WxWatcher007

Yeah that still doesn’t work for most of CT. We toss. Euro leading the way off the cliff for parched and desperate weenies?

Has it been wet down there? Bone dry here. My new front lawn is dead lol

The sunsets over my dead front lawn have been nice.

This has been a horrifically boring summer, but it is what it is.

Me too. How is Boston doing heat better than RIC??? That’s going to do me in.

Honesty, despite the signal for things to pick up, I’m in show me mode. There have been enough false starts this season.

98L would have easily become tropical with just 12 hours more over water, but alas, it’s inland and looking pretty good.

Low of 52.4 here. First night at the new house. Coolest low since June.

With this morning’s convective burst and organization, no doubt it would have developed with more time. Waited too long to get its act together, a hallmark of the 2022 season thus far.

GFS does try to get this to at least a TD before land, but the low needs some more convective organization.

Now would be a great time for a classic euro double down run. A tight 980mb low slingshotting into GON.

Hopefully we can get a little more organization for rainfall purposes.

We knowingly endorse this (likely) fraudulent run of the GFS.

No long post because I'm moving lol but it's interesting how basically the two areas with lowest odds of development last Sunday are now the only game in town after 97L got smothered by tropical Atlantic stability. Still think whatever pops along the East Coast in a few days is non-tropical. Still low odds of development in the Gulf but at least there's a low. I know it looks rough out there on the guidance but the basin is gradually getting better. Not sure when we're going to start seeing a response on the guidance, especially with a favorable CCKW and MJO coming.

Oh how we pray for the 06z GFS. The monotony has been awful.

Nothing really to write home about yet. Hope you’re able to get some meaningful rain.

I was watching it last week Doesn't look tropical verbatim on the guidance. The low would need to develop further south IMO. We actually need the rain up here so I’d take a 06z GFS—tropical or not—in a heartbeat.

Summer at its finest.

Despite very low odds currently, the Gulf low has been designated Invest 98L.

Saw a man on a lawnmower the other day and all he was doing was kicking up a pile of dust.

Oof. Might go 0/3. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Aug 12 2022 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. 1. Northern Gulf of Mexico: A surface trough of low pressure is developing over the north-central Gulf of Mexico just offshore of southeastern Louisiana. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur during the next couple of days as it drifts west-southwestward over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible along portions of the Texas coast through the weekend. For more information about the potential for heavy rainfall, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service office and the Weather Prediction Center. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. For more information on the system, see products issued by the National Weather Service at weather.gov and wpc.ncep.noaa.gov Forecaster Roberts

Nice little nighttime tower up here for a storm that just missed.

This. I’m obviously a tropical weenie. I’ve spent my entire life fascinated with the complexity and power of tropical cyclones. I chase now, which often brings me to places where people will be profoundly impacted, even in non-major events. I try to keep my opinions focused on the facts and interpret things objectively. I know not everyone can or wants to do that, but it’s a better learning experience that way IMO.