Jump to content

brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,235

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    bull shit. when things look good, I say they look good. when they look shitty, i say they look shitty. most of this winter has looked shitty. what am i going to do, post the TPV sitting over AK in December for two weeks that clown would say you’re getting a blizzard no matter the pattern. hell, im not even guaranteeing anything, just trying to show people that the pattern is largely favorable rather than bitching and moaning about 300hr OP runs because the TPV shifted 50 miles southwest
  2. brooklynwx99
    i will take this general longwave setup 10/10 times and see what happens
  3. brooklynwx99
    yup, get something to roll underneath, pop a quick +PNA and it's big dog time
  4. brooklynwx99
    i'm not even really sure why we're talking about the MJO and a lack of Arctic air when the Plains are going to experience a legit Arctic outbreak that'll spill over here, and we're going to get a -NAO that displaces the TPV into SE Canada on all ensembles in the medium range. we're going to have chances coming up all the way to the coast, and perhaps a larger one when the block decays
  5. brooklynwx99
    the block decaying and the TPV moving towards the 50/50 region are the major factors
  6. brooklynwx99
    500mb looks good on the GEFS so I'm fine with it but yeah, that look on the GEPS would give us the 17th as well as a chance for a big dog when the block decays. that evolution fits the bill
  7. brooklynwx99
    @forkyfork lol
  8. brooklynwx99
    look at this evolution on the GEPS. classic stuff here
  9. brooklynwx99
    the evolution on the GEPS is straight up classic
  10. brooklynwx99
    GEFS and GEPS are different, but are both very nice looks for snowfall to the coast. great patterns here, and both would offer higher end potential
  11. brooklynwx99
    missing the forest for the trees
  12. brooklynwx99
    if you can look at these and be anything but at least a little excited, not sure what to say
  13. brooklynwx99
    overall, though, I do think it's a conducive pattern. strong AK ridging, Arctic airmass, decaying west based -NAO, and TPV in SE Canada. it has a lot going for it, definitely higher end potential
  14. brooklynwx99
    lord knows why there's a SE ridge trying to rear its head still
  15. brooklynwx99
    the TPV is in southeast Canada and is pinned under a block. would be really tough to get a cutter in this pattern. nothing is impossible, but this pattern favors sliders over cutters for sure
  16. brooklynwx99
    using the 10th as a cutter to say that the pattern isn't great is disingenuous. that's been a cutter for like two weeks. the 13th does not look good at this latitude and hasn't for a while. the risk for anything larger is from the 15th to the 23rd or so, and the pattern still looks good for something using ensemble snow means is not the best way to go about analyzing if a pattern is favorable or not
  17. brooklynwx99
    no, they absolutely are not
  18. brooklynwx99
    it's not certain that it won't cut... cutting during that timeframe around the 17th just isn't the favored outcome. suppression seems more likely than a cutter given that pattern
  19. brooklynwx99
    they all disagree
  20. brooklynwx99
    EPS disagrees
  21. brooklynwx99
    good job, GEFS
  22. brooklynwx99
    roads covering in Morristown, moderate snow
  23. brooklynwx99
    AND we should have a reload as the Aleutian Low gets going in February
  24. brooklynwx99
    i will take a HECS over nickels and dimes every day of the week lmao
  25. brooklynwx99
    yeah, it’s once the block decays. Arctic airmass in place, decaying WB -NAO, AK ridge, TPV moving towards the 50/50 region, and PNA building. all the pieces are there
×
×
  • Create New...