Valley into IN/MI so that may be good news for us. 90F with 30% humidity isn't that bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 drier the hotter its pretty simple especially for the valleys and coast. nw flow will bake areas just west of the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Double up on that 12 pack of Guiness Black my dew never reaches 70? You'll be over 70 tomorrow morning..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 70/64 south at 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 drier the hotter its pretty simple especially for the valleys and coast. nw flow will bake areas just west of the coast KFS has dews in the 70 s, drying west downsloping winds increasing dews . Same math that has Bos above normal by months end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 You'll be over 70 tomorrow morning..lol You said 99/70, is it a bet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 KFS has dews in the 70 s, drying west downsloping winds increasing dews . Same math that has Bos above normal by months end. Why are you fighting this heat wave? You've been doing everything in your power to make it seem run of the mill, when in fact i's going to be one of the top 3 of your lifetime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 When are winds forecast to switch to west or nw and what are the chance of a seabreeze right on the sand or perhaps a mile or two inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Why are you fighting this heat wave? You've been doing everything in your power to make it seem run of the mill, when in fact i's going to be one of the top 3 of your lifetime You are on so much crack. I had a better heat wave in April 76, last July and 1974, this is a two day dry blast, piece of cake. What a sallie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 You said 99/70, is it a bet? Let's use IJD. Pick 4pm temp/dew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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