
hudsonvalley21
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Everything posted by hudsonvalley21
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Upton’s thoughts and an Air Quality Alert was posted this afternoon for some sections of the forecast area. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 824 PM EDT Mon Jun 5 2023 NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/... The band of showers rotating through New London County and the twin forks of Long Island is a little later, and updated the probabilities to keep a chance through 01Z. Also updated the sky cover to expand coverage westward into northeastern New Jersey based on latest satellite. Otherwise forecast is on track, with minor updates for current temperatures. An upper level trough over the northeast supports the deepening of a surface low pressure system over the Canadian Maritimes through tonight and into the middle of the week. A wave of energy embedded in the trough dives south into Western New York tonight and into early Tuesday. Lows tonight will be in the 50s with the warmest locations at the coast and near NYC. Wildfires in Quebec are producing a significant amount of smoke that will make its way over the area tonight and into the day on Tuesday. While much of the smoke should be above the surface, there will likely be noticeably hazy skies on Tuesday with a low chance of some patchy smoke near the surface, as indicated by the HRRR smoke model fields.
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Zilch here. 94 was also the high.
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The smoke from Canada was pretty noticeable by haze and smell today. 82/45
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Freeze Warning URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 354 PM EDT Wed May 17 2023 NYZ067-181000- /O.CON.KOKX.FZ.W.0001.230518T0500Z-230518T1200Z/ Orange- 354 PM EDT Wed May 17 2023 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Near freezing to sub-freezing temperatures expected. * WHERE...Orange County. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 8 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above- ground pipes to protect them from freezing.
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It also seems to sink to the surface at night and stinks out the area. Had to close the windows a few times.
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1.12” so far here for the last 24hrs.
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May 2023 temperature forecast contest
hudsonvalley21 replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA -0.3 NYC -0.4 BOS -0.2 ORD +0.2 ATL -0.2 IAH -0.6 DEN +1.8 PHX +1.8 SEA +0.4 -
32 here
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I have the same memory issues after tossing back a few too many.
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Interesting, over on the east side of the county, no event here.
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1.99” in the Davis for the event total from last night thru midday today.
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Same here a welcome relief for those brush fires. 0.86 in the bucket for today.
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News was just stating that CSX train was the cause
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Nice, I’m at 91 currently, that was my high for yesterday. Low of 59 this morning made the same 40 degree swing. Forecast high for tomorrow is 71 back to reality I guess.
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I was at the Easter egg hunt at the Social Island farm in Goshen Sunday morning. It was 41 degrees with a wind gusting in the 40’s. Amazing too see the black dirt blowing around. The conditions didn’t slow down the kids a bit.
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The wind changed from the west around 2pm along with the dewpts and humidity dropping rapidly put the end of the show for us folks up this way.
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No and the dewpts are dropping. Currently 41 at KSWF. It was at 57 at 1pm when the wind shifted more westerly. edit, the humidity was at 78% now it’s 41%.
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Mesoscale Discussion 0432 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 PM CDT Sat Apr 01 2023 Areas affected...parts of eastern Pennsylvania...New Jersey...Delaware and eastern Maryland and southern New York Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 107... Valid 012037Z - 012230Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 107 continues. SUMMARY...Storms may rejuvenate along the front as it moves into eastern Pennsylvania and southern New York, with additional develop possible ahead of the front from the Delmarva into New Jersey. Damaging winds are likely, with a risk of isolated tornadoes and large hail by early evening. DISCUSSION...Showers and embedded thunderstorms continue to move rapidly east with the cold front, with a relative decrease in severe wind gusts compared to earlier in the day, due in part to limited moisture. East of the ongoing central PA/NY activity, temperatures continue to warm, with a recent trend of a few stations reporting rising dewpoints across southern NJ and far southeast PA. Satellite imagery shows increasing CU over parts of MD, though this activity is currently shallow. Over the next 1-2 hours, additional storms are expected to form from the Delmarva across far eastern PA and into NJ, as lift increases. Some storms may become supercells, and the tornado risk will also increase through early evening coincident with strengthening low-level shear and cooling aloft. Any increase in dewpoints will also increase the probability of a tornado. Activity may become linear as the cold front overtakes any activity ahead of it, with both damaging winds possible across southern NY and New England.