Mr. Windcredible! Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Yeah that was classic. Who the hell knows what he was on. he was on Tosh.0 on comedy central at some point...claims he wasn't on anything at the time he shot the video...although his appearance certainly screams 'shroom loving hippie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Let's see, sunday was 100% chance of rain here and nothing. Yesterday was 70% chance of rain, nothing. Today and tonight are 60%, 90%. I'm not real confident. You'll get a shot of rain. You might not jackpot, but I think a decent drink of water is at hand. It's hard to forecast widespread rain here in the summer. Things are very different, unlike the Fall-Spring period. Much of the rain is convective and due to areas of convergence, unlike the winter which can feature large scale synoptic lift and overrunning. So when models pinpoint areas of heavy rain, sometimes they end up 50-100 miles from where they were progged..even 24 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Have they reopened the Tuckerman's Ravine trail yet? I read that it was closed for a few weeks for trail repair. One of my favorite places. Enjoy!!! Hiking Tucekerman's today to MTW. Should be a great day for it with no clouds. Tomorrow looks kind of MHE..but Thurs/Fri look great. Def lucked out up here this week. Canoed the Saco yesterday under sunny skies and temps in the mid-upper 80's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 I think the NAO has a very tough time getting to neutral over the next two weeks. CPC NAO progs barely get it above 0, and the EC progs never even get it to 0, and have it stay in the negative territory the whole time. It get more or less neutral next week, thanks to the vortex near Greenland, but after that weak ridging takes over near Greenland and the Davis Straits. They'll be farming in Greenland if this keeps up, like they did 600 years ago. This says it all. It's even below the 14 day ensembles members depicting the lowest value of the NAO. That's quite impressive for that to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 You'll get a shot of rain. You might not jackpot, but I think a decent drink of water is at hand. It's hard to forecast widespread rain here in the summer. Things are very different, unlike the Fall-Spring period. Much of the rain is convective and due to areas of convergence, unlike the winter which can feature large scale synoptic lift and overrunning. So when models pinpoint areas of heavy rain, sometimes they end up 50-100 miles from where they were progged..even 24 hours out. I guess this week was a prime example of that. P/C is for .75-1.00 tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Have they reopened the Tuckerman's Ravine trail yet? I read that it was closed for a few weeks for trail repair. One of my favorite places. Enjoy!!! They were detouring people around the headwall. They were repairing a portion of the trail that had become overgrown and was causing people to come closer to the edge causing more injuries/deaths than otherwise would occur. It's sensitive vegetation so thy are taking great care in preserving it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 9, 2011 Author Share Posted August 9, 2011 Ryan and Scooter will not like tonight driving, flooded urban streets full of dirty diapers, hypodermic needles and filth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Ryan and Scooter will not like tonight driving, flooded urban streets full of dirty diapers, hypodermic needles and filth. I pretty much washed the needles out with yesterday's rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 9, 2011 Author Share Posted August 9, 2011 I pretty much washed the needles out with yesterday's rain. How much? This looks to be a CNE special, tomorrow afternoon could be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 How much? This looks to be a CNE special, tomorrow afternoon could be interesting. Yeah I think it's further north this time around. Probably something where we get an arc of precip with sct heavier elements in it, but overall not a ton of rain basin wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 9, 2011 Author Share Posted August 9, 2011 Yeah I think it's further north this time around. Probably something where we get an arc of precip with sct heavier elements in it, but overall not a ton of rain basin wide. Kevin should see some great waterfalls coming out in the notches, spectacular flash floods up there in summer squalls. A very cool sight to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Kevin should see some great waterfalls coming out in the notches, spectacular flash floods up there in summer squalls. A very cool sight to see. They could get soaked up there. This isn't really a setup to give SNE heavy rain..especially eastern areas, but some heavier convective elements could be around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 They could get soaked up there. This isn't really a setup to give SNE heavy rain..especially eastern areas, but some heavier convective elements could be around. It's possible a second max could happen near a weak secondary, like the NAM shows. We'll have to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 9, 2011 Author Share Posted August 9, 2011 It's possible a second max could happen near a weak secondary, like the NAM shows. We'll have to see. Amazing how we have to use nowcast so much in the summer, models just can not be that exact for all the reasons you stated before. I did not get a drop of rain yesterday while you watched as the freeways and underpasses filled up with debris Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Very true Pete ORH +2.6 BDL +2.8 BDR +3.8 After historic heat in July, August has been very warm and well above normal. Lol. Whatever, presently eating lunch lakeside with the temp at 72. Nice breeze makes it feel even cooler. Cloud deck lowering and thickening with rain getting set to move in. No heat through mid month. The highlands now taking on that late summer look. It won't be long now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Up to 75.7/68. Cloudy. I'm going to do my rain dance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Looks like some stuff developing overhead in Wrentham here. Very dark clouds with a few fat rain drops falling. Don't see any boundaries on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Lol. Whatever, presently eating lunch lakeside with the temp at 72. Nice breeze makes it feel even cooler. Cloud deck lowering and thickening with rain getting set to move in. No heat through mid month. The highlands now taking on that late summer look. It won't be long now. What exactly is the "late summer look?" You mean the shorter days? That's really the only discernible difference between early July and early August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 What exactly is the "late summer look?" You mean the shorter days? That's really the only discernible difference between early July and early August. No, it's the early turning of the leaves. I was noticing it this afternoon on the way back to the dump. Green's beginning to fade into yellow's. This is the time of year you get the first vestiges of it in GC. 74.6/67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Couple discrete cells popped on BOX in this area and back on the CT/MA border on I-395. Looks like BOX also turned off clear air mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Couple discrete cells popped on BOX in this area and back on the CT/MA border on I-395. Looks like BOX also turned off clear air mode. Still nothing out this way, Bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Still nothing out this way, Bob. Looks like some cells popped east of you over by Quabbin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Nice stuff S of Philly. Time-sensitive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 Looks like some cells popped east of you over by Quabbin. Looks that way, though BOX's AFD at 12:30 references qpf not reaching the ground. Those returns look heavy though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 When does Kevin usually return to cold hype? September 1st? I think September 1st through April 1st was the cold hype season, but not sure of exact dates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 When does Kevin usually return to cold hype? September 1st? I think September 1st through April 1st was the cold hype season, but not sure of exact dates. I think I remember him saying the other day that he said he wears shorts well into October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 When does Kevin usually return to cold hype? September 1st? I think September 1st through April 1st was the cold hype season, but not sure of exact dates. Yeah, i think that's the switch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 What exactly is the "late summer look?" You mean the shorter days? That's really the only discernible difference between early July and early August. Wrong. Obviously you don't live in the highlands or spend much time observing nature.The leaves are leathery, the meadows are sporting mature late season grass, the early migrators are already on the move, spring fawns have lost there spots. I could go on. Perhaps where you. Live it's tough to see things, here, thankfully, nature is part of everyday life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 No, it's the early turning of the leaves. I was noticing it this afternoon on the way back to the dump. Green's beginning to fade into yellow's. This is the time of year you get the first vestiges of it in GC. 74.6/67 Glad you said it. I noticed a few of the maples on the property have some swatches of color and as you say the early summer green is fading into the late season golden green. Love when people from outside the highlands tell us what we are experiencing.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 9, 2011 Share Posted August 9, 2011 12z euro is pretty active looking for august. fast flow and persistent eastern trough through the first 7 days of the run. 2 good rain makers in there (today/tonight and again sun/mon). almost looks fall/winter-ish with numerous sw riding SE/E/NE in the flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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