Thundersnow12 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 GGEM is probably good for a band of 2-5", if indeed the high ratios were to work out. Edit: ECMWF holds its track from previous runs, and has a narrow area that would be worthy of 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 12z Euro remains north...and light. Probably gets ORD off the snide though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Not entirely true the past few years at least.. 6-12 inches christmas last year.. March 2009 12"++ in SE Wisonsin, and a couple more events I have to dig up.. Definitely not the quality of the other side, but its not nonexistent/rare either. Usually there are AT LEAST a couple of decent events a year on this side of the lake.. March 2009- http://www.crh.noaa....p?MO=03&YR=2009 Christmas last year.. Yes, that was a good lake effect snow event. I picked up 13" - most of it was within 8 hours Christmas night. The snow band looked like the ones that Buffalo is famous for! From the WGN Weather blog that night: http://blog.chicagoweathercenter.com/2010/12/very-heavy-lake-effect-snow-blasting-southeast-wisconsin-headed-for-lake-county-illinois.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Yes, that was a good lake effect snow event. I picked up 13" - most of it was within 8 hours Christmas night. The snow band looked like the ones that Buffalo is famous for! From the WGN Weather blog that night: http://blog.chicagow...y-illinois.html ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 ? The 13" included lake effect snow from earlier in the day actually. It was separate from that particular band, but it was the same day. I think I was between 10-11" for the main event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Wasn't the snow ratio about 50:1 with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Wasn't the snow ratio about 50:1 with that? Nah that was the day after Christmas 2009 with the crazy ratios of 50-100:1.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 The 13" included lake effect snow from earlier in the day actually. It was separate from that particular band, but it was the same day. I think I was between 10-11" for the main event! your numbers aren't jiving with the map also don't jive with this http://blog.chicagoweathercenter.com/2010/12/waves-of-lake-effect-snow-continue-to-move-into-the-chicago-area.html ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Wasn't the snow ratio about 50:1 with that? It was in the mid to low 20s during that event. Little wind. The snow was fluffy and had a lot of air in it. Maybe a 30:1 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 your numbers aren't jiving with the map also don't jive with this http://blog.chicagow...icago-area.html ouch Yeah they fail to jive, so... looking at my data from that winter: I had 2.0" from lake effect on 12/24. Then 11.6" from 10am the 25th through 9am the 26th. Two different lake effect snow events actually. The snow was easy to measure, no drifting. I'm in Beach Park that shows 9.9", but the town stretches 5 miles from the lake - inland. So I think that 9.9" was measured at the other end of town! It's not the first time I've seen maps not jiving with individual snow tallies! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I finally got my first 0.1" of snow today. It's still snowing very lightly, but at this rate it would take a week to get an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Stuck in the upper 20s, the sun is trying to break through but isn't quite making it yet. The lack of sunlight like this for days straight is the worst part of winter imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Is this precip heading to southern Ontario as well? EC doesn't seem to be hinting at anything at the moment in that timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 It's been flurrying on and off since about 1:00 here. First flurries since 11/10 I believe. Here's to squeezing out 2" Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Turtle- I feel exactly the same way. Give me 5F and sunshine over 25F and thick clouds. Been very bad around here the past few weeks, feels like i live in Michigan (oh God!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 GGEM is probably good for a band of 2-5", if indeed the high ratios were to work out. from prinsburg..Would certainly be several inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I finally got my first 0.1" of snow today. It's still snowing very lightly, but at this rate it would take a week to get an inch. Nice. It snowed very lightly on and off all day. Nothing stuck though. Was surprised at the report of 0.8" near East Moline. I wasn't too far from there all day and nothing came close to accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Turtle- I feel exactly the same way. Give me 5F and sunshine over 25F and thick clouds. Been very bad around here the past few weeks, feels like i live in Michigan (oh God!) I don't know why, but I kinda like the dark/overcast days this time of year. Strange but true lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 from prinsburg..Would certainly be several inches. Damn. That would definitely add to the cold coming later this week. Gonna be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Stuck in the upper 20s, the sun is trying to break through but isn't quite making it yet. The lack of sunlight like this for days straight is the worst part of winter imo. I'm down by Kenosha, WI and I hear ya on the clouds. 20 cloudy days for November here and so far this month 5 days out of the 6 have been almost 100% cloudy! I think the cloud capital of the U.S., Seattle, has had more sun lately then this region! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I know somebody posted an earlier frame of the UKMET already, but here's the total accums. Generally 0.1"-0.2" along and N of I-80, which with LOT calling for 20:1 ratios, could be up to 2-4" in a band across Chicagoland (hey that rhymed!). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Nice.. finally something... hope it's more vigorous and we get in the max dendritic growth zone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 7, 2011 Author Share Posted December 7, 2011 As others have stated, Chicago is in rare territory as far as measurable snow goes. Through today there have been only 7 other winter/snow seasons that failed to produce a measurable snowfall by now. I put together a quick data table showing each season and how they performed snow and temperature wise through the rest of the season. As you will see, all of the seasons ended up below normal snowfall wise and none of them were Nina's. It looks like we should make it up to at least 5th or 6th on the list, possibly threatening the record if the late week clipper fails to produce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 As others have stated, Chicago is in rare territory as far as measurable snow goes. Through today there have been only 7 other winter/snow seasons that failed to produce a measurable snowfall by now. I put together a quick data table showing each season and how they performed snow and temperature wise through the rest of the season. As you will see, all of the seasons ended up below normal snowfall wise and none of them were Nina's. It looks like we should make it up to at least 5th or 6th on the list, possibly threatening the record if the late week clipper fails to produce. Interesting. I guess one thing to note is at least there have been some snow systems nearby, they just happened to miss northern Illinois up to this point. Hopefully we can get the Thursday night system to overachieve a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 As others have stated, Chicago is in rare territory as far as measurable snow goes. Through today there have been only 7 other winter/snow seasons that failed to produce a measurable snowfall by now. I put together a quick data table showing each season and how they performed snow and temperature wise through the rest of the season. As you will see, all of the seasons ended up below normal snowfall wise and none of them were Nina's. It looks like we should make it up to at least 5th or 6th on the list, possibly threatening the record if the late week clipper fails to produce. Nice job. The only thing that saved '01-'02 and '46-'47 were the respectable March totals. Otherwise, the average seasonal snowfall for those seven seasons is only about 22". The way it is, it's only 24.6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 As others have stated, Chicago is in rare territory as far as measurable snow goes. Through today there have been only 7 other winter/snow seasons that failed to produce a measurable snowfall by now. I put together a quick data table showing each season and how they performed snow and temperature wise through the rest of the season. As you will see, all of the seasons ended up below normal snowfall wise and none of them were Nina's. It looks like we should make it up to at least 5th or 6th on the list, possibly threatening the record if the late week clipper fails to produce. Very interesting that none of the winter's were La Nina's. This season is getting off to a unique start then. I didn't realize that 2003-2004 was so low in snowfall for ORD. I'm only 30 miles north of ORD and I recorded 42.6" that winter! Good job on the table! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Somewhat warm this evening across southwest Wisconsin, 30 °F in spots. We can thank the cloud deck for that. Clouds will clear out much later tonight as southwesterly advection pushes the low stratus away. Someone could get flurries in the area as the stratus passes through. Then it's gonna get bitter cold, 18 °F by morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 As others have stated, Chicago is in rare territory as far as measurable snow goes. Through today there have been only 7 other winter/snow seasons that failed to produce a measurable snowfall by now. I put together a quick data table showing each season and how they performed snow and temperature wise through the rest of the season. As you will see, all of the seasons ended up below normal snowfall wise and none of them were Nina's. It looks like we should make it up to at least 5th or 6th on the list, possibly threatening the record if the late week clipper fails to produce. very interesting considering we are in a typical Nina right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 GFS has shown a storm in the GLOV area in fantasy range sometime around next thursday for a couple runs now....18z GFS is pretty smexy with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Freezing Rain Advisory here with a light coating of ice beginning to build up. Temp down to 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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