jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Should end up in the mid 60s most spots if we don’t get a stiff seabreeze.
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By 8:45 when I left my house it already warmed up quite a bit.
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I never like seeing that massive 500 low east of us like that. From that view maybe we’re safe for a couple days but it’s not far off.
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It’ll come sometime next month when the highs to the north/back door regime relaxes but unfortunately it probably comes with the 70+ dew points. Our best season with most comfortable conditions now is actual Autumn, and “winter” now is extended Autumn with a week or two of cold sprinkled in where we have to get our snow or we totally strike out.
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Looks like FOK made it down to 24. Mid 30s in my area. As others said pretty impressive for this time of year.
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
jm1220 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
It also looks like a central based Nina which is bad for E Coast snow south of far upstate NY/New England. Our odds small as they are hinge on the high ACE panning out, if that disappoints it’ll be an easy slam the blinds. Hopefully the high ACE means mostly recurves but the precip anomaly maps for summer hint at lots of activity off FL/Carolinas tracking north towards us vs OTS. These steeper Bermuda High ridges recently lead to more of these outcomes. -
Let’s get it to a place where we have ridging east of us. If we have a deep trough of any kind over the Maritimes or W ATL, we maintain the threat of back door fronts. But the sharp cold shot looks less likely.
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I like the very cold weather only in terms of the snow it usually means. We don’t normally get cold anymore without a snowstorm involved. But both are very rare now. But yep-useless/wasted cold is also the worst. We’re not near the Great Lakes where that means LES bands.
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This Nina regime favors them for snow anyway. Just drive an hour or so up to the mountains when the rampaging Pacific jet storms come in.
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At which point we go right to summer. Might actually be a decent enough stretch coming up starting on Sat for a few days before the next back door gunk.
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And right on cue. We get teased with the warmth and the back door/drizzle garbage surges right in.
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From magnificent to misery. Also I doubt it hits 50.
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Sad we have to play the volcano Hail Mary for next winter already. What have we come to?
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Maddening how in this perma-Nina regime this keeps happening in mid-April and not Feb when it’s wanted.
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Here comes the gunk.
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Time to start the thread?
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72 here. Perfect.
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It’s the West/Plains turn for bonanza winters now. That’ll continue as long as we have this Pacific SST orientation. It’s about as hostile as it gets for us.
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Yup of course right when it’s not wanted which just sends in maritime puke from the east instead of the west. Right on cue for the last few years. Last year or the year before it was I think 2 weeks straight of some type of easterly winds.
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Yup, was a pretty weak sauce seabreeze. Usually it drops fast and we get the full blown Ambrose Jet this time of year.
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We never stay warm for long during back door season. Enjoy today and tomorrow before 4 more days of nasty drizzle.
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81.
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A few 80s in central Nassau and Queens. Sea breeze on radar looks like it’s around the Southern State. As you’d expect way cooler on the barrier islands. Absolutely perfect here-77.
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Many/most will be in the 80s today. Already a lot of stations in the low 70s. We’re in the time of year when models underestimate the warmth on days like this in a warm pattern and no strong onshore flow. Break out the shorts.
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I'm perfectly fine letting someone else get soaked. But we're near that time of the year where T-storms go to die east of the Hudson. At least they're usually quick deaths.
