WxWatcher007

Looks like the slight risk was warranted up there. Report of 1.5” and 2” hail in northern NH along with multiple wind reports.

Those are some nasty cells near the border. Looks like at least one has rotation.

Saw a report of a 55mph gust just SE of Burlington. edit: severe hail too near the border

A friend just saw a tornado in Ohio and there’s a tornado warning north of Montreal. Meanwhile, big heat fail and totally capped here.

DCA: can’t get snow in January, can’t get big heat in July.

Water and lightning: two very serious forces I have no interest in testing too much. And earthquakes. The west can have that lol.

3k NAM is pretty robust up in NNE this evening.

Highest tor probabilities in the entire nation are in Maine today

Big heat potential probably ruined today while also wasting an EML overhead.

Happy birthday!

Ah if only. Hope all is well bud.

They’ve had some technical issues. Saw a tweet from one of the WFOs today.

Today’s temp or Christmas temp?

Tornado watch for parts of the mid-Atlantic. Boring here.

Love these kind of days. The sneaky setups often produce. I think the IR will look great when there’s more instability this afternoon in PA.

Nice line trying to bow west of Cumberland.

Maybe I’m invested in this because it’s faux tropical in appearance lol, but here’s HM.

Watch coming for N MD Mesoscale Discussion 0838 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0939 AM CDT Fri May 20 2022 Areas affected...much of central Pennsylvania into far northern Maryland Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 201439Z - 201615Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The severe threat is increasing across portions of central PA into MD. Damaging gusts and perhaps a few tornadoes may accompany the strongest, longer lived storms. A WW issuance will be needed within the next couple of hours. DISCUSSION...A remnant mid-level MCV (evident via water vapor imagery and 700-500 mb objective analysis fields) is currently located just west of the OH/PA border and continues to track eastward towards central PA, and is expected to support more robust convective initiation in the next few hours. Immediately ahead of the MCV center lies a highly sheared low-level environment, with recent PBZ VAD data showing relatively long, curved low-level hodographs and over 300 m2/s2 of associated 0-1km SRH. At the moment, buoyancy remains scant across portions of western into central PA. However, modest breaks in the clouds are contributing to modest surface heating, with mid 60s F surface temperatures already noted across central PA, with low 70s F along the PA/MD border. With surface dewpoints around 60F across several locales, RAP forecast soundings suggest temperatures need to warm into the lower 70s for appreciable buoyancy to develop given the presence of relatively poor (5.5-6.5 C/km) low and mid-level lapse rates. While buoyancy is expected to initially be marginal (i.e. at or below 1000 J/kg MLCAPE), localized deep-layer ascent and strong low-level shear associated with the approaching MCV should support at least a few strong to severe storms developing early this afternoon. Damaging gusts and perhaps a few tornadoes will be the primary concerns, though a brief instance or two of marginally severe hail cannot be completely ruled out with the longer-lived, persistent rotating updrafts. A WW issuance will be needed within the next couple of hours to address the severe threat. ..Squitieri/Hart.. 05/20/2022

Not as robust as 06z but the 12z 3k NAM does get some activity through CT tonight.

It was an absolute beauty yesterday in Missouri. It looked better on IR and radar than virtually all of the early season tropical we usually see in the Atlantic lol.

More on the system in the Midwest.

New England “severe” in a nutshell

Beautiful mesolow over Missouri. Looks like tropical.

Severe season cancel.

If we’re gonna do it, let’s do it big. Big heat (95°+) or bust. None of this 93/62 crap.