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wkd

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Everything posted by wkd

  1. That seems to be the scientific consencus but how about using your met degree knowledge to let the rest of us non-mets know how the slow warming will affect the likelihood of the already rare KU events. Please contribute with your knowledge of meteorology instead of continually putting up crappy one sentence posts.
  2. What's the difference between a RNA and -PNA Ever since Benchmark started using the term RNA I have been confused.
  3. Catastrophe? I doubt it from my elevation (120'). But tell me the truth from your perspective, as you live relatively nearby. Have average rainfall amounts per event increased in the last one or two decades.
  4. I believe one of the events predicted was increased flooding events due to a warmer atmosphere. Maybe it's just news coverage (which I doubt), but it seems to me that in the U.S as well as numerous other parts of the world, this prediction has certainly proved valid. Even here in NJ, rainfall events of over an inch seem fairly normal. I don't remember that being the case in my past.
  5. Good point. I'll need to check the map and see if it was really based on the ensembles. Maybe it was something put together inhouse by WeatherBell. It's a probability map of total snowfall if that makes a difference.
  6. I remember seeing euro ensemble snowfall projection maps posted by a person in the mid-atlantic forum last year. These were from wxbell. Scrolling through the time stamps, snowfall kept increasing even though no snowfall was forecast for my area (central NJ). I always thought it was because the model was considering climo.
  7. I got about 3/4" of snow. Finally a white landscape.
  8. I've had zero so far. 3" would be welcome.
  9. Can confirm. Heavy snow here in west central NJ.
  10. I just wish it was more active here. Maybe the Mt. Holly mets could post a little more. RAY?
  11. I don't necessarily agree. If there had been colder air, why would we have been toast? There have been numerous times where the primary low tracks to the lakes but there is enough cold air (often due to CAD) that the secondary low offshore produces a lot of snow in our area. By the way, thanks for responding. I wish we had more discussion (including Mets) in our subforum. Ralph seems to be the only one attempting to do any forecast analysis. Thanks Ralph!
  12. Ray (40/70 benchmark) in the NE subforum mentioned this. There have been a lot of lows transferred from the inland primary to the coast, which in a normal winter season would have given our area a lot of snow. The problem so far has been a lack air cold enough to snow. So far I have had zero snow accumulation. Twice there was snow in the air. I hope this doesn't become the new normal in our area.
  13. People should post 'positive snow depth change' maps instead of total snowfall.
  14. In 1961 I was in Germany. My family moved back to Neptune, N.J in 1962.
  15. I really like reading some of your posts about past winter seasons. It brings back a lot of good memories.
  16. Thanks. I've had zero snow on the ground so far. I'm still thinking February-early March produce (just because they usually do). Although there are many exceptions, my experience here is that January is usually cold and dry, which is the worst for a snow lover and one who has to pay the bills for heating oil.
  17. What would you consider a crap snow season where you're located? I would like to know for future reference.
  18. ORH, Do you have past weather stats easily accessible on your computer or is much of it stored in your head? I find your recall of past winters amazing. You and Don Sutherland should write a book on the past 30 or 40 winters. Both of you guys contribute so much valuable information to this board. Thanks.
  19. So much pessimism in so many of the forums, especially since we are only in the second week of January. I've lived in NJ most of my life and my experience has been that February and the first part of March have had the best chances of snow in this area. Those months may not necessarily have the biggest storms but they seem to have more snow events (especially February). Don't give up, no matter what the long range models spit out.
  20. I forget the year (within the last 10 but Will would know), but all of the 'forget this winter' posts were coming fast and furious. I know this is part of the humor in this subforum which makes it so much fun reading, but I also remember you got buried in February which for my area is usually the snowiest. You all have the best winter subforum; keep it up.
  21. Forget it. You know this is an addiction. You'll look.
  22. Has anyone heard from Heise recently? I think he said he was going to chase in Buffalo. I haven't seen him posting anywhere.
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