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weathermedic

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  1. weathermedic
    Not sure if I am reading this correctly but the Euro looks like the storm actually retrogrades westward off the Jersey coast between the 48 and 72 hour panels.
  2. weathermedic
    From Upton’s morning AFD: SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... The 00Z modeling has increased confidence in the occurrence of a significant storm, but not eliminated any of the fcst uncertainty wrt the details. There still remains a high amount of uncertainty regarding the rain/snow line as we get into Mon. With strong ely flow, it is likely a coastal front sets up across sern LI. The challenge is how much it pivots nwwd, and how much warm air aloft works into the sys. The latter is highly track dependent. The ECMWF is the warmest soln, with the NAM and GFS much colder. The heaviest pcpn looks to occur during the day on Mon, extending into early Mon ngt. A lingering band may then set up somewhere in or near the cwa for the rest of the ngt as the storm is slow to pull away. A particularly deep low is not expected to develop with this sys. However, there will be a tight gradient due to a 1030s high sitting over Quebec. As a result, strong winds are likely with this storm, and speeds have been ramped up in the fcst. Gusts to around 60 mph seem likely at the peak of the storm, especially ern LI. A winter storm watch has been issued for most of the area. The Twin Forks and sern New London have not been included attm because of mixing concerns. If the models maintain a GFS/NAM type track, the north fork and sern New London will likely need to be included. The south for will be difficult due to the cstl front. Orange county was not included in the watch as well. This area may be too far west of the heaviest snow axis, yielding lower confidence. It is possible this area may need to be included in the future iterations if confidence increases. A high wind watch/warning may be needed for the coastal areas not covered by the winter storm watch. Otherwise, the wsw covers wind hazards. The low is still expected to linger over the area and not get completely out until Tue ngt. As the strong advections cease, pcpn rates are likely to be lower, with any banding more sporadic thru the day on Tue and into Tue ngt.
  3. weathermedic
    When does OKX hoist the winter storm watches? I’m thinking with the Sat AM forecast packages.
  4. weathermedic
    Any time frame on start and end times for NYC?
  5. weathermedic
    Light snow mixed with graupel in Whitestone Queens
  6. weathermedic
    So far 34 degrees, cloudyband heavy salt on the roads here in Brooklyn
  7. weathermedic
    Snow flurries/shower moving through Queens/Brooklyn?
  8. weathermedic
    Getting reports of several one car accidents and overturns in NW NJ and in Rockland and Orange counties.
  9. weathermedic
    Started out as some sleet mixed with rain but quickly went to rain along the south shore of Brooklyn. Of course NYC sanitation was salting the highways.
  10. weathermedic
    Received .72 inches of rain with a max wind gust at 47 mph (at 3am) at my station in Sheepshead Bay.
  11. weathermedic
    Peak gust to 47 mph at my home station at 3am. Only a half inch of rain so far.
  12. weathermedic
    Lots of lightning just off the coast of the Carolinas and south of there. Another couple of lightning strikes a short time ago just to the east of Cape May. Looks like 2 squall lines with a 3rd forming near the rain to snow transition area in the southern end of the system. Barometer dropping like a rock. Down to 29.70.
  13. weathermedic
    Verrazano bridge upper level closed to traffic due to the wind.
  14. weathermedic
    Intense radar returns down in DE/MD and radar getting quite robust to our south. Heading north.
  15. weathermedic
    The utility companies are planning for this. I know of several people who have relatives that work for Con Edison and they already told them they will be working on Christmas Eve and Christmas day. I'm sure it's the same across the other nearby utility covered areas as well.
  16. weathermedic
    They may shut down the Verrazano bridge if those winds develop. The bridge runs pretty much east-west, so southerly winds will have a big effect on traffic up there.
  17. weathermedic
    High Wind Watch has been extended by OKX to cover all of NYC, lower Westchester and Hudson County NJ
  18. weathermedic
    NWS issuing high wind watches for the area as I type.
  19. weathermedic
    From OKX AFD early AM discussion: A mid level shortwave trough may continue the chance of showers into Sunday night with perhaps a rain/snow mix across the interior. At this time looks as though the precipitation will end by late Sunday night as the disturbances moves to the northeast and north. Additionally, in response to Pac jet energy farther south, a couple of weak coastal lows Sunday night into Monday look to pass well south and east of the region. Eventually, a much deeper low forms east of New England Monday night into Tuesday. There is still some hint of Norlun trough/trowal in the vicinity of the northern Mid Atlantic at the same time, but the placement of these is always difficult this many days out. Thus, have maintained a low chance of precipitations at this time.
  20. weathermedic
    They don't have snowfall totals because there is no snow measuring system on their stations. That's the old fashioned sink the ruler into the snowpack method lol.
  21. weathermedic
    6.5 inches this morning here in Sheepshead Bay. This includes about a half inch or so of sleet.
  22. weathermedic
    Temp up to 31 here with moderate to heavy sleet.
  23. weathermedic
    Temp up to 31 here as wind became ENE instead of NE
  24. weathermedic
    Sleet now here in Sheepshead Bay
  25. weathermedic
    Look what's coming north from the Jersey shore. Maybe it's sleet or large flakes, but looks juicy on radar.
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