mappy Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 that clipper will be here sooner then i expected this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 CTP's forecast for Harrisburg will make your head hurt. Friday Night Cloudy. Snow or sleet after midnight. Light snow accumulation. Near steady temperature in the mid 20s. East winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Saturday Cloudy. Snow or sleet or freezing rain likely in the morning...then a chance of freezing rain...rain...snow and sleet in the afternoon. Additional light snow accumulation possible. Highs in the lower 30s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 CTP's forecast for Harrisburg will make your head hurt. Friday Night Cloudy. Snow or sleet after midnight. Light snow accumulation. Near steady temperature in the mid 20s. East winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Saturday Cloudy. Snow or sleet or freezing rain likely in the morning...then a chance of freezing rain...rain...snow and sleet in the afternoon. Additional light snow accumulation possible. Highs in the lower 30s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 You make me smile I know I am technically MD but I do live north of Baltimore, so I figure Id come in here and see what you all had to say about the event. Some of us actually work in your region and live here like me. York to Baltimore is almost a region of its own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Some of us actually work in your region and live here like me. York to Baltimore is almost a region of its own. Yeah, I have noticed that since moving north - I can have sun with nada in Baltimore City while its storming in Hunt Valley (where my hubby works) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 CTP's forecast for Harrisburg will make your head hurt. Friday Night Cloudy. Snow or sleet after midnight. Light snow accumulation. Near steady temperature in the mid 20s. East winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Saturday Cloudy. Snow or sleet or freezing rain likely in the morning...then a chance of freezing rain...rain...snow and sleet in the afternoon. Additional light snow accumulation possible. Highs in the lower 30s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. LOL no kidding! That is a mess! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Yeah, I have noticed that since moving north - I can have sun with nada in Baltimore City while its storming in Hunt Valley (where my hubby works) I know quite a few people that commute to hunt valley from York. If you don't mind me asking, where does your hubby work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Yeah, I have noticed that since moving north - I can have sun with nada in Baltimore City while its storming in Hunt Valley (where my hubby works) Welcome to our little world. Hunt Valley was where we occasionally go when we hooked out of school my senior year in high school. Well, twice there, four times to Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I know quite a few people that commute to hunt valley from York. If you don't mind me asking, where does your hubby work? Id rather not say publically. He is between Beaver Dam and 83... thats the best you will get Welcome to our little world. Hunt Valley was where we occasionally go when we hooked out of school my senior year in high school. Well, twice there, four times to Baltimore. Thanks, Jamie I love my subforum, don't get me wrong.... but I figured I could get the best of both worlds by popping in here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Id rather not say publically. He is between Beaver Dam and 83... thats the best you will get Thanks, Jamie I love my subforum, don't get me wrong.... but I figured I could get the best of both worlds by popping in here too. I go to other subforums to browse around for other ideas, like the Mid-Atlantic and Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 What's up with the giant donut hole in the precip over Ohio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Id rather not say publically. He is between Beaver Dam and 83... thats the best you will get Thanks, Jamie I love my subforum, don't get me wrong.... but I figured I could get the best of both worlds by popping in here too. Lol I'm not terribly familiar with hunt valley so location means nothing. But if it's for a certain defense contractor there (as I have a hunch it might be, as I currently work for a different defense contractor and am all too familiar with security), I'm intimately familiar with their main product, as I was deployed to Iraq in a unit that utilized said product, with the PA guard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 What's up with the giant donut hole in the precip over Ohio? Urban Meyer made a deal with Mother Nature so he can keep flying In other schools' recruits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Urban Meyer made a deal with Mother Nature so he can keep flying In other schools' recruits. That a-hole.... Glad he isn't at PSU. I give him 3 years before he has more "personal issues" that cause him to resign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 LOL no kidding! That is a mess! I wish they could put up a graphic of a question mark sometimes. This would be one of those times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Can't see the in between hours, but looks like the Euro is coming in a tad cooler aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Anybody have the full soundings from the 12z ECMWF for KMDT for the period of interest on Saturday? Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Early looks at the Euro text data are colder aloft than the 0z run. MDT is just barely above freezing for one frame (0.3C) at 850mb. AOO and JST look to be mainly snow for the first time. QPF kinda lacking in the southeast, MDT was only printing out about 0.3". HGR has 0.16" total. I'm not too concerned about QPF issues at the moment, the Euro was really dry right up to the last minute with the rainy part of the last system. This overall setup is likely going to favor primarly frozen precip for most folks in here... the system is pretty weak to really make a devastating northward jog as well as make for any significant WAA aloft. SREFs are still pretty far north with their snow axis as of the 9z run, i'd like to see that come down a bit at 15z... and it probably should given the 12z NAM caving to alot more frozen. I'll probably work a map in later today/this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 What's up with the giant donut hole in the precip over Ohio? Probably precip not reaching the ground. Eastern's HRR images notwithstanding this system isn't really strong enough to drop a lot of precip. Can't see the in between hours, but looks like the Euro is coming in a tad cooler aloft. Peeked at the EURO. No significant differences, very minor run-to-run changes that would be expected with any numerical guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 What are we looking at in IPT?? Looks like precip amounts say 2 or 3 inches from this weekends storm..borderline advisory event?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 What are we looking at in IPT?? Looks like precip amounts say 2 or 3 inches from this weekends storm..borderline advisory event?? The Euro gave you a lil over 0.4", and your in the region with this system where i'd look for better than 10:1 ratios. Easily an advisory event as it stands from all models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 What are we looking at in IPT?? Looks like precip amounts say 2 or 3 inches from this weekends storm..borderline advisory event?? Looks like an advisory event for us. 27/12 here right now and completely overcast. Looks like some precip moving in from the west, and the hole around the radar here shows the dry air will eat up some of the precip. Not a bad thing really since it will cool us off. Should see some ground truth within a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Can anybody throw me a bone and post the Euro text for KMUI (Ft Indiantown Gap)? Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Can anybody throw me a bone and post the Euro text for KMUI (Ft Indiantown Gap)? Thanks in advance. Looks to be all snow and about 0.34" SAT 06Z 21-JAN -3.3 -6.1 1024 51 100 0.02 555 536 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -4.2 -3.5 1019 87 100 0.19 554 539 SAT 18Z 21-JAN -0.9 -0.7 1018 82 64 0.13 555 541 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Looks to be all snow and about 0.34" SAT 06Z 21-JAN -3.3 -6.1 1024 51 100 0.02 555 536 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -4.2 -3.5 1019 87 100 0.19 554 539 SAT 18Z 21-JAN -0.9 -0.7 1018 82 64 0.13 555 541 Are you thinking our area stays mostly snow now this weekends? CTP still has us in a "wintry mix", which I am doubting seeing as how the models have trended colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 I took a look the 00z, 06z, 12z numerical runs from today (GFS, NAM, UKMET, RGEM) for the Friday night event. It appears as though the PA Turnpike could very well be the dividing line between all snow and the snow -> mixed event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Looking like 2 to 4 if you get all snow...less if you mix. No real surprises appear to be in place..thank goodness. I'll take it and run this winter, though it would be a nuisance snow in most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Looks to be all snow and about 0.34" SAT 06Z 21-JAN -3.3 -6.1 1024 51 100 0.02 555 536 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -4.2 -3.5 1019 87 100 0.19 554 539 SAT 18Z 21-JAN -0.9 -0.7 1018 82 64 0.13 555 541 Looking at the Euro, I'd say a 4-6 event for UNV based on the text. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Looks to be all snow and about 0.34" SAT 06Z 21-JAN -3.3 -6.1 1024 51 100 0.02 555 536 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -4.2 -3.5 1019 87 100 0.19 554 539 SAT 18Z 21-JAN -0.9 -0.7 1018 82 64 0.13 555 541 Thanks MAG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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