CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 Wow Canadian looked nice for nrn CT and south of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Wow Canadian looked nice for nrn CT and south of the Pike. Nice band of 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 Nice band of 3-6 It's like part 1 of 2/29 all over again. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Wow Canadian looked nice for nrn CT and south of the Pike. Tough to tell on the b&w maps, but it looks like close to .75" of precip in Kevin's area and into Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 It's like part 1 of 2/29 all over again. LOL. If this does happen..I think we'd really like to see it come in at night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 Tough to tell on the b&w maps, but it looks like close to .75" of precip in Kevin's area and into Will. Yeah they were in the weenie deformation band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 If this does happen..I think we'd really like to see it come in at night GGEM has it occuring Saturday morning until Saturday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 I think the nam and gfs will be on board at 0z tonight Euro stays the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 From what I can tell, the nrn edge of this will probably have a good band with it. So the normal QPF distribution of more QPF closer to the low may not work here. I don't necessarily mean snow, but rain too if it is squashed too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 GGEM has it occuring Saturday morning until Saturday evening. That would have a tough time accumulating in the lower terrain. Hopefully this gets pushed to Sat nite for the valley dwellars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 massive cloud to ground strike!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 That would have a tough time accumulating in the lower terrain. Hopefully this gets pushed to Sat nite for the valley dwellars You should be OK if the ggem and ukie are correct. The thicknesses even support snow and the 850's are plenty cold. Perfect timing would be the euro ensemble, which is Saturday night into Sunday morning but it's also pretty surpressed and has very light precip amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 wow what an electrical show right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 You should be OK if the ggem and ukie are correct. The thicknesses even support snow and the 850's are plenty cold. I 'm at 1,000 feet so I'd be good..but I mean for folks like Ryan, Wiz etc..again if this even happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 Well hopefully the euro looks like the GEM and Ukie. Might be a good sign that those models looked decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Forget the american models. Going to be fun to watch this evolve and hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 I 'm at 968 feet so I'd be good..but I mean for folks like Ryan, Wiz etc..again if this even happens Fyp buddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Well hopefully the euro looks like the GEM and Ukie. Might be a good sign that those models looked decent. The gfs and its ensembles (including the new 12z ensembles) refuse to budge with it's surpressed track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 I hope you guys south of the pike get a foot of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 The gfs and its ensembles (including the new 12z ensembles) refuse to budge with it's surpressed track. Probably a combo of the confluence to the north and how the s/w digs and intensifies. The GFS keeps the s/w rather disorganized and flying along until the last minute, while the Canadian starts to dig it in the OV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 Meanwhile Monday and Tuesday are close to torching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Meanwhile Monday and Tuesday are close to torching. Lol 3-6 then 70's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 folks shouldn't be tossing x,y, z models because they don't show want one wants to see... Fact of the matter is, the NAM/GFS suppressed solutions are still on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Anyone notice how that Tstorm complex which was near Utica NY blew through Mass to CCod in less than 4 hours, thats like almost 60 miles per hour, cool Thunder here with rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 folks shouldn't be tossing x,y, z models because they don't show want one wants to see... Fact of the matter is, the NAM/GFS suppressed solutions are still on the table. No doubt, hopefully the euro is on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Meanwhile Monday and Tuesday are close to torching. eh, I bet when push comes to shove the marginally -NAO will shunt that more south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 eh, I bet when push comes to shove the marginally -NAO will shunt that more south... Yeah I meant on the GFS. It looks like SNE might be SOL or close to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 Yeah I meant on the GFS. It looks like SNE might be SOL or close to it. Although it's very close. Even the 00z euro tries to briefly torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Although it's very close. Even the 00z euro tries to briefly torch Right , most have it to some degree or the other, but I'm just saying that I think it less likely to succeed regardless of which model shows what or, the NAO might vagariously become less negative.... I have lived in this part of the country too long and experienced too many springs to believe that any degree of -NAO, unless it is hugely east based, won't disappoint warm weather types at least excuse imaginable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 I'll take the ggem please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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