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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Now time for the short range/hi-res models. South trend seems to have stopped on those too and maybe a slight bump back N.
  2. jm1220
    Yeah that would be a massacre for 4-5 hours.
  3. jm1220
    GFS big dynamic banding again with the mid level lows evolving in the perfect spot. Awesome.
  4. jm1220
    Ehh. We've had washouts and the January few inches, whatever this has will be infinitely better.
  5. jm1220
    Yup!
  6. jm1220
    Would definitely still be worth interest there. Trenton area especially. But further south also means weaker dynamics.
  7. jm1220
    Trenton to Philly should be excited too. Good evolution for them. Maybe Baltimore?
  8. jm1220
    Seemed like maybe a little lousier dynamics. Anyway we'll see what happens. Still excited for this along I-80-NYC-LI.
  9. jm1220
    Didn't really change. I'm just comparing vs the recent HRRR trends, and that's not bad either, maybe bumped back N a bit.
  10. jm1220
    RGEM still decent.
  11. jm1220
    Philly jackpot at this rate lol.
  12. jm1220
    You're probably still good. But wow at the trends today. LOL
  13. jm1220
    There's definitely a weaker trend on the models so far but still good for a significant event around the city. I-84 corridor is sweating though. South also means weaker dynamics.
  14. jm1220
    I'm definitely interested for Philly to Trenton and west on the Penn Turnpike to Harrisburg. DC/Baltimore probably need more help than possible this late.
  15. jm1220
    Almost like a reverse Juno 2015 but even that had more agreement it wouldn't be special in NYC besides the Euro/NAM until the end. But yeah, there'll be an uproar in much of New England if these lamer solutions happen.
  16. jm1220
    I think you'll be okay but yup-tough call north of you. These do like to drive a fronto band pretty far north but that HRRR run sucked.
  17. jm1220
    Yup. Yikes. Officials urge people to work from home if possible, stay off roads during Tuesday snowstorm (msn.com)
  18. jm1220
    Wow. Schools in Boston are closed for maybe 2-3" there.
  19. jm1220
    Yep a step back. We'll see what happens in the morning.
  20. jm1220
    If that happens there's at least 15" IMBY. I'll gladly take.
  21. jm1220
    For the usual warm spots that are hard to accumulate I definitely agree. But in the places that are a little colder outside the city or even Bayside/Douglaston I can see 10" in some places-looks like it will really pound for a few hours. If this banding really happens it can happen in 4-5 hours at 1-3"/hour. I'm glad to see the Euro got a little better and HRRR/RAP are primed. GFS was annihilation from 7am to noon.
  22. jm1220
    Not ideal for sure but we can do fine with a dynamic enough system-March 2018 etc. Midtown, the immediate south shore and usual warmer spots might have some issues but heavy snow will drop most of us to 32-33 quick.
  23. jm1220
    We pulled the rabbit out of the hat for once. I’m legit excited for this one. From 7am to noon for just about all of us will be awesome. The mid level evolution looks about as good for NYC/I-80/LI as it gets. And further north should be okay too since fronto banding with better ratios usually extends pretty far north in these.
  24. jm1220
    This reminds me a little of 3/22/18 and how it went to town as it headed ENE. I doubt there'll be 18" on parts of LI like that storm had but many can end with double digits. The banding signatures and mid level evolution along with the abundant moisture to work with will mean 2-3"/hr. But it'll be hauling which will limit the amounts somewhat.
  25. jm1220
    If the GFS is right and the mid level lows/banding go to town as it heads east off NJ, it'll be an insane few hours. Too bad there's nothing to slow the storm down but I'm liking this more and more. Glad to have been proven wrong on the N trend.
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