on_wx Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Wow, la nada on the GFS through 16 days. How depressing. When I thought of how this Nina might backfire, I was thinking of a dominant GOA low/raging Pacific jet and general torch from coast to coast. Didn't even consider that the Atlantic would completely overwhelm any -ENSO benefits and basically re-establish the pattern we had last winter. WHAT!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Wow, la nada on the GFS through 16 days. How depressing. When I thought of how this Nina might backfire, I was thinking of a dominant GOA low/raging Pacific jet and general torch from coast to coast. Didn't even consider that the Atlantic would completely overwhelm any -ENSO benefits and basically re-establish the pattern we had last winter. Ditto for here. Nothing but dry weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 WHAT!? WEEZA DOOMED!!! I'm going let the LES playout tomorrow, then I'm probably going to take a break from the models, the AFDs, and this board. I got a pile of paper work that I can use this downtime to get done. Then I'll be raring to go for the January 1999 redux we'll see next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 WEEZA DOOMED!!! I'm going let the LES playout tomorrow, then I'm probably going to take a break from the models, the AFDs, and this board. I got a pile of paper work that I can use this downtime to get done. Then I'll be raring to go for the January 1999 redux we'll see next month. What?! Roger Smith is still calling for a major storm around the 21st (see main forum). You're gonna miss it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 What?! Roger Smith is still calling for a major storm around the 21st (see main forum). You're gonna miss it! Yeah, Roger's an interesting guy. A good guy. But I'm still waiting on a couple of his storms from last winter, including an "energy bomb" IIRC. To be honest, I'm not sold on the soundness of his celestial methodology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Officially 0 °F at MSN for the first time this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Badger- I've got -8.4F LSE better think about going lower then the -13F they have for us... We should hit that by 1AM at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Monday, December 13th: Hi: 16F Lo: 7F Overall Sky Conditions: Clear. Max Wind Gust: 21MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 At -1, but it's falling pretty slowly. The RUC seems to be overdoing the cold for this area, as it has us at -5 by now, and forecasts -15 by morning. With the rate the temp is falling I think -6 to -9 seems about right. I guess if we could get winds to go completely calm for long enough we could make a run at -15, but I doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Badger- I've got -8.4F LSE better think about going lower then the -13F they have for us... We should hit that by 1AM at this rate. Wow, I see it's -10 °F at LSE. Sparta takes the cake at -18 °F. The -1 °F at MSN is bad enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Wow, I see it's -10 °F at LSE. Sparta takes the cake at -18 °F. The -1 °F at MSN is bad enough. -20 in Black River Falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Deep snow (very), calm winds and clear skies... I just bumped up to -9F... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Deep snow (very), calm winds and clear skies... I just bumped up to -9F... I'm catching up, down to -4 °F at MSN. I put a bowl of water outside, and within 20 minutes a solid layer of ice formed on top of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 -6 °F now, and nothing to stop more radiational cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Down too 11 here in Louisville. Very cold night, should get into the single digits before the night is over. I wish this could be record cold, but oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Sparta coming in at a mind-numbing -24 °F, La Crosse at -12 °F, and Madison is at -7 °F. A very cold night even by Wisconsin standards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 -20 in Black River Falls. Make that -26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I remember a huge temperature gradient around the Madison Area Last Year. Last year, I remember traveling from Rockford to Viola,Wi, I was in Madison, I took the back way to Cross Plans,Wi via West on Mineral Point Road into the country. It was 4 degrees on the beltline, when I got to Cross Plains, it got down to -17, pretty ridiculous. I'm actually in La Crosse tonight, at a relative's, I have a job interview pretty soon here. Anyways, yeah definately, look at places like Sparta & Lone Rock, they always seem to be the cold spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishforsnow Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 It was 7 above yesterday, but now it has rebounded to 14. The main roads were white ice yesterday. I utilized the 4x4 to get up the steep hills here yesterday. The roads will melt down since the state dumped tons of salt on them. They will be wet by the end of today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 -9 °F in Madison now, coldest I've ever been in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Just went for a very brief walk. The air is filled with ice crystals, and the frost is unreal. There are definitely some snowflakes floating around with the ice crystals too, which means the snow growth zone is at the surface currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 -9 °F in Madison now, coldest I've ever been in... It's good for you. A balmy 6 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Coldest morning of the season so far, -5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 36F in Miami and -15.2F here in my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Airport is showing -17F which is the coldest temp we saw all last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Yesterday DTW missed the record cold high for the day yesterday by 1F, and the high was 16F set at midnight. The afternoon temp peaked at 13F with continued 35-mph winds. Roads still a mess from the storm, and even frosty is chilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Interesting... Looks like more of the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 As I had thought last night, overcast conditions put a reign on temps here overnight. But we cleared out this morning around 6AM and made a good late run to get down to 4º for the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 A few days ago our forecast had near -10F both Monday and Tuesday mornings, but it never came close. We bottomed out at around -2F each morning. It probably didn't help that we barely have a snowcover. The ground is white, but even short-cut grass is sticking out of the snow. This morning we also had clouds move in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Hawk- Its the snowcover. GFS saw it. I noticed on varying runs of the GFS that it would show us warmer (last night/tonite), but then it was also the same run that it was showing rain vs snow. I guess that model is smarter then i thought We hit -17F at the airport, GFS was showing -18F... tonite another run to the - teens. Lakeshore near MKE hit a numbing 9F ... Lake Mich FTW... Sparta was -27F, which is a record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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