weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Go. Let's get some juju. I think we have a decent chance late weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 I'm cautiously optimistic. Need some white ground and I don't mean seagull sh*t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 ec ens. mean has it passing outside the BM. not a bad place to be if you are a coastal dweller and it's t=144 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I'm cautiously optimistic. Need some white ground and I don't mean seagull sh*t. Jerry, Lets hope for some good karma on this threat, Need to keep the weenies inflated.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Is this a quiz? lol Can I answer when it's a D3 event? I'm going to go out on a limb and say partly cloudy in God's country and a flizzard on the Cape. 33.5/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 ec ens. mean has it passing outside the BM. not a bad place to be if you are a coastal dweller and it's t=144 hours. GFS ensemble mean is just a slight bit SE of the ECMWF ensemble mean which is also what we like to see. For 132-144 hours out, we probably can't ask for anything better...its just a waiting game at this point and hoping we have a great signal inside of 100 hours by Wednesday morning or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Good luck, guys. Really pulling for ya to get some snow. This board will be a lot more fun (and a lot less anxious) once everyone has gotten that first snowfall out of the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 GFS ensemble mean is just a slight bit SE of the ECMWF ensemble mean which is also what we like to see. For 132-144 hours out, we probably can't ask for anything better...its just a waiting game at this point and hoping we have a great signal inside of 100 hours by Wednesday morning or so. Will, Your post today have been positive and upbeat......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 Will, Your post today have been positive and upbeat......... Looking at your obs of 50F on 12/13 makes me want to vomit...although obviously it's on the way out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Looking at your obs of 50F on 12/13 makes me want to vomit...although obviously it's on the way out... I have been for 2 days......Down 7 degrees from a high of 57.4F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 FWIW the Canadian ensembles are further sw of the 0z runs. Still offshore, but likely brush the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 GFS ensemble mean is just a slight bit SE of the ECMWF ensemble mean which is also what we like to see. For 132-144 hours out, we probably can't ask for anything better...its just a waiting game at this point and hoping we have a great signal inside of 100 hours by Wednesday morning or so. 12z GEFS at 144 for comparison sake: and at 156: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Will, Your post today have been positive and upbeat......... I haven't felt this "optimistic" since Dec '09. I used the term loosely, but he's right, the EC ensemble prog is in a great spot at this time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I don't know if we have ever had a model run recently that doesn't matter as much as this 18z GFS run doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 I don't know if we have ever had a model run recently that doesn't matter as much as this 18z GFS run doesn't. At least not since 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 At least not since 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I haven't felt this "optimistic" since Dec '09. I used the term loosely, but he's right, the EC ensemble prog is in a great spot at this time range. Yeah Scott, You are included here as well, Its good to see a a storm potential that actually has a chnace this far out, Definitly a more upbeat board overall....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 18Z is going to produce based on the 126 map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 18Z is going to produce based on the 126 map. I agree, Trough is starting to go negative, This looks like it may be coming up the coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 18Z is going to produce based on the 126 map. looks great!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 MDT snow into Boston by 144, light into central NH/VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 looks great!!! East of NJ, Already down to 988 mb...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 The next couple of panels might be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 Looks to be heading to the BM vicinity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 150 has mdt to heavy snow into all of SNE and southern NH/VT/ ME and light to MDT further up and building. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Moving at a snails pace as well.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I think we finally have something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 Snow shellacking up and down the coast from RIC-ME. Cape has mixing issue for awhile but back to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I think we finally have something. Agree, I think we would be pleased with this....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 The next couple of panels might be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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