A-L-E-K Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 looking forward to a mood setter tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 First and final for LAF: 0.8" I love it when you're feeling optimistic!! I'm feeling a little better about it. IWX was saying yesterday around an inch and today 1-2", so I'll say .9". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 I love it when you're optimistic!! I'm feeling a little better about it. IWX was saying yesterday around an inch and today 1-2", so I'll say .9". LAF has overachieved in every event this winter. Why buck the trend? I should have gone 1"+. Really though, any snow is good snow to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 LAF has overachieved in every event this winter. Why buck the trend? I should have gone 1"+. Really though, any snow is good snow to me. Yep, and I'm with Alek.....A nice mood snow on a late January night, with everything still and quiet with the exception of the coyots' running.... Ahhh, Winter time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 I'm excited for this event. HRRR has precipitation from 2 pm to midnight, perfect timing for some tracking, even if there isn't much snow. 1-2" in the forecast, probably just 1" is gonna happen. It'll make everything look fresher, snow around here is getting brown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 This might have more impact than expected in Wisconsin since it's hitting during Friday rush hour. Just takes one heavy band/shower to make things a total mess on the roads. Meanwhile up to 33 °F. Might start off as rain briefly since the mixed layer is gonna be warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Looking like a non-event here. Des Moines and Quad Cities have removed any snow accumulation from their area forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 LAF has overachieved in every event this winter. Why buck the trend? I should have gone 1"+. Really though, any snow is good snow to me. I like 1-2". There's a chance we begin as rain but I wouldn't expect it to last long if it happens at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Up to 38 °F on campus, this is definitely going to start as rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 40° here, so expect a mix at the beginning. MKE not expecting 2" amounts anymore < 1" generally. Tom Skilling's RPM model still has 1-2" amounts over N IL, S WI. 000 FXUS63 KMKX 271644 AAA AFDMKX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 1044 AM CST FRI JAN 27 2012 .UPDATE... SOME MODELS...NAM...DELAY THE ONSET OF SNOW AT MADISON UNTIL 6 PM WHILE OTHERS STAY ON THE CURRENT TRACK OF SNOW ARRIVING THERE AROUND 4 OR 5 PM. THE BIG CHANGE IN THE MODELS IS HOW MUCH THEY HAVE BACKED OFF ON PRECIP AMOUNTS FOR SOUTHERN WI. SURFACE PROGS NOW SHOW QPF MAX AMOUNTS OVER NORTHERN WI/UPPER MI AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WITH A DEFINITE WEAKER AREA OF QPF OVER SOUTHERN WI. THE ONLY MODEL NOT SHOWING THIS SPLIT IN THE QPF IS THE REGIONAL CANADIAN MODEL. THE BIG PROBLEM WILL BE THE DRY AIR TO OVERCOME BEFORE IT CAN BEGIN SNOWING AT THE SURFACE. WILL BE KNOCKING DOWN EXPECTED SNOW AMOUNTS. IT IS NOW LOOKING LIKE A HALF INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE MORE LIKELY...RATHER THAN AN INCH OR MORE. MODELS ARE ALSO SHOWING A SLIGHT ENHANCEMENT IN QPF EAST OF MADISON THIS EVENING...SO MILWAUKEE MAY END UP WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER SNOW AMOUNTS THAN MADISON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 12z ECMWF LSE: SAT 00Z 28-JAN 0.0 -6.1 1011 77 98 0.02 536 528 SAT 06Z 28-JAN -2.0 -9.0 1013 72 54 0.02 529 518 MSN: SAT 06Z 28-JAN -0.4 -6.3 1011 84 59 0.02 534 525 SAT 12Z 28-JAN -6.7 -9.3 1014 80 18 0.01 524 513 MKE: SAT 06Z 28-JAN 0.5 -6.5 1011 78 100 0.01 536 527 SAT 12Z 28-JAN -1.0 -8.8 1011 65 56 0.05 525 516 SBM: SAT 06Z 28-JAN 0.3 -6.9 1009 77 100 0.01 534 526 SAT 12Z 28-JAN -2.1 -8.9 1009 70 65 0.06 523 516 CID: SAT 00Z 28-JAN 1.8 -4.8 1015 60 98 0.01 542 530 SAT 06Z 28-JAN -1.0 -8.8 1016 67 38 0.01 534 521 DVN: SAT 00Z 28-JAN 1.5 -5.0 1016 70 99 0.01 543 531 SAT 06Z 28-JAN 0.5 -7.6 1015 82 63 0.04 536 525 PIA: SAT 00Z 28-JAN 2.3 -3.6 1017 68 100 0.01 547 533 SAT 06Z 28-JAN 0.6 -5.7 1016 95 99 0.16 541 528 SAT 12Z 28-JAN -3.0 -8.6 1019 60 33 0.04 531 516 RFD: SAT 06Z 28-JAN -0.2 -6.8 1013 87 98 0.04 537 526 SAT 12Z 28-JAN -3.9 -8.8 1015 72 15 0.02 526 514 ORD: SAT 06Z 28-JAN 0.3 -6.2 1013 87 98 0.04 539 528 SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.1 -8.4 1012 70 29 0.05 527 518 MDW: SAT 06Z 28-JAN 0.6 -6.1 1014 89 98 0.05 540 529 SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.2 -8.2 1013 72 30 0.05 528 518 STL: SAT 06Z 28-JAN 2.1 -3.0 1017 91 99 0.04 548 534 SAT 12Z 28-JAN -1.5 -7.2 1023 74 30 0.03 543 525 DEC: SAT 06Z 28-JAN 0.9 -4.2 1016 91 99 0.07 545 532 SAT 12Z 28-JAN -1.1 -7.6 1019 75 35 0.08 537 522 PAH: SAT 12Z 28-JAN 3.9 -2.6 1022 80 27 0.01 553 536 IND: SAT 06Z 28-JAN 0.6 -1.9 1017 85 59 0.02 548 535 SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.8 -5.4 1015 94 99 0.05 542 529 SAT 18Z 28-JAN 2.3 -8.6 1022 43 12 0.01 536 519 LAF: SAT 06Z 28-JAN 0.9 -3.5 1016 91 76 0.05 545 532 SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.9 -7.2 1015 92 60 0.08 537 525 VPZ: SAT 06Z 28-JAN 0.5 -5.7 1015 90 100 0.05 541 530 SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.3 -7.9 1012 81 40 0.08 531 521 OKK: SAT 06Z 28-JAN 0.6 -3.9 1016 88 89 0.04 545 533 SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.8 -6.4 1014 92 99 0.08 538 527 SAT 18Z 28-JAN 1.4 -9.3 1020 41 36 0.01 531 515 FWA: SAT 06Z 28-JAN -0.1 -4.3 1016 77 89 0.01 545 532 SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.7 -6.0 1012 91 99 0.09 537 527 SAT 18Z 28-JAN 1.0 -9.0 1017 46 31 0.02 529 515 HAO: SAT 12Z 28-JAN 1.2 -3.9 1015 86 97 0.01 546 534 SAT 18Z 28-JAN 3.2 -7.4 1020 56 18 0.04 541 525 DAY: SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.5 -4.2 1015 85 98 0.01 544 533 SAT 18Z 28-JAN 2.3 -7.8 1019 55 30 0.04 538 523 CMH: SAT 18Z 28-JAN 2.7 -7.1 1017 78 21 0.04 540 526 TDZ: SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.4 -4.8 1012 89 99 0.04 539 529 SAT 18Z 28-JAN 2.6 -8.3 1013 61 14 0.06 528 518 CLE: SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.2 -4.1 1014 83 93 0.01 542 531 SAT 18Z 28-JAN 1.8 -7.0 1012 84 38 0.04 533 524 SUN 00Z 29-JAN -0.8 -10.7 1019 55 55 0.02 530 514 MKG: SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.8 -7.3 1007 87 89 0.14 527 521 SAT 18Z 28-JAN -1.0 -11.4 1014 66 52 0.03 521 511 GRR: SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.0 -7.1 1008 93 98 0.12 529 523 SAT 18Z 28-JAN -0.6 -11.0 1013 68 31 0.07 522 512 SUN 00Z 29-JAN -2.6 -11.1 1017 57 89 0.01 526 513 BTL: SAT 12Z 28-JAN -0.1 -7.1 1009 93 99 0.10 532 524 SAT 18Z 28-JAN -0.3 -10.5 1014 65 26 0.06 524 513 SUN 00Z 29-JAN -3.8 -11.1 1018 56 67 0.01 528 513 ADG: SAT 12Z 28-JAN 0.1 -6.0 1011 91 97 0.05 536 527 SAT 18Z 28-JAN 1.8 -9.0 1013 53 13 0.05 526 516 DTW: SAT 12Z 28-JAN -0.3 -6.3 1011 89 98 0.02 536 528 SAT 18Z 28-JAN 2.2 -8.1 1010 60 34 0.06 525 517 PHN: SAT 12Z 28-JAN -1.1 -7.4 1010 83 99 0.01 535 527 SAT 18Z 28-JAN 2.6 -7.1 1007 74 76 0.07 524 519 SUN 00Z 29-JAN -3.2 -11.4 1015 62 36 0.01 523 511 YKF: SAT 18Z 28-JAN 0.6 -6.9 1006 85 100 0.08 528 523 SUN 00Z 29-JAN -2.8 -10.4 1012 68 41 0.07 521 512 YYZ: SAT 18Z 28-JAN 1.6 -6.6 1006 82 99 0.04 530 525 SUN 00Z 29-JAN -0.7 -9.6 1010 70 67 0.05 522 514 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 It looks like it is going to be a mix of snow, zr, ip here. great.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 I see some darker green shading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 don't see this over coming the warmth for us to see snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 don't see this over coming the warmth for us to see snow With low 20° dewpoints, evaporative cooling should drop temperatures enough. Probably see liquid or a mix to start. I don't think anyone north of I-80 will see more than 1-1.25". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Snowing pretty good here now with decent size flakes. It was 34 degrees, but it began as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 don't see this over coming the warmth for us to see snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 The solid green band on radar only managed to put down about a quarter inch of snow on a wood surface, despite the good intensity, because the ground is warm. Most of the pavement remained wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 easy to see where the evaporative cooling is taking place with the two -SN reports in eastern IA and colder temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 monster clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Down to 36° already. 26° dewpoint. Looks like the snow won't be in till after 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 I don't understand why to models weaken it so quickly when it gets to ohio, it gets stronger until in reaches Indianapolis. Then it weakens really fast, like in one hour. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Haven't seen a flake or rain drop here yet. Virga city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Haven't seen a flake or rain drop here yet. Virga city. Would have been raining if there was no dry air, this way at least maybe you will see snow. I would rather have virga then rain, especially this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Would have been raining if there was no dry air, this way at least maybe you will see snow. I would rather have virga then rain, especially this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 -SN at Freeport. 87% humidity. One place that is snowing in northern IL. -SN at Peoria too. 96% humidty. 32° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Haven't seen a flake or rain drop here yet. Virga city. Same here, it's just cool and breezy. Might get a little snow in the band off to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 +Virga FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 -SN at Rockford now. Seems like the Quad Cities are in a snow-free zone tonight with snow all around the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.