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poolz1

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Everything posted by poolz1

  1. poolz1
    Down to 29 already with a few flurries/sn showers on the way it looks. Did a good fireplace and chimney cleaning today in preparation.
  2. poolz1
    I did notice some agreement between the GEFS and EPS on southern stream energy coming out of the SW late in their runs. A small detail late in the run that probably isn't worth mentioning but hoping the idea gains some traction in the coming days. Lets get the real life version of an epic overrunning event.
  3. poolz1
    Dec 12-15th seems like a good time for a major storm when this relaxes a bit!
  4. poolz1
    EPS continues the idea of bringing blocking back in over GL after D10. Massive west coast ridge with the bridge to GL intensifying through the end of the run. Pretty impressive look.
  5. poolz1
    Maybe its just the GEFS (06z) playing follow the leader with the op? But it does have the two wave idea which could be a sneaky way to maximize the potential.
  6. poolz1
    Im hopeful man. Anomalous cold is a must the first week of Dec and that seems likely. A little bit of a cold/dry look there but its a smoothed mean in the LR. IIRC 13-14 was the year of threats popping in the medium range?
  7. poolz1
    A pretty relentless cross polar flow in the LR. The PAC pattern seems stable at the end of all ens runs.
  8. poolz1
    Basically white rain here at the homestead. 36/33
  9. poolz1
    Light snow/ flurries here at the office in FDK (Adamstown area). Hoping this incoming band has some solid light/mod snow with it. Great to see some flakes! Its like a good drug... the more you have the more you want!
  10. poolz1
    BWI: 16.5 DCA: 10 IAD: 20.5 RIC: 4.5 Tiebreaker: SBY: 9.0
  11. poolz1
    Another subfreezing morning low. 5th in a row and two of those mornings hit 29. Definitely an abrupt end to the growing season. The garden is officially toast.
  12. poolz1
    31 for the low with heavy frost this morning. Kicked the heat on for the first time yesterday with a high of only 56.
  13. poolz1
    1.81" with that storm last night. Several large limbs down on the road when I left for work this morning.
  14. poolz1
    Torrential rains at the homestead right now. One final show...
  15. poolz1
    4.09" for the event. Models did pretty good with precip forecasts imby. Always hoping for something more impressive but this was at least something to track and some interesting weather. Been a pretty boring summer in the weather department.
  16. poolz1
    The euro signaling about 24hrs of pre storm rains from thursday morning to Friday morning. Will be interesting to see how this part of the event plays out. Should be efficient rainers with PWATs already well over 2".
  17. poolz1
    3.63" since 330 Monday morning. Looks like some minor flooding predicted on the Potomac. Its been a few years since we have had a good flush.
  18. poolz1
    12/11: .5" 1/6: 1.5" 1/15-16: 3.25 1/19: 3.25" 2/13: 3" 2/17: 2.25" Season Total: 13.75"
  19. poolz1
    1.5" on the board. Smaller flake size now but that band was sweet. Need more of that! Mod snow 32/29
  20. poolz1
    Same here. Impressive rates..
  21. poolz1
    Highs Fri upper 30s low 40s across the region with a dry airmass in place 8-12hrs before snow moves in. It's not a total crap airmass to work with. Just need to juice it up!
  22. poolz1
    EPS with a west track/miller B look for the 23rd timeframe. Not the best look for now but a big jump south from 00z.
  23. poolz1
    12/11: .5" 1/6: 1.5" 1/15-16: 3.25 1/19: 3.25" 2/13: 3" Season Total: 11.5"
  24. poolz1
    The lighter returns behind that band are a steady mod/hvy snow. Just under 2" 32.1/31
  25. poolz1
    Impressive to see the dynamics play out. Temp crash started at 4am and the flip to snow was an hour later. Big pillows falling now. 32.3/30
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