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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    12z Euro trended more robust with the wave leaving the African coast today. Pretty strong model consensus that the MDR is ripe for a TC next week.
  2. WxWatcher007
    This looks awesome. Not tropical but it looks like the low this weekend has trended a little stronger on the Euro. Messy weekend on tap.
  3. WxWatcher007
    I’m still deeply skeptical of anything coming out of the western Caribbean. GFS and its ensembles are on an island right now—doesn’t mean it can’t score a coup but it just seems TC genesis happy there, which is a known bias.
  4. WxWatcher007
    Summer of bore continues as we spend this mid-June afternoon writing about PG rated tropical fantasies and what could have been in a winter that passed thirteen years ago. What a time to be alive.
  5. WxWatcher007
    It won’t happen but it raises an interesting question for me: what’s the earliest hurricane strike on record in NE?
  6. WxWatcher007
    Quite early. Operational guidance has gotten more aggressive with TC genesis in the MDR but the signal has been there for a while. Not sure about the environment in the western Atlantic in 7-10 days though allowing for something tangible to survive with a TUTT lurking. It’s historically warm across much of the basin. Just outrageous anomalies.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Lemon in the MDR now.
  8. WxWatcher007
    This is a horrifying, yet hilarious, thought.
  9. WxWatcher007
    Here’s a real storm Wild day down south.
  10. WxWatcher007
    Looks like my backyard
  11. WxWatcher007
    I’m intrigued. The overall environment out in the MDR looks good as we enter the last 1/3 of June.
  12. WxWatcher007
    Radar looked horrific until it didn’t.
  13. WxWatcher007
    Weak sauce here. A little surprised I didn’t capture more lightning given how active the cells to the west were. I’m pretty annoyed at how boring it has been, but it is what it is.
  14. WxWatcher007
    On cue, the operational guidance is starting to respond to what should become an increasingly favorable environment in the MDR in the last 1/3 of June. Still a bit early, but my interest has increased a little.
  15. WxWatcher007
    Looks like a little rotation
  16. WxWatcher007
    I have low standards generally when it comes to severe around here. If I can get a few good lightning captures, I’d call that a win. The backed winds piece is interesting to me.
  17. WxWatcher007
    I like seeing the stuff popping to the west but I’m gonna TFizz this one and say I’m bearish on the setup. Would have liked to see more instability before initialization.
  18. WxWatcher007
    Severe watch unlikely per SPC lol
  19. WxWatcher007
    Cute little cell near Poughkeepsie
  20. WxWatcher007
    This has been an absurdly boring stretch.
  21. WxWatcher007
    It was a fantastic day. The problem with work from home is I work so much I don’t leave the house during the day. Got an easy mow in this evening though.
  22. WxWatcher007
    Just started working out the last few months, after being really ill in the months before. I’m a new man. Evenings during the week to decompress after work. Mornings on weekend to start my day.
  23. WxWatcher007
    We rain. We rejoice.
  24. WxWatcher007
    Now that’s really interesting. If it continues on, that may allow for some greater instability to build out in the eastern MDR—something that has been a struggle in recent years.
  25. WxWatcher007
    Complete opposite of May.
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