dryslot Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Looks warm until FROPA on thurs with showers, Cool down over the weekend with some moderation early next week, Looks like a possible wintery chance mid week next week, Euro has the system further south this run, Temps look to be in the 40's for the most part or closer to normal Euro def. continues with the idea of no torch again next week. Cools us down into the 40's Thurs and Fri..50ish over the weekend a bit milder Sunday and then another fropa early next week. Also has the system farther south than it did for middle of next week..Temps look to be in the 40's overall next week. Interesting that the next storm came south again. We may be able to sneak something in AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Except for the rain on Thanksgiving aftn. Transient shots and that's it. Pretty much AWT for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 What I have noticed about my area is that I seldom jackpot because I am caught in "no man's land" with regard to the issue of interior vs coast, however I seldom get violently screwed, either.....at the end of the season, I'll usually end up with a decent total...slow and steady as she goes, but no real headline grabbers along the way. I need ideal placement of the cf in order to jackpot the vast majority of the time....it's usually either the ORH hills\GC, or I smoke cf exhaust and you and\or Messenger, Bob are nude. Yeah that's true, but you are in a favorable Miller B locale. You defintely have that to your advantage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Except for the rain on Thanksgiving aftn. Transient shots and that's it. Pretty much AWT for now. Many have been calling for nothing +10 to +15 thru months end..that has disappeared as models continue to trend colder AMOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 I love route 128....it doesn't even need to snow inside of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Many have been calling for nothing +10 to +15 thru months end..that has disappeared as models continue to trend colder AMOUT Nobody said that..lol. I think it is the result of the EPO and NAO that were briefly in favorable zones. There has been a steady cool down with that, but the problem is that we go right back to a sh*tty state of indices. We'll be in shorts again next weekend before any cool down by the 22nd or so....and who knows if that will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 You must be in the 300sq foot area of Reading that is south of 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Many have been calling for nothing +10 to +15 thru months end..that has disappeared as models continue to trend colder AMOUT Ok so they trend colder to +5 to +10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Except for the rain on Thanksgiving aftn. Transient shots and that's it. Pretty much AWT for now. Are we looking at really positive daily departures, or just a general +1F, +2F? Near normal suits me fine... I am sick of the +10 to +15. Never mind... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Nobody said that..lol. I think it is the result of the EPO and NAO that were briefly in favorable zones. There has been a steady cool down with that, but the problem is that we go right back to a sh*tty state of indices. We'll be in shorts again next weekend before any cool down by the 22nd or so....and who knows if that will happen. There it is again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 There it is again Thanksgiving dinner with windows open, allowing the warm breezes into the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 DT's blog says no change to cold pattern prior to 12/1..while not what most want to hear its a good read. http://www.wxrisk.com/2011/11/pv-in-yukon-bad-pv-bad-pv/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 DT's blog says no change to cold pattern prior to 12/1..while not what most want to hear its a good read. http://www.wxrisk.co...-bad-pv-bad-pv/ He changed his tune quick. Pretty much AWT's flying around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Yeah that's true, but you are in a favorable Miller B locale. You defintely have that to your advantage. Traditionally, but it hasn't really worked out that way over the course of the past several years.....at least as far as jackpotting is concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Traditionally, but it hasn't really worked out that way over the course of the past several years.....at least as far as jackpotting is concerned. Never in the jackpot in the CP here as well usually, But do well in the Miller B's and the SWFE.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Weeklies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Traditionally, but it hasn't really worked out that way over the course of the past several years.....at least as far as jackpotting is concerned. Well you had 1/21 and that storm on 2/27 in February where you maxed out. That's what I'm referring to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Never in the jackpot in the CP here as well usually, But do well in the Miller B's and the SWFE.. Dec 2008 jackpotted me, but it developed a hair too late to deliver a true crushing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Thanksgiving dinner with windows open, allowing the warm breezes into the house. At least we won't be roasting the turkeys in the car.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 He changed his tune quick. Pretty much AWT's flying around. again, AMOUT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 I believe last year my first coating of snow (besides early nov. where ginx got 2") was 12/10 and it was just enough to cover the roads, maybe not even. So we have a while to go to get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 I still remember Thanksgiving 1979 it was 70+... Bad omen when that winter only produced 28" (or so) in ALB.... Thanksgiving dinner with windows open, allowing the warm breezes into the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Euro ensembles are still kind of warm with that storm at the beginning of next week fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Well you had 1/21 and that storm on 2/27 in February where you maxed out. That's what I'm referring to. Yes...moderate. I'm speaking of biggies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Weeklies? Not for a couple of more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Yes...I have a moderate weenie, but I'm speaking of weenies that are biggies. That's what I want. Not a banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Euro ensembles are still kind of warm with that storm at the beginning of next week fwiw. Who cares...I think expecting anymore significant snow for the rest of this month is a pipedream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Dec 2008 jackpotted me, but it developed a hair too late to deliver a true crushing. It was either that year or 2007 i think in Jan, Where i jackpotted for our area as i had the meaga death band setup over me and we recived 19.8", I have the date on my computer at home not here at work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 There it is again well the indices aren't just made up things we look at. they're not independent from the model runs...they're a calculation based on the data available. if the "indices" are favorable, that would typically imply that overall the pattern looks good. in a sense, they are one in the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 It was either that year or 2007 i think in Jan, Where i jackpotted for our area as i had the meaga death band setup over me and we recived 19.8", I have the date on my computer at home not here at work That is the one that I am speaking of....I got about 1' from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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