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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. I'm in the higher elevated area just east of Rt 110 so uit usually doesn't get quite as hot here. But either way-disgusting.
  2. For a mean that’s quite impressive. But still way too early to count on it up here. Hopefully there’s a PRE/stalled front situation with rain for most or all regardless.
  3. Yep already 88 here. The heat pit in Commack east of me is already in the low 90s.
  4. Our real chance east of Queens will be when some kind of a front can focus the storms and push them east before the marine air can kill them off. That might be on Monday.
  5. The heaviest rain would be where a front can set up west of the storm to focus the tropical moisture. Historically 90% of the time it happens in NJ/Hudson Valley. But a week away really anything can happen-could still get booted out.
  6. About 0.15". Been lucky many other times though so I'm not complaining.
  7. Line breaking up on cue as it hits the marine influenced air. We’ll see how much can survive east of Queens.
  8. Ambrose Jet getting started-JFK gusting to near 30. Too late though since heat index hit 100. Plenty of time though to kill any storms coming in from NJ.
  9. Up here the evenings have been great on these Ambrose Jet days. Nice breeze and temps despite still feeling humid. On the beaches though I’m sure it’s been sandblasting windy which is no fun.
  10. Once again today S wind gusts to near 40 at JFK. Wow.
  11. “Nino” and “Nina” at least traditionally defined are becoming less relevant since about 5 years ago when we switched to this Western Pacific on fire regime, which keeps the elements of Nina in place during the winter regardless of the official regime, since Nina patterns are as much about the W Pacific condition as much as the E Pacific. It keeps a rampaging Pacific jet going and as a result either very brief or nonexistent cold coming far south from Canada, and favorable tracks for storms unable to get established-for a good nor’easter here that can snow you need the pattern to relax at least a bit and the SE Ridge (which has also been rampaging) to be present but muted enough to not force an inland track. 2020-21 did get the MJO out of the unfavorable phases enough to allow windows for more favorable outcomes here but it’s been the rarity since this new W PAC regime started. N New England down to I-90 and the Midwest do just fine in these patterns that promote cutters and with a Nina once again developing officially I’d be excited/optimistic if I lived in Michigan too. Unfortunately here looks very much like another stinker. Our one hope is the high ACE and maybe the Nina can be more East based. I never thought though that NYC with a 30” snow average like we came close to with the new 91-20 averages was sustainable-we had to pay the piper sooner or later. Until the W PAC cools down so this ridiculous Pacific jet slows down we’re very likely screwed where I am and on south. And probably most near I-80 and south.
  12. Syosset area getting pounded. There should probably be a flood advisory there. Edit-just saw it lol.
  13. Just had a quick downpour here and rumbles of thunder. Looks like some kind of boundary fired up storms just away from the north shore.
  14. North shore/around the LIE has been lucky with rain so far. In Long Beach grass is brown. Enjoying the low humidity for once.
  15. Don’t remind me about the R/S line nightmares. At least now in this perma-Nina we’re all suffering.
  16. Numerous times driving up to the Roosevelt Field area/Mineola and having the window down in Long Beach to needing to blast the AC up there. Especially in April-June.
  17. Starting to clear up a little here and noticeably less humidity already.
  18. Winds are turning NW now so humidity should be decreasing. Tomorrow looks much better.
  19. Downslope from numerous wind directions there and no large body of water to modify the air. As someone who lived in a place where it’s 100+ almost every day in the summer, trust me you don’t want to be part of that unless you’re a masochist.
  20. Any rain over the summer unless it’s a large scale synoptic system is widely scattered. I happen to be lucky this summer but others develop flash droughts.
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