jm1220

Forky and others said the Jan pattern might just be cold and dry. Big blocking NAO patterns often aren’t good for us, our opportunity is when the blocking breaks down. If there’s a huge block or confluence north of us, any storm will just run into a wall. The fast pattern also causes too much interference with shortwaves and prevents amplification.

Awesome, hopefully early Spring.

10-11 was the best winter for snow depth in my life, and I lived on the south shore at the time. It was absolutely epic just a few miles inland pretty much where they avoided warm air intrusions better. 1/26-27/11 was one of my all time favorites with epic snow rates overnight and thundersleet to kick it off.

It’s a Nina year, it’s only a matter of time before things turn around to very snowy for NNE.

No access to our OT forum which is a complete cesspool so it’s for the best.

Patchy down here in places with full sun, on the south shore where full sun there’s little left. It’s nice to have the snow cover for the days we have and it definitely helped temps get down to the single digits overnight.

Can’t say that definitively because maybe we can squeeze a half decent event in like 2/28/23 which was 4-6” for much of the area but not looking good. We sunk all the way down to a Richmond/Tidewater VA snow climate without larger KU events.

That was a nice storm. I was in HS at the time and remember driving sleet in Long Beach that changed to heavy snow. I think Dix Hills had 14”. 03-04 was a great winter, frigid cold and 40”+ snow.

This awesome winter has 8” snow for me so far and less than 6” in Central Park. The cold is noteworthy but only because the last two winters were so warm. I’d give it a C-/D+ so far. If we torch in Feb it becomes D-/F.

How awesome for them.

Going into Feb gradient patterns are concerning. Might be great for Boston but cold rain/sleet here. It’s also still a Nina and Feb Nina’s try to pump the SE ridge. To our south is naturally starting to warm up and that will have more of an influence. We’d really need a strong high or confluence to keep us on the cold side of any gradient.

They had 5" in the last storm where we had 3-4".

They had 12". I remember it as a storm that trended way west at the last minute. 48 hours out it was supposed to clip Cape Cod. It occluded south of us so it brought in a huge dry slot and some warmer air. https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2000/25-Jan-00.html

Central Park had 4.5" precip in Dec. It rained plenty when we had a cutters pattern. I'm sure it will again when we revert back. I've never seen it like this before where any cold and snow avoid each other like the plague except in places that snow maybe once a decade or less.

Yup, really nice provided 4” snow here. 8” for the season. I’m done with “really nice”, “buckle up”, etc. I’m fine with it just torching from here and being done with this disaster winter. Let it be mild outside and just move on. At least it’ll likely provide rain as well and get us out of the drought before summer.

Area wide had 4-6” IIRC. We had a lot on New Years Eve with the thunderstorms.

Dec was quite wet when the storm track was into the lakes. When we get flooded with warm air again I’m sure the storms will come back.

You had to remind me I missed that storm!! Argh. And yes a few pictures lol

When there’s something of interest to talk about besides more cold and dry you’ll see it.

Same here!

11 here. WAA started overnight which kept us from hitting zero.

Lots of mid to upper single digits in my area.

When the pattern turns back to cutters they'll come through like clockwork. They sure did in December.

Down to 9 here. Since the last 2 nights got down to mid single digits here, wonder if I make a run at 0 tonight.

Pretty sure there will be more chances, but the window obviously slams shut when we go back to a cutters pattern and dominant SE ridge. Given the lack of chances for the next 10 days in climo snowiest part of the winter, the likelihood is high we end up well below average for snow again despite the colder conditions. Unless of course we get a miracle turnaround in Feb. But we need something to slow the pattern down and allow for amplification while holding in enough cold air, and we haven’t seen any hint of that this winter whatsoever.