CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 SE CT and Westerly, RI are still damp from the March 2010 floods. No drought concerns there. LOL. It is good to have good moisture going into the summer. Not that I'm a farmer or anything, but it's nice to give plants a natural drink or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 3, 2011 Author Share Posted May 3, 2011 Good call by Kevin on the torch call here. Hit 75F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Good call by Kevin on the torch call here. Hit 75F 58F. only 10 more days left of my life in Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 3, 2011 Author Share Posted May 3, 2011 58F. only 10 more days left of my life in Maine Good experience? Would you ever live up there? I don't know anyone who went to a prep school... Maybe a few flakes Thurs morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Good experience? Would you ever live up there? I don't know anyone who went to a prep school... Maybe a few flakes Thurs morning? Probably a culture shock for a kid from Southie..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Good call by Kevin on the torch call here. Hit 75F This time of year with sun always take temps higher than guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 LOL. It is good to have good moisture going into the summer. Not that I'm a farmer or anything, but it's nice to give plants a natural drink or two. Yes, nothing beats a good rain, can never quite replicate it with the garden hose. I'm just a bit concerned because we've seen the trends lately towards extremely wet summers; 2009 did an absolute number on my garden with tomato blight and slugs from the dampness, and 2008 wasn't exactly fun (wettest summer ever at BDL) either battling the heavy rain/hailstorms that seemed to arrive every few days with that cold trough anchored over the Upper Midwest in a -NAO blocking pattern. 2010 was the first year since 2002 that NYC missed the 50" mark for precipitation, and Central Park has only averaged mid 40s historically, so this is a big change. We don't even know drought...NYC saw only 34.3" precipitation in 1963, 33" in 1964, and 26.1" in 1965. Imagine how dry it was by Summer 1965, wow! Interestingly, that coincided with another strong Niña and an historic severe weather outbreak (Palm Sunday)...but even a Niña doesn't dry us out anymore as 2008 proved. This could be one of the biggest long-term changes in our climate. Good call by Kevin on the torch call here. Hit 75F You guys seem to be hitting a lot of these warm temperatures lately in Massachusetts...only got to 70F here and was a major struggle. Quickly dropped to 65F once the clouds rolled back in. I can't believe some folks near CEF were pushing 80F today, toasty, toasty in New England! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 +5 inches...but you need good rain this time of year during leaf out or the surplus will get sucked right out of the soil...even if reservoirs remain fine. Yeah the long term numbers are fine. Once everything starts growing fast the top layers need regular replenishment or it turns to dust. Hopefully it won't be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 3, 2011 Author Share Posted May 3, 2011 This time of year with sun always take temps higher than guidance Sun was still not out big time but the airmass really warmed with what Sun made it through. Kinda humid, too. Milky skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 This time of year with sun my weenie is always longer than guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Yes, nothing beats a good rain, can never quite replicate it with the garden hose. I'm just a bit concerned because we've seen the trends lately towards extremely wet summers; 2009 did an absolute number on my garden with tomato blight and slugs from the dampness, and 2008 wasn't exactly fun (wettest summer ever at BDL) either battling the heavy rain/hailstorms that seemed to arrive every few days with that cold trough anchored over the Upper Midwest in a -NAO blocking pattern. 2010 was the first year since 2002 that NYC missed the 50" mark for precipitation, and Central Park has only averaged mid 40s historically, so this is a big change. We don't even know drought...NYC saw only 34.3" precipitation in 1963, 33" in 1964, and 26.1" in 1965. Imagine how dry it was by Summer 1965, wow! Interestingly, that coincided with another strong Niña and an historic severe weather outbreak (Palm Sunday)...but even a Niña doesn't dry us out anymore as 2008 proved. This could be one of the biggest long-term changes in our climate. You guys seem to be hitting a lot of these warm temperatures lately in Massachusetts...only got to 70F here and was a major struggle. Quickly dropped to 65F once the clouds rolled back in. I can't believe some folks near CEF were pushing 80F today, toasty, toasty in New England! Some of that might be related to a -NAO and associated troughing in the Great Lakes, despite Nina. However last year was pretty dry around this area thanks to a massive se ridge, as we missed many of the tstms that areas out west and down towards NYC got. Cold fronts completely died when they approached the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Well that doesn't bode well for Kevin. Since MOS is statistical...evidently he's used to be short changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 BTW for Will and Phil, we're getting a Cornell intern coming in this summer. She's going to be working on a few projects on the aviation side, so should be a good experience for her hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 81 here at the office and 79 at CEF as of 3pm. MRG's callin for 50's the rest of the week. Spring in New England. As are the pro's. Tonight: A chance of showers before 10pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10pm and midnight, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight. Patchy fog between 11pm and 1am, then Patchy fog after 3am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 50. South wind between 3 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog before 8am, then Patchy fog between 9am and 1pm. Otherwise, cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 48 by noon. West wind between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Wednesday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. West wind between 7 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. Northwest wind between 10 and 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday Night: Isolated showers before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. West wind between 9 and 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 57. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 BTW for Will and Phil, we're getting a Cornell intern coming in this summer. She's going to be working on a few projects on the aviation side, so should be a good experience for her hopefully. She sounds Hot!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Some of that might be related to a -NAO and associated troughing in the Great Lakes, despite Nina. However last year was pretty dry around this area thanks to a massive se ridge, as we missed many of the tstms that areas out west and down towards NYC got. Cold fronts completely died when they approached the coastline. Yes this is undoubtedly true...a -NAO in summertime tends to make the north wetter/cooler while the South bakes. Summer 2008 was the beginning of the blocking pattern which lasted until January 2011 with little abatement. It's interesting to see that despite a -NAO, Summer 2010 was still MUCH warmer than normal in the Northeast and Upper Midwest, with only pockets of cold air reaching the Northern Plains from time to time, mostly in June. However, I was away in Montana for the one great gardening summer we've had in years, and it was a brutally rainy summer there in the Northern Rockies with nearly 4" rainfall in the June 16th storm that cut across eastern MT, and then a wet/stormy July to boot. Last year was a dry summer here, although nothing on par with years from the last -AMO/-PDO phase, which I believe are large factors. There were some beastly droughts in the 1960s.....only 7.08" fell here in Summer 1964 with just 0.24" rainfall in August. The next year, Summer 1965, had only 5.33". This was followed by Summer 1966 with 4.31", the driest of the period. Trenton had only 2.66" rainfall that entire summer, talk about extreme drought conditions for our standards. 1957 was also a huge drought summer despite the development of an El Niño. I personally think a lot of this has to do with the AMO, but we'll see how precipitation in the Northeast reacts as the AMO starts to decline out towards 2015. Without a doubt, however, global warming will be affecting precipitation patterns; most models show the Northeast becoming wetter and the West drier as the climate warms, and that is indeed what has happened since the 1960s. That doesn't mean it's all related to anthropogenic factors, given that we have seen a big +PDO and lots of stronger Niños contributing to the wettest years like 1983 and 2009, but I wouldn't want to bet on us getting another super dry period like the 1960s or parts of the 1930s given the climate we have today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 3, 2011 Author Share Posted May 3, 2011 As are the pro's. Tonight: A chance of showers before 10pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10pm and midnight, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight. Patchy fog between 11pm and 1am, then Patchy fog after 3am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 50. South wind between 3 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog before 8am, then Patchy fog between 9am and 1pm. Otherwise, cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 48 by noon. West wind between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Wednesday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. West wind between 7 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. Northwest wind between 10 and 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday Night: Isolated showers before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. West wind between 9 and 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 57. Any idea what the high was at your home and workplace today? It got quite a bit warmer than what BOX had... Blizz ftw here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 3, 2011 Author Share Posted May 3, 2011 BOX has Thursday pretty chilly: FOR NOW...HAVE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY FOR MOST AREAS THU NIGHT...WITH CLOUDS SLOWLY DISSIPATING OVERNIGHT. TEMPS WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE. DAYTIME HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL RUN 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Friday and Saturday look springtastic, sunny, mid 60s to near 70. Noticed today that the soil is starting to dry out, first 3 or 4 inches was pretty dry while below that was still holding the moisture, low dews over the weekend and breezy conditions plus leafout of all vegetation sucking it dry. Hoping for a nice .5 of liquid gold later tonight into tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Any idea what the high was at your home and workplace today? It got quite a bit warmer than what BOX had... Blizz ftw here It remained in the 60's under mostly cloudy skies with a strong wind kicking up late in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 She sounds Hot!!! LOL, didn't mean it like that, but just a shot out to those two since they went there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 SE CT and Westerly, RI are still damp from the March 2010 floods. No drought concerns there. Actually dry from the snowless torch winter exactly like some who get paid to predict weather thought, Awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 4, 2011 Author Share Posted May 4, 2011 dropping nicely 55.9F/52 Got to 75F today. yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 LOL, didn't mean it like that, but just a shot out to those two since they went there. I know, I was just being an azz. My Dad went to Cornell a well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 dropping nicely 55.9F/52 Got to 75F today. yuck LOL just horrible. Save that yuck when the dewpoint is 75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Perhaps the late half of next week gets a bit more interesting with a developing/deepening upper-level trough working towards the east...perhaps a few days of strong SW flow with increasing dewpoints and above-average temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 4, 2011 Author Share Posted May 4, 2011 Temp actually rose a bit overnight 57.1F/56F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 wow, it's very sticky...hoping the steady rain hold off until after 330pm!!! nothing like manual labor in unbreathable rain gear in this muggy, wet weather... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 wow, it's very sticky...hoping the steady rain hold off until after 330pm!!! nothing like manual labor in unbreathable rain gear in this muggy, wet weather... The rain is here. Rain gear is in the truck. Looking forward to a day working out in the elements as well. On the plus side, it will keep the black flies away and this beats the torch that some have been crying wolf about.lol Torch, how silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Where's my rain? Nothing but clouds at home. Anyone else take note of the clouds yesterday. I was mesmerized just watching them yesterday. Very eerie looking. They reminded me of mammantus clouds as they rolled through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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