
jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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May all hoodies and coats be thrown outdoors and spontaneously combust.
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The first time we get a deep westerly flow like that many of us will see 100s. We’ve been spoiled with SW or S wind heatwaves the last few summers. I guess we’re fortunate that there’s no major drought that westerly wind would come from but that’s a downslope flow that would heat up big time.
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Yep. I had to put on a… wait for it…. Hoodie!
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If we get a sustained westerly wind heat event (which might be hard with the ridge poking so far north, we’d be prone to more of a southerly flow) it’ll get well into the 100s for most.
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I guess the trade off for perma-Nina ruining our winters is beautiful summers like this without heat. Today I’ll definitely take it.
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Ended with 2-2.5” or so. Those storms just kept firing for most of the evening.
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Been getting drenched here IMBY.
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Yup. More back door garbage.
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Winds off the sound here, compressional heating down there. 81 in Long Beach, 76 here.
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Looks like storms/rain will split N and S of the city/LI.
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My high was 82 I think. If winds could've been SW for a while instead of due S, we would've been upper 80s.
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Anyway-perfection today. 80 currently
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18z GFS for the weekend.... Let's just hope it's wrong.
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I don’t think 80s will be an issue here as long as there’s some westerly component to the wind. The barrier beaches of course are another story.
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That second map especially looks like garbage for us. Hopefully it's wrong. I agree that midweek should be warm if we can get a westerly flow of some kind finally.
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90 in Concord and 70 here with low clouds probably. That would be a kick in the teeth.
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It can be a wet month in the summer if we have a tropical system come in for 2 days and we have 15 days over 90 for a high, or our normally high overnight lows. It’s expected to be a hyperactive hurricane season so it’s certainly doable.
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Sure it does. In the summer you can get rounds of storms drop 3-5” in a day or two while a heat wave or two on other days pushes temps overall well above average.
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Starting to clear out here.
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Another day, more gunk. Looking forward to our one nice teaser day before another 4 days of gunk.
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Which will start more wildfires up there and the smoke will come south again with these troughs bringing northerly winds. Again like clockwork.
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Eventually this has to change but we all know what a closed upper level low south of us means. Yesterday on the GFS for 7 straight days it had easterly winds of some kind. Maybe we can get low 70s with that when we can get the sun to come out, definitely no heat. And anywhere near a barrier beach maybe you can get mid 60s. Hopefully that map is wrong. Big patch of cold SSTs east of us now with this endless cool/easterly wind pattern.
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Models bring some heavier rain west, we'll see how much makes it here. So far IMBY everything's been light. But definitely a drencher E of the William Floyd. 18z GFS has NE or E winds straight through 144 hours. At the mercy of whatever the Maritimes puke up.
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Sheet drizzle city!
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I think it may be luck turning around for BOS. This year I did better than them on LI (15.5” here, not saying much), last year I had about the same, 21-22 BOS had more largely because of the late Jan storm that was 24” 20 miles east of me and 14” IMBY, 20-21 I did better because of the early Feb big run we had. 2017-18 through 19-20 BOS probably did better but 17-18 was also good/great here so it might’ve been about even. The Jan storms in 2022 and 2018 slammed as far south as the Delmarva so it’s really about the crap pattern favoring the West/Plains/NNE we’ve all been stuck in. When the boiling W PAC cools down so the rampaging PAC jet can take a break, it should turn back around. After the general 2000-2018 bonanza period we were due for a stretch of garbage.