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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    This should go on Ernesto’s Wikipedia page as its official obituary. Well done!
  2. jm1220
    Can see the smoky haze today for sure.
  3. jm1220
    Much drier now-feels great outside. Bye bye gunk.
  4. jm1220
    If it would’ve had 8 more hours to strengthen over water off NC and came in at 110-120 mph, we would’ve been in serious trouble given how fast it came north. Would’ve likely still been a solid Cat 1.
  5. jm1220
    It depends. Isaias was very high impact on LI despite almost no rain. Gusts to hurricane force and many trees down. Debby was a weak TS when it came in, Isaias was a near Cat 2 and did track further east, was also quicker up the coast and wasn’t able to degrade as much. But in general any tropical system going west of us at this latitude will have little rain, but much more wind especially near the coast. There was no inversion so a stronger system would’ve meant damaging wind. Even with this we had gusts into the 40s here and the strongest winds in the whole system most likely.
  6. jm1220
    5-8” widespread would be a very big deal yes which is what was predicted 4 days ago. Like you said the track went left and the stalled front a couple days ago was I think more hit or miss than expected. I have maybe 1.25” or so for this combined event, maybe a couple tenths more with whatever showers come tonight. But a 20 minute drive west of me got pounded during the stalled front event and has up to 5”. Quite breezy here, lots of small branches down. Pretty big branch fell on a neighbor’s fence.
  7. jm1220
    Basically another Ambrose Jet day with some showers tonight, then clearing out for the weekend. Should be nice.
  8. jm1220
    One more day of tropical gunk brought north by Debby.
  9. jm1220
    The radar is a little deceiving, even the green echos over me were moderate rain.
  10. jm1220
    Ireland Express lol. Put the watches up now for Dublin?
  11. jm1220
    I can’t think of a tropical system ever at our latitude that had more than some scattered rain bands east of the center. I wouldn’t expect more than some breezy showers. It might be a different story inland where the SE winds are in an upslope direction and there might be more organized heavy rain.
  12. jm1220
    The stronger than modeled WAR wins again.
  13. jm1220
    64 here. I’ll gladly take the clouds vs 87 and FL summer afternoon gross again.
  14. jm1220
    Hopefully the dragonfly swarms can help. But I notice the bugs every time I’m outside lately.
  15. jm1220
    Looking forward to getting rid of the gunk. Today feels nice though despite the clouds.
  16. jm1220
    Doubt it will be since the center will go so far west of us. Might just be a few batches of showers. I have just under 1”, light misty rain now. Was a very haves/have nots event which happens when this was such a convective driven event. 6 miles WNW of me has 4”+ and just south of me has up to 3”. The S Nassau barrier island summer rain death shield held up as well.
  17. jm1220
    Up to about 0.85". Looks like steadier/heavier rain to the west.
  18. jm1220
    There’ll definitely be some significant flooding later in the week in PA where it’s pouring today and the Debby remnants finally come through.
  19. jm1220
    About 0.6”. So far a big bucket of meh here. We’ll see what can fill in and what this round in NJ brings.
  20. jm1220
    Under my second flood warning of the day and I have maybe the same. Had about 5 minutes of heavy rain just before the warning started and now looks like it flipped to north of me getting pounded.
  21. jm1220
    That area around Captree/Fire Island just blowing up.
  22. jm1220
    HRRR/RAP say there should be a lot coming later today/tonight and there’s a lot of T-storm activity over PA. Just have to see what happens. Many ways a summer T-storm relying rain event can fail.
  23. jm1220
    Sun is back out. Guess we’ll see what fires up coming out of NJ since everything is sinking south.
  24. jm1220
    A few places around Dix Hills and Holbrook have 2” already. Here-2 drops and I can walk to where it’s pouring. Occasional thunder.
  25. jm1220
    Will probably need a flood warning soon for that area of central Nassau and Suffolk along the LIE-training storms again along this sea breeze/frontal boundary.
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