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beavis1729

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Everything posted by beavis1729

  1. And then some insane cold in January 1982.
  2. Yeah, I’d put 1/2/99 at the top for those same reasons. #2 would be the super bowl storm in 2015…an incredibly wintry scene that kicked off the very cold month of Feb 2015. #3 would be 2/2/11 (GHD 1). #4 is 1/30/19, extreme cold and wind chills around -50.
  3. Nice…and funny that all of those temps are even numbers. Very difficult to have a 60+ min this time of year, with the long nights.
  4. This is Chicago's 2nd warmest temp on record for so late in the season (it was 78 on 11/14/1971). Also, if the cold front can hold off until after midnight, the record high min for November 10th will be shattered...which is amazing with a 150+ year POR. Current record is 52 set in 1949. Today's min (so far) has been 62.
  5. ^ Very impressive airmass. Mason City IA dropped to 15, tying the coldest on record so early in the season (it was 15 on this date in 1972). Records go back to 1893. Only hit 30 here, as it was too windy and cloudy for much of the overnight.
  6. Yeah…even though we’ve certainly had colder temps (1/31/2019 as a recent example), I’d have to say the morning of 1/6/2014 was the most “arctic tundra” feeling I’ve ever experienced here. About 15” of snow on the ground, cloudy skies, gusty winds and blowing snow, and temps around -17. An incredible airmass, as you don’t often get temps that low here without high pressure and clear skies.
  7. 38 here, pretty chilly for September in these parts.
  8. When NHC says “max sustained winds of 105 mph”, that could be based on extrapolation or other estimates…as there may not be reliable surface obs in the exact/tiny spot where the max sustained winds are occurring. Usually, the max sustained wind values are very localized in a hurricane. Most areas “near” the eye wall (and even this covers a small geographic area) are probably 70-90 mph. The max of 105 mph could be a very tiny surface area on the ground (and therefore likely missed by obs)…but could still technically be correct because of the word “max”…even as it’s actually not experienced by a lot of people. The exact words are very important here. I agree there could probably be more accurate and meaningful ways of communicating the areas of higher sustained winds for a hurricane…but people are drawn to the “max” because it’s sexier. Just my two cents.
  9. Go for it. As with every thread, people can participate (or not) at their discretion.
  10. The heat out west over the past week has been remarkable. One example - before this year, Salt Lake City's September record high was 100F. They broke it on 9/1 (102F), then broke it again on 9/3 (103F), then again on 9/5 (104F), then again on 9/6 (105F), then again on 9/7 (107F).
  11. While I acknowledge the explanation about how the daily temperature curve differs in Phoenix vs. Chicago (which is interesting and makes sense), the high overnight temps in the heat island of Phoenix metro have a huge impact on those who are more vulnerable. The body doesn't have a chance to recover when there is a prolonged stretch of very warm nights; it's not just the hot afternoons that are dangerous for humans. In Chicago's 1995 heat wave, I believe studies showed that many of the 700+ deaths occurred because there was no relief at night.
  12. What's amazing (bad) is that every single min temp of 93+ in their historical record has occurred since 2003. And, in the entire 75-year period up through 1969, there were only two min temps of 90+ (one day with 90, one day with 91).
  13. TX/OK high temps today: Wichita Falls 115 Lawton 114 Denton 111 Abilene 110 OKC 110 (only their 12th 110+ day on record; first since 2012) DFW 109 San Angelo 108
  14. Looks like the low is still 86, so far. if it holds, it will tie DFW's highest daily min in recorded history, going back to 1898. 86 on 7/27/2018 86 on 8/16/2011 86 on 8/4/2011 86 on 8/3/2011 86 on 7/26/2011
  15. 108 in Hobart OK right now. They should hit 110-115 Monday and Tuesday. If OKC reaches 110 over the next couple of days, it will be their hottest temp since 8/3/2012 (113).
  16. Definitely...as record highs in OKC (as an example) are 108-110 for July 18-20. NWS Tulsa: Ridge aloft quickly strengthens across the region by Monday and likely maintains the dominate influence through much of next week. Deterministic guidance raw sfc temps generates extreme heat values next week, and while errors are likely large at this time range, the more reasonable bias corrected blend still produces high confidence for high temps in the 100 to 110 range for several days across the forecast area. No meaningful rainfall is expected through the forecast period and drought conditions will continue to intensify.
  17. Morning lows too warm for best climo - lake influence and UHI.
  18. 12z GFS shows high temps of 105-115 in Oklahoma for a week straight. Bring back the 1930s.
  19. A bit toasty in TX today. Cotulla is 109/63/113 at 3 pm local time...and only under a Heat Advisory. And far south TX isn't even under an advisory - Brownsville is 96/75/108. I'm guessing their advisory criteria is 110+. Just run of the mill stuff.
  20. Per the 4pm daily climate report, looks like an intra-hour high of 106. Just missed the record of 107 from 1956.
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