Tropopause_Fold Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 GFS is very insistent on a seabreeze up and down the E MA coast on Thur. in some cases making for a 10-15F difference between NAM and GFS for surface temps. funny as it's usually the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 Scott do you think places like BDL and SPFD have a shot at cracking 100? I would think 850's need to be a hair warmer than modeled. Looks good for a downsloping WSW wind though. At least one of the days has a shot. Would think Thursday. West winds will maximize airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 We've got sunshine...finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 GFS is very insistent on a seabreeze up and down the E MA coast on Thur. in some cases making for a 10-15F difference between NAM and GFS for surface temps. funny as it's usually the opposite. Yeah interesting. I could buy that for Logan, but usually NAM is the one to do it. Euro is also close to seabreeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 We've got sunshine...finally. Impossible..All of Ct is socked in with low clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 Only fly in the ointment is convective debris tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Impossible..All of Ct is socked in with low clouds Overcast here. Greenwich is your new verification point? That will be fun this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 A few brief Hartford area stats... earliest 100 degree day on record is June 26, 1952 Only 3 back-to-back 100 degree days (1991, 1964, 2010). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Overcast here. Greenwich is your new verification point? That will be fun this winter. No, but I had some sun earlier this AM and some were saying I didn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 So. If we end up getting the 100F temps that Kevin was touting last week, while many Mets saying it wouldn't happen, will it be time to crown Kevin a true Met (sans degree)? ...Or do his predictions get the "Meh, he was just throwing out numbers to see if they'd stick" and the he got lucky response? I recall him making the bold call about stations not receiving 2" (I think that was the number) of snow after March or something like that earlier this year, and and if I recall he made the right call with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Skies are now BKN up here in CON. It's starting to feel a bit steamy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Impossible..All of Ct is socked in with low clouds Awesome day for wife and kids to hit the cloud covered beach today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 So. If we end up getting the 100F temps that Kevin was touting last week, while many Mets saying it wouldn't happen, will it be time to crown Kevin a true Met (sans degree)? ...Or do his predictions get the "Meh, he was just throwing out numbers to see if they'd stick" and the he got lucky response? I recall him making the bold call about stations not receiving 2" (I think that was the number) of snow after March or something like that earlier this year, and and if I recall he made the right call with that. people only remember when he's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 people only remember when he's right. No station will average below normal this June either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 So. If we end up getting the 100F temps that Kevin was touting last week, while many Mets saying it wouldn't happen, will it be time to crown Kevin a true Met (sans degree)? ...Or do his predictions get the "Meh, he was just throwing out numbers to see if they'd stick" and the he got lucky response? I recall him making the bold call about stations not receiving 2" (I think that was the number) of snow after March or something like that earlier this year, and and if I recall he made the right call with that. He is great in extreme patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 So. If we end up getting the 100F temps that Kevin was touting last week, while many Mets saying it wouldn't happen, will it be time to crown Kevin a true Met (sans degree)? ...Or do his predictions get the "Meh, he was just throwing out numbers to see if they'd stick" and the he got lucky response? I recall him making the bold call about stations not receiving 2" (I think that was the number) of snow after March or something like that earlier this year, and and if I recall he made the right call with that. Dude..I'll never get any credit. I never do. You can already see the responses above from the clan. They stick up for each other..but never for anyone else. Never a "Hey Kev, great job on snowfall amounts"..or "You out predicted my on air forecast kudos"..or "Terriffic call on many spots getting to or over 100 this week" So the KFS just keeps plugging away. Issuing great forecasts and saving lives and property Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 people only remember when he's right. No station will average below normal this June either. He is great in extreme patterns. Well then, I shall dub him, "Met"-X Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Agnes made landfall 40 years ago today in Florida. Helped give a large chunk of S CT their wettest month on record. I can't say for sure but it looks like a pseudo-PRE developed while the storm was making landfall in FL over a portion of the NE in right entrance region of jet streak and just dumped on S CT/NYC with 5-9" of rain. Then 3 days later Agnes dumped 2-4" as the remnants moved west of us... obviously the worst flooding was west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 skies brightening a bit here, but still OVC, temp has risen to 69. Getting above 70 has been brutal of late... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 skies brightening a bit here, but still OVC, temp has risen to 69. Getting above 70 has been brutal of late... A few breaks of blue here with a good amount of sun, but still lots of clouds around. Still BKN but at least we're heading in the right direction slowly but surely. Maybe we'll have a nice sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 Well then, I shall dub him, "Met"-X Because giving him kudos is like dumping an oil refinery on a forest fire. Even the Farmers Almanac has good days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 How do you get 38C with 20C 850s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 How do you get 38C with 20C 850s? Tolland lapse rates? I think we'll need 21-22c but that is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 CT's GC FTW. Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 90. West wind between 3 and 11 mph. Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 69. West wind around 6 mph. Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 89. Northwest wind between 6 and 9 mph. Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%. W Chesterfield... Wednesday: Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 92. West wind between 6 and 13 mph. Wednesday Night: Areas of fog after 4am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 67. West wind between 5 and 7 mph. Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 92. Northwest wind between 5 and 11 mph. Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 82. WINNING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Tolland lapse rates? I think we'll need 21-22c but that is possible. Yeah nam has us near 21 or 22 plus I always add a degree for downsloping if wind direction is favorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 Yeah nam has us near 21 or 22 plus I always add a degree for downsloping if wind direction is favorable. Yeah that's how I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 skies brightening a bit here, but still OVC, temp has risen to 69. Getting above 70 has been brutal of late... actually had to put on a long sleave jacket at Oronoke this morning for a few holes when the wind was gusting. It was not nice. I guess its better than melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Because giving him kudos is like dumping an oil refinery on a forest fire. Even the Farmers Almanac has good days. LOL!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Blizz... care to throw down some numbers for BDL? Highs tomorrow and Thursday plus 4pm dew point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 I've already thrown them out days ago..Scroll back to find them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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